IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/mes/postke/v26y2004i3p523-545.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Commodity prices, wages, and U.S. inflation in the twentieth century

Author

Listed:
  • HARRY BLOCH
  • A. MICHAEL DOCKERY
  • DAVID SAPSFORD

Abstract

We consider the impact of primary commodity prices and wages on U.S. inflation in the context of markup pricing. We estimate separate equations for world commodity prices, wage rates, and domestic finished goods prices using annual data for 1900 to 2001. We find complete pass-through of commodity prices and wages into inflation of finished goods prices, with both input prices having a positive and statistically significant impact. Demand has a direct negative impact on finished goods prices, a delayed and temporary positive impact on wages (through the unemployment rate), and a strong positive impact on primary commodity prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Harry Bloch & A. Michael Dockery & David Sapsford, 2004. "Commodity prices, wages, and U.S. inflation in the twentieth century," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(3), pages 523-545.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:postke:v:26:y:2004:i:3:p:523-545
    DOI: 10.1080/01603477.2004.11051404
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/01603477.2004.11051404
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/01603477.2004.11051404?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Eduardo F Bastian & Sébastien Charles & Jonathan Marie, 2024. "Inflation regimes and hyperinflation: a Post-Keynesian/structuralist typology," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 48(4), pages 681-708.
    2. Guglielmo Caporale & Luca Onorante & Paolo Paesani, 2012. "Inflation and inflation uncertainty in the euro area," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 43(2), pages 597-615, October.
    3. Ferrucci, Gianluigi & Jiménez-Rodríguez, Rebeca & Onorante, Luca, 2010. "Food price pass-through in the euro area The role of asymmetries and non-linearities," Working Paper Series 1168, European Central Bank.
    4. Harry Bloch & A. Michael Dockery & David Sapsford, 2006. "Commodity Prices and the Dynamics of Inflation in Commodity‐Exporting Nations: Evidence from Australia and Canada," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 82(s1), pages 97-109, September.
    5. Harry Bloch & A. Michael Dockery & C. Wyn Morgan & David Sapsford, 2007. "Growth, Commodity Prices, Inflation And The Distribution Of Income," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(1), pages 3-44, February.
    6. Shahzad, Umer & Orsi, Bianca & Sharma, Gagan Deep, 2024. "Managing inflation expectations and the efficiency of monetary policy responses to energy crises," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    7. repec:hal:cepnwp:hal-03363240 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Ghosh, Dipak & Ruziev, Kobil, 2008. "Cost-Determined and Demand-Determined Prices: Lessons for the Industrialised World from Development Economics," Stirling Economics Discussion Papers 2008-22, University of Stirling, Division of Economics.
    9. Gianluigi Ferrucci & Rebeca Jiménez-Rodríguez & Luca Onorantea, 2012. "Food Price Pass-Through in the Euro Area: Non-Linearities and the Role of the Common Agricultural Policy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 8(1), pages 179-218, March.
    10. Jing Sun & Jinhui Xu & Xin Cheng & Jichao Miao & Hairong Mu, 2023. "Dynamic causality between PPI and CPI in China: A rolling window bootstrap approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1279-1289, April.
    11. Coutts, Ken & Norman, Neville R., 2007. "Global influences on UK manufacturing prices: 1970-2000," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(5), pages 1205-1221, July.
    12. Afees A. Salisu & Raymond Swaray & Idris Adediran, 2018. "Improving the predictability of commodity prices in US inflation: The role of coffee price," Working Papers 041, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    13. Nathan Perry & Nathaniel Cline, 2016. "What caused the great inflation moderation in the US? A post-Keynesian view," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 4(4), pages 475-502, October.
    14. Boufateh, Talel & Saadaoui, Zied, 2021. "The time-varying responses of financial intermediation and inflation to oil supply and demand shocks in the US: Evidence from Bayesian TVP-SVAR-SV approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    15. Tine Olsen & Brett Inder, 2008. "Coffee Commodity Chain," Monash Economics Working Papers 06/08, Monash University, Department of Economics.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:mes:postke:v:26:y:2004:i:3:p:523-545. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/MPKE20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.