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Stochastic Comparative Statics in Markov Decision Processes

Author

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  • Bar Light

    (Graduate School of Business, Stanford University, Stanford, California 94305)

Abstract

In multiperiod stochastic optimization problems, the future optimal decision is a random variable whose distribution depends on the parameters of the optimization problem. I analyze how the expected value of this random variable changes as a function of the dynamic optimization parameters in the context of Markov decision processes. I call this analysis stochastic comparative statics . I derive both comparative statics results and stochastic comparative statics results showing how the current and future optimal decisions change in response to changes in the single-period payoff function, the discount factor, the initial state of the system, and the transition probability function. I apply my results to various models from the economics and operations research literature, including investment theory, dynamic pricing models, controlled random walks, and comparisons of stationary distributions.

Suggested Citation

  • Bar Light, 2021. "Stochastic Comparative Statics in Markov Decision Processes," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 46(2), pages 797-810, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormoor:v:46:y:2021:i:2:p:797-810
    DOI: 10.1287/moor.2020.1086
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    References listed on IDEAS

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