IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/compec/v63y2024i4d10.1007_s10614-023-10368-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Semi-Closed Form Approximation of Arbitrage-Free Call Option Price Surface

Author

Listed:
  • Arindam Kundu

    (Adamas University)

  • Sumit Kumar

    (Indian Institute of Management Udaipur)

  • Nutan Kumar Tomar

    (Indian Institute of Technology Patna)

Abstract

The two-dimensional estimation problem of the arbitrage-free option price surface from available best bid-ask quotes is difficult to solve due to insufficient as well as skewed quotes for various strikes and maturities besides the prevalence of arbitrage opportunities in the observed quotes. This article presents a semi-closed form approximation for constructing an arbitrage-free European call option price surface from the observed quotes. The estimated option pricing surface is represented as an interpolation-based convex combination of shape-restricted Bernstein polynomials. A fast and straightforward surface-fitting algorithm is presented based on the quadratic programming method. This research also includes a simulation utilizing the Heston stochastic volatility model to evaluate the proposed method. The empirical applicability of the proposed method is demonstrated using S&P 500 call option price data.

Suggested Citation

  • Arindam Kundu & Sumit Kumar & Nutan Kumar Tomar, 2024. "A Semi-Closed Form Approximation of Arbitrage-Free Call Option Price Surface," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(4), pages 1431-1457, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:compec:v:63:y:2024:i:4:d:10.1007_s10614-023-10368-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10614-023-10368-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10614-023-10368-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10614-023-10368-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wang, J. & Ghosh, S.K., 2012. "Shape restricted nonparametric regression with Bernstein polynomials," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(9), pages 2729-2741.
    2. Bakshi, Gurdip & Cao, Charles & Chen, Zhiwu, 1997. "Empirical Performance of Alternative Option Pricing Models," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(5), pages 2003-2049, December.
    3. Judith Glaser & Pascal Heider, 2012. "Arbitrage-free approximation of call price surfaces and input data risk," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 61-73, August.
    4. Ait-Sahalia, Yacine & Duarte, Jefferson, 2003. "Nonparametric option pricing under shape restrictions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 116(1-2), pages 9-47.
    5. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
    6. Matthias Fengler, 2009. "Arbitrage-free smoothing of the implied volatility surface," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(4), pages 417-428.
    7. M. Benko & M. Fengler & W. Härdle & M. Kopa, 2007. "On extracting information implied in options," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 543-553, December.
    8. Cui, Zhenyu & Kirkby, J. Lars & Nguyen, Duy, 2021. "A data-driven framework for consistent financial valuation and risk measurement," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 289(1), pages 381-398.
    9. Breeden, Douglas T & Litzenberger, Robert H, 1978. "Prices of State-contingent Claims Implicit in Option Prices," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 51(4), pages 621-651, October.
    10. Harrison, J. Michael & Kreps, David M., 1979. "Martingales and arbitrage in multiperiod securities markets," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 381-408, June.
    11. Fan, Jianqing & Mancini, Loriano, 2009. "Option Pricing With Model-Guided Nonparametric Methods," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 104(488), pages 1351-1372.
    12. Chak, Pok Man & Madras, Neal & Smith, Barry, 2005. "Semi-nonparametric estimation with Bernstein polynomials," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 153-156, November.
    13. Melanie Birke & Kay F. Pilz, 2009. "Nonparametric Option Pricing with No-Arbitrage Constraints," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 7(2), pages 53-76, Spring.
    14. Arindam Kundu & Sumit Kumar & Nutan Kumar Tomar, 2019. "Option Implied Risk-Neutral Density Estimation: A Robust and Flexible Method," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 54(2), pages 705-728, August.
    15. Fengler, Matthias R. & Hin, Lin-Yee, 2015. "Semi-nonparametric estimation of the call-option price surface under strike and time-to-expiry no-arbitrage constraints," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 242-261.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Arindam Kundu & Sumit Kumar & Nutan Kumar Tomar, 2019. "Option Implied Risk-Neutral Density Estimation: A Robust and Flexible Method," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 54(2), pages 705-728, August.
    2. Fengler, Matthias R. & Hin, Lin-Yee, 2015. "Semi-nonparametric estimation of the call-option price surface under strike and time-to-expiry no-arbitrage constraints," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 242-261.
    3. Samuel N. Cohen & Christoph Reisinger & Sheng Wang, 2020. "Detecting and repairing arbitrage in traded option prices," Papers 2008.09454, arXiv.org.
    4. Fengler, Matthias & Hin, Lin-Yee, 2011. "Semi-nonparametric estimation of the call price surface under strike and time-to-expiry no-arbitrage constraints," Economics Working Paper Series 1136, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, revised May 2013.
    5. Samuel N. Cohen & Christoph Reisinger & Sheng Wang, 2021. "Arbitrage-free neural-SDE market models," Papers 2105.11053, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    6. Taboga, Marco, 2016. "Option-implied probability distributions: How reliable? How jagged?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 453-469.
    7. Kim, Namhyoung & Lee, Jaewook, 2013. "No-arbitrage implied volatility functions: Empirical evidence from KOSPI 200 index options," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 36-53.
    8. Dalderop, Jeroen, 2020. "Nonparametric filtering of conditional state-price densities," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(2), pages 295-325.
    9. René Garcia & Richard Luger & Eric Renault, 2000. "Asymmetric Smiles, Leverage Effects and Structural Parameters," Working Papers 2000-57, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    10. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    11. Jin Zhang & Yi Xiang, 2008. "The implied volatility smirk," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(3), pages 263-284.
    12. Ana M. Monteiro & Antonio A. F. Santos, 2020. "Conditional risk-neutral density from option prices by local polynomial kernel smoothing with no-arbitrage constraints," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 41-61, April.
    13. Duffie, Darrell, 2003. "Intertemporal asset pricing theory," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 11, pages 639-742, Elsevier.
    14. Rompolis, Leonidas S., 2010. "Retrieving risk neutral densities from European option prices based on the principle of maximum entropy," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 918-937, December.
    15. Tahar Ferhati, 2020. "Robust Calibration For SVI Model Arbitrage Free," Working Papers hal-02490029, HAL.
    16. Cao, Yi & Liu, Xiaoquan & Zhai, Jia, 2021. "Option valuation under no-arbitrage constraints with neural networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 293(1), pages 361-374.
    17. Jim Gatheral & Antoine Jacquier, 2014. "Arbitrage-free SVI volatility surfaces," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 59-71, January.
    18. Bo Zhao & Stewart Hodges, 2013. "Parametric modeling of implied smile functions: a generalized SVI model," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 53-77, April.
    19. Liu, Xiaoquan & Cao, Yi & Ma, Chenghu & Shen, Liya, 2019. "Wavelet-based option pricing: An empirical study," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 272(3), pages 1132-1142.
    20. Tahar Ferhati, 2020. "SVI Model Free Wings," Working Papers hal-02517572, HAL.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:compec:v:63:y:2024:i:4:d:10.1007_s10614-023-10368-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.