IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcli/v7y2017i8d10.1038_nclimate3345.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Importance of the pre-industrial baseline for likelihood of exceeding Paris goals

Author

Listed:
  • Andrew P. Schurer

    (School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, Crew Building)

  • Michael E. Mann

    (Pennsylvania State University, State College)

  • Ed Hawkins

    (NCAS-Climate, University of Reading)

  • Simon F. B. Tett

    (School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, Crew Building)

  • Gabriele C. Hegerl

    (School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, Crew Building)

Abstract

In order to meet internationally agreed temperature limits, it is important to have a defined baseline. This study shows for low-emission scenarios the likelihood and timing of exceedance are highly dependent on the baseline, as are allowable carbon emissions.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrew P. Schurer & Michael E. Mann & Ed Hawkins & Simon F. B. Tett & Gabriele C. Hegerl, 2017. "Importance of the pre-industrial baseline for likelihood of exceeding Paris goals," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(8), pages 563-567, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:7:y:2017:i:8:d:10.1038_nclimate3345
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3345
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate3345
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/nclimate3345?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ameur, Hachmi Ben & Han, Xuyuan & Liu, Zhenya & Peillex, Jonathan, 2022. "When did global warming start? A new baseline for carbon budgeting," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    2. Felix Ekardt & Jutta Wieding & Anika Zorn, 2018. "Paris Agreement, Precautionary Principle and Human Rights: Zero Emissions in Two Decades?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-15, August.
    3. Itiki, Rodney & Manjrekar, Madhav & Di Santo, Silvio Giuseppe & Machado, Luis Fernando M., 2020. "Technical feasibility of Japan-Taiwan-Philippines HVdc interconnector to the Asia Pacific Super Grid," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    4. Wang, Jianda & Dong, Kangyin & Hochman, Gal & Timilsina, Govinda R., 2023. "Factors driving aggregate service sector energy intensities in Asia and Eastern Europe: A LMDI analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    5. Heidi K. Edmonds & Julie E. Lovell & C. A. Knox Lovell, 2017. "A New Composite Index for Greenhouse Gases: Climate Science Meets Social Science," Resources, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-16, October.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:7:y:2017:i:8:d:10.1038_nclimate3345. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.