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The potential stickiness of pandemic-induced behavior changes in the United States

Author

Listed:
  • Deborah Salon

    (School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85281)

  • Matthew Wigginton Conway

    (School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85281)

  • Denise Capasso da Silva

    (School of Sustainable Engineering and the Built Environment, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85281)

  • Rishabh Singh Chauhan

    (Department of Civil, Materials, and Environmental Engineering, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, IL 60607)

  • Sybil Derrible

    (Department of Civil, Materials, and Environmental Engineering, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, IL 60607)

  • Abolfazl (Kouros) Mohammadian

    (Department of Civil, Materials, and Environmental Engineering, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, IL 60607)

  • Sara Khoeini

    (School of Sustainable Engineering and the Built Environment, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85281)

  • Nathan Parker

    (School of Sustainability, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85281)

  • Laura Mirtich

    (School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85281)

  • Ali Shamshiripour

    (Department of Civil, Materials, and Environmental Engineering, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, IL 60607)

  • Ehsan Rahimi

    (Department of Civil, Materials, and Environmental Engineering, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, IL 60607)

  • Ram M. Pendyala

    (School of Sustainable Engineering and the Built Environment, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85281)

Abstract

Human behavior is notoriously difficult to change, but a disruption of the magnitude of the COVID-19 pandemic has the potential to bring about long-term behavioral changes. During the pandemic, people have been forced to experience new ways of interacting, working, learning, shopping, traveling, and eating meals. A critical question going forward is how these experiences have actually changed preferences and habits in ways that might persist after the pandemic ends. Many observers have suggested theories about what the future will bring, but concrete evidence has been lacking. We present evidence on how much US adults expect their own postpandemic choices to differ from their prepandemic lifestyles in the areas of telecommuting, restaurant patronage, air travel, online shopping, transit use, car commuting, uptake of walking and biking, and home location. The analysis is based on a nationally representative survey dataset collected between July and October 2020. Key findings include that the “new normal” will feature a doubling of telecommuting, reduced air travel, and improved quality of life for some.

Suggested Citation

  • Deborah Salon & Matthew Wigginton Conway & Denise Capasso da Silva & Rishabh Singh Chauhan & Sybil Derrible & Abolfazl (Kouros) Mohammadian & Sara Khoeini & Nathan Parker & Laura Mirtich & Ali Shamshi, 2021. "The potential stickiness of pandemic-induced behavior changes in the United States," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 118(27), pages 2106499118-, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:nas:journl:v:118:y:2021:p:e2106499118
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Tahlyan, Divyakant & Said, Maher & Mahmassani, Hani & Stathopoulos, Amanda & Walker, Joan & Shaheen, Susan, 2022. "For whom did telework not work during the Pandemic? understanding the factors impacting telework satisfaction in the US using a multiple indicator multiple cause (MIMIC) model," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 387-402.
    2. Palm, Matthew & Allen, Jeff & Zhang, Yixue & Aitken, Ignacio Tiznado & BATOMEN, BRICE & Farber, Steven & Widener, Michael, 2022. "Facing the future of transit ridership: which riders bought a car; who is planning on riding less?," OSF Preprints xrk2p, Center for Open Science.
    3. Jan Bruha & Hana Bruhova Foltynova, 2023. "Long-Term Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Working from Home and Online Shopping: Evidence from a Czech Panel Survey," Working Papers 2023/9, Czech National Bank.
    4. Jiang, Shixiong & Cai, Canhuang, 2022. "Unraveling the dynamic impacts of COVID-19 on metro ridership: An empirical analysis of Beijing and Shanghai, China," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 158-170.
    5. Figliozzi, Miguel & Unnikrishnan, Avinash, 2021. "Exploring the impact of socio-demographic characteristics, health concerns, and product type on home delivery rates and expenditures during a strict COVID-19 lockdown period: A case study from Portlan," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 1-19.
    6. Ling Yu & Pengjun Zhao & Junqing Tang & Liang Pang & Zhaoya Gong, 2023. "Social inequality of urban park use during the COVID-19 pandemic," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-11, December.
    7. Kroesen, Maarten & De Vos, Jonas & Le, Huyen T.K. & Ton, Danique, 2023. "Exploring attitude-behaviour dynamics during COVID-19: How fear of infection and working from home influence train use and the attitude toward this mode," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    8. Mohammadjavad Javadinasr & Tassio B. Magassy & Ehsan Rahimi & Motahare & Mohammadi & Amir Davatgari & Abolfazl & Mohammadian & Deborah Salon & Matthew Wigginton Bhagat-Conway & Rishabh Singh Chauhan &, 2021. "The Enduring Effects of COVID-19 on Travel Behavior in the United States: A Panel Study on Observed and Expected Changes in Telecommuting, Mode Choice, Online Shopping and Air Travel," Papers 2109.07988, arXiv.org.
    9. Pan, Alexandra & Shaheen, Susan PhD, 2022. "Future of Work: Scenario Planning for COVID-19 Recovery," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt23x277qd, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.

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