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Macroeconomic Uncertainty in South East Asia: A Comparative Study between Malaysia and Indonesia


  • Yee Peng Chow
  • Junaina Muhammad
  • Bany Ariffin Amin Noordin
  • Fan Fah Cheng


This paper examines the historical pattern of macroeconomic uncertainty of two developing countries in the South East Asia, namely Malaysia and Indonesia. Comparisons of macroeconomic uncertainty are also made between both countries using a selected number of indicators for macroeconomic volatility. We find that while both countries were affected by similar external sources of macroeconomic uncertainty, these countries were also subject to domestic sources of macroeconomic uncertainty which were confined to the particular country. The analyses also reveal that Indonesia experienced more fluctuations compared to Malaysia when macroeconomic uncertainty is measured by volatility as a macroeconomic outcome and domestic sources of macroeconomic volatility. Contrarily, Malaysia displayed greater fluctuations than Indonesia when macroeconomic uncertainty is measured by external sources of macroeconomic volatility. Policy implications are drawn from the findings.

Suggested Citation

  • Yee Peng Chow & Junaina Muhammad & Bany Ariffin Amin Noordin & Fan Fah Cheng, 2017. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty in South East Asia: A Comparative Study between Malaysia and Indonesia," Research in Applied Economics, Macrothink Institute, vol. 9(4), pages 1-24, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:mth:raee88:v:9:y:2017:i:4:p:1-24

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Takeshi Inoue & Yuki Toyoshima & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2013. "Inflation Targeting In South Korea, Indonesia, The Philippines And Thailand: The Impact On Business Cycle Synchronization Between Each Country And The World," World Scientific Book Chapters,in: Global Linkages and Economic Rebalancing in East Asia, chapter 5, pages 85-108 World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Inoue, Takeshi & Toyoshima, Yuki & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2012. "Inflation targeting in Korea, Indonesia, Thailand, and the Philippines : the impact on business cycle synchronization between each country and the world," IDE Discussion Papers 328, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
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