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Housing Tax Reform and Foreclosure Rates

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  • Firas Zebian
  • Richard Dusansky

Abstract

Since the housing market collapse of 2008 and the ensuing economic recession were amplified by rising foreclosure rates, we study the potential impact of housing taxation reform on foreclosures. Two ways in which housing receives preferential treatment are the tax deductibility of mortgage interest payments and the non-recognition of imputed rents. We employ a recursive equilibrium model in which heterogeneous agents make housing tenure choices and in which mortgage default occurs in equilibrium. We calibrate the model and use the calibration results to quantify the effects of reforming these parts of the tax regime. We find that elimination of the mortgage interest tax deduction reduces the foreclosure rate by 12.4 percent. Alternatively, taxing imputed rents would reduce it by 32.5 percent. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media New York 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Firas Zebian & Richard Dusansky, 2015. "Housing Tax Reform and Foreclosure Rates," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 351-364, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:51:y:2015:i:3:p:351-364
    DOI: 10.1007/s11146-015-9507-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Marshall Gangel & Michael Seiler & Andrew Collins, 2013. "Exploring the Foreclosure Contagion Effect Using Agent-Based Modeling," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 46(2), pages 339-354, February.
    5. Per Krusell & Burhanettin Kuruşçu & Anthony A. Smith Jr., 2010. "Temptation and Taxation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 78(6), pages 2063-2084, November.
    6. Berkovec, James & Fullerton, Don, 1992. "A General Equilibrium Model of Housing, Taxes, and Portfolio Choice," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 100(2), pages 390-429, April.
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