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Post COVID-19 Pandemic Scenarios in an Unequal World Challenges for Sustainable Development in Latin America

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  • Juan Pablo Morea

    (Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET), Mar del Plata 7600, Argentina
    Centro de Investigaciones Geográficas Socioambientales, UNMDP, Mar del Plata 7600, Argentina)

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has prompted numerous academic debates about its impact on health and the economy and on possible post-pandemic scenarios across the globe. The discussion has been focused on whether the pandemic will mark a turning point and a unique opportunity to generate radical changes in the economic and productive system, or if the State assistance role will, once again, serve to rescue the capitalist system. There is a common link between these two opposing positions in that there will be a crossroads for the future of humanity, regarding the treatment that will be given to nature. However, some of the most optimistic visions seem to underestimate the different realities that the world presents. This paper proposes a combined analysis about the possible post-pandemic scenarios that are debated at a global level, and the impacts of the pandemic in the context of Latin America to fill an information gap and to aid understanding on what the possible post-pandemic scenarios for Latin America could be. The first findings show that the debates about the post-pandemic future at the global level could be grouped between: the return to “business as usual”; a managed transition; and a paradigm shift. For Latin America, the post-pandemic scenario will be highly conditioned on how the new world order is reconfigured, and moving on a path towards sustainability for the region in the post-pandemic scenario seems to be linked to two possibilities: a kind of revolt or revolution fostered by the social bases; or a solution of a global nature that favors making long-term decisions. If this does not occur, the most likely scenario seems to be a return to business as usual.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Pablo Morea, 2020. "Post COVID-19 Pandemic Scenarios in an Unequal World Challenges for Sustainable Development in Latin America," World, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-14, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jworld:v:2:y:2020:i:1:p:1-14:d:467448
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Andy Sumner & Eduardo Ortiz-Juarez & Christopher Hoy, 2020. "Precarity and the pandemic: COVID-19 and poverty incidence, intensity, and severity in developing countries," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2020-77, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. Robin Naidoo & Brendan Fisher, 2020. "Reset Sustainable Development Goals for a pandemic world," Nature, Nature, vol. 583(7815), pages 198-201, July.
    3. López-Feldman, Alejandro & Chávez, Carlos & Vélez, María Alejandra & Bejarano, Hernán & Chimeli, Ariaster & Féres, José & Robalino, Juan & Salcedo, Rodrigo & Viteri, César, 2020. "Environmental Impacts and Policy Responses to Covid-19: A View from Latin America," TD NEREUS 4-2020, Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da Universidade de São Paulo (NEREUS).
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    Cited by:

    1. Sudhanshu Joshi & Manu Sharma, 2022. "A Literature Survey on Vaccine Supply Chain Management Amidst COVID-19: Literature Developments, Future Directions and Open Challenges for Public Health," World, MDPI, vol. 3(4), pages 1-28, October.

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