IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/rqfnac/v64y2025i2d10.1007_s11156-024-01316-x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The stock market boosts its rewards for increasing earnings patterns

Author

Listed:
  • Yu-An Chen

    (Seton Hall University)

  • Dan Palmon

    (Rutgers University)

Abstract

Barth et al. (J Account Res 37:387–413, 1999. https://doi.org/10.2307/2491414 ) find that the market rewards firms showing increasing earnings patterns with larger price-earnings multiples from 1982 to 1992. This paper examines whether the rewards for increasing earnings patterns have changed since then. The declining relevance of accounting earnings for equity valuation or accounting scandals in the early 2000s would predict a lower valuation for earnings numbers. On the other hand, earnings-related disclosures and post-scandal regulatory efforts, such as the Sarbanes–Oxley Act (SOX), may boost earnings relevance and restore investor confidence in the accounting system, predicting increased rewards for increasing earnings patterns. We find that the earnings multiples for firms with increasing earnings patterns decrease temporarily in the years with major accounting scandals, but the market boosts its rewards to firms showing increasing earnings patterns in the reshaped reporting environment after 1993, and SOX is associated with this boost.

Suggested Citation

  • Yu-An Chen & Dan Palmon, 2025. "The stock market boosts its rewards for increasing earnings patterns," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 64(2), pages 663-711, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:64:y:2025:i:2:d:10.1007_s11156-024-01316-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s11156-024-01316-x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11156-024-01316-x
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11156-024-01316-x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Edmonds, Christopher T. & Edmonds, Jennifer E. & Fu, Richard & Jenkins, David S., 2018. "Price momentum and the premium for meeting or beating analysts' forecasts of earnings," Advances in accounting, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 34-47.
    2. Gilliam, Thomas A. & Heflin, Frank & Paterson, Jeffrey S., 2015. "Evidence that the zero-earnings discontinuity has disappeared," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 117-132.
    3. Bhattacharya, Nilabhra & Black, Ervin L. & Christensen, Theodore E. & Larson, Chad R., 2003. "Assessing the relative informativeness and permanence of pro forma earnings and GAAP operating earnings," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(1-3), pages 285-319, December.
    4. Kai Du & Steven Huddart, 2020. "Economic persistence, earnings informativeness, and stock return regularities," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 1263-1300, December.
    5. Peter Iliev, 2010. "The Effect of SOX Section 404: Costs, Earnings Quality, and Stock Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 65(3), pages 1163-1196, June.
    6. Graham, John R. & Harvey, Campbell R. & Rajgopal, Shiva, 2005. "The economic implications of corporate financial reporting," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(1-3), pages 3-73, December.
    7. David Burgstahler & Elizabeth Chuk, 2017. "What Have We Learned About Earnings Management? Integrating Discontinuity Evidence," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(2), pages 726-749, June.
    8. Ron Kasznik & Maureen F. McNichols, 2002. "Does Meeting Earnings Expectations Matter? Evidence from Analyst Forecast Revisions and Share Prices," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(3), pages 727-759, June.
    9. Stephen A. Zeff, 2019. "A Personal View of the Evolution of the Accounting Professoriate," Accounting Perspectives, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(3), pages 159-185, September.
    10. Mark T. Bradshaw & Richard G. Sloan, 2002. "GAAP versus The Street: An Empirical Assessment of Two Alternative Definitions of Earnings," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(1), pages 41-66, March.
    11. Barth, ME & Elliott, JA & Finn, MW, 1999. "Market rewards associated with patterns of increasing earnings," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 387-413.
    12. Dirk E. Black & Theodore E. Christensen & Jack T. Ciesielski & Benjamin C. Whipple, 2018. "Non†GAAP reporting: Evidence from academia and current practice," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(3-4), pages 259-294, March.
    13. Lisa Koonce & Marlys Gascho Lipe, 2010. "Earnings Trend and Performance Relative to Benchmarks: How Consistency Influences Their Joint Use," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(4), pages 859-884, September.
    14. Bartov, Eli & Givoly, Dan & Hayn, Carla, 2002. "The rewards to meeting or beating earnings expectations," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 173-204, June.
    15. Ryan D. Guggenmos & Kristina Rennekamp & Kathy Rupar & Sean Wang, 2022. "The Relationship Between Non‐GAAP Earnings and Aggressive Estimates in Reported GAAP Numbers," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(5), pages 1915-1945, December.
    16. Oliver Binz & John Graham & Matthew Kubic, 2024. "Does Inflation Affect Earnings Relevance? A Century-Long Analysis," NBER Working Papers 32364, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Masako Darrough & Rong Huang & Sha Zhao, 2020. "Spillover Effects of Fraud Allegations and Investor Sentiment," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(2), pages 982-1014, June.
    18. Li, Valerie, 2019. "The effect of real earnings management on the persistence and informativeness of earnings," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 402-423.
    19. Brandon Gipper & Christian Leuz & Mark Maffett, 2020. "Public Oversight and Reporting Credibility: Evidence from the PCAOB Audit Inspection Regime," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(10), pages 4532-4579.
    20. Luzi Hail & Mark Lang & Christian Leuz, 2020. "Reproducibility in Accounting Research: Views of the Research Community," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(2), pages 519-543, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Steven Young, 2008. "Discussion of Do Acquirers Manage Earnings Prior to a Share for Share Bid," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(5‐6), pages 671-678, June.
    2. Griffin, Paul A. & Hong, Hyun A. & Liu, Yun & Ryou, Ji Woo, 2021. "The dark side of CEO social capital: Evidence from real earnings management and future operating performance," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    3. Vasiliki Athanasakou & Norman Strong & Martin Walker, 2009. "Earnings management or forecast guidance to meet analyst expectations?," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(1), pages 3-35.
    4. Beyer, Anne & Cohen, Daniel A. & Lys, Thomas Z. & Walther, Beverly R., 2010. "The financial reporting environment: Review of the recent literature," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2-3), pages 296-343, December.
    5. Zalata, Alaa Mansour & Roberts, Clare, 2017. "Managing earnings using classification shifting: UK evidence," Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 52-65.
    6. Halaoua, Sameh & Hamdi, Badreddine & Mejri, Tarek, 2017. "Earnings management to exceed thresholds in continental and Anglo-Saxon accounting models: The British and French cases," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 513-529.
    7. Florian Meier, 2020. "The Age of Cheap Money and Passive Investing: Are Pro Forma Earnings Value Relevant?," Journal of Finance and Investment Analysis, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 9(2), pages 1-1.
    8. Lisa Koonce & Marlys Gascho Lipe, 2010. "Earnings Trend and Performance Relative to Benchmarks: How Consistency Influences Their Joint Use," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(4), pages 859-884, September.
    9. Huang, Wei & Goodell, John W. & Zhang, Hong, 2019. "Pre-merger management in developing markets: The role of earnings glamor," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    10. Chin, Chen-Lung & Chen, Mei-Hui & Yu, Po-Hsiang, 2018. "Does meeting analysts’ forecasts matter in the private loan market?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 321-340.
    11. Dichev, Ilia & Huang, Xinyi & Lee, Donald K.K & Zhao, Jianxin, 2023. "You have a point - but a point is not enough: The case for distributional forecasts of earnings," SocArXiv 4b2y8, Center for Open Science.
    12. Zhang, Yiyang & Perols, Johan & Robinson, Dahlia & Smith, Thomas, 2018. "Earnings management strategies to maintain a string of meeting or beating analyst expectations," Advances in accounting, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 46-55.
    13. Sanghyuk Byun & Kristin C. Roland, 2022. "Quarterly earnings thresholds: Making the case for prior quarter earnings," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 49(5-6), pages 690-716, May.
    14. Elmar R. Venter & David Emanuel & Steven F. Cahan, 2014. "The Value Relevance of Mandatory Non-GAAP Earnings," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 50(1), pages 1-24, March.
    15. Kross, William J. & Ro, Byung T. & Suk, Inho, 2011. "Consistency in meeting or beating earnings expectations and management earnings forecasts," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(1-2), pages 37-57, February.
    16. Theodore E. Christensen & Enrique Gomez & Matthew Ma & Jing Pan, 2021. "Analysts’ role in shaping non-GAAP reporting: evidence from a natural experiment," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 172-217, March.
    17. Neururer, Thaddeus, 2022. "Meet-or-beat streak heterogeneity and equity prices," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 455-470.
    18. repec:osf:socarx:4b2y8_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Ramnath, Sundaresh & Rock, Steve & Shane, Philip, 2008. "The financial analyst forecasting literature: A taxonomy with suggestions for further research," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 34-75.
    20. Eiler, Lisa A. & Filzen, Joshua J. & Jackson, Mark & Tama-Sweet, Isho, 2021. "Real earnings management and the properties of analysts' forecasts," Advances in accounting, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    21. Su-Ping Liu & Juan Manuel García Lara, 2013. "Market Rewards to Patterns of Increasing Earnings: Do Cash Flow Patterns, Accruals Manipulation and Real Activities Manipulation Matter?," Working Papers 1303, Departament Empresa, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, revised May 2013.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Earnings; Capital market; Accounting scandals; Sarbanes–Oxley Act;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting
    • M48 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Government Policy and Regulation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:64:y:2025:i:2:d:10.1007_s11156-024-01316-x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.