IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v17y2025i1p266-d1558804.html

A Surrogate Model-Based Optimization Approach for Geothermal Well-Doublet Placement Using a Regularized LSTM-CNN Model and Grey Wolf Optimizer

Author

Listed:
  • Fengyu Li

    (Key Laboratory of Groundwater Resources and Environment, Ministry of Education, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, China
    Huzhou Vocational and Technical College, Huzhou 313000, China
    Key Laboratory of Deep Geothermal Resources, Ministry of Natural Resources, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China)

  • Xia Guo

    (Nuclear Industry Huzhou Survey Planning Design and Research Institute Co., Ltd., Huzhou 313000, China)

  • Xiaofei Qi

    (No. 2 Exploration Team, Hebei Bureau of Coal Geological Exploration, Xingtai 054000, China)

  • Bo Feng

    (Key Laboratory of Groundwater Resources and Environment, Ministry of Education, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, China)

  • Jie Liu

    (College of Hydrology & Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China)

  • Yunpeng Xie

    (College of Hydrology & Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China)

  • Yumeng Gu

    (College of Hydrology & Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China)

Abstract

The placement of a well doublet plays a significant role in geothermal resource sustainable production. The normal well placement optimization method of numerical simulation-based faces a higher computational load with the increasing precision demand. This study proposes a surrogate model-based optimization approach that searches the economically optimal injection well location using the Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO). The surrogate models trained by the novel Multi-layer Regularized Long Short-Term Memory–Convolution Neural Network concatenation model (MR LSTM-CNN) will relieve the computation load and save the simulation time during the simulation–optimization process. The results showed that surrogate models in a homogenous reservoir and heterogenous reservoir can predict the pressure–temperature evolution time series with the accuracy of 99.80% and 94.03%. Additionally, the optimization result fitted the real economic cost distribution in both reservoir situations. Further comparison figured out that the regularization and convolution process help the Long Short-Term Memory neural network (LSTM) perform better overall than random forest. And GWO owned faster search speed and higher optimization quality than a widely used Genetic Algorithm (GA). The surrogate model-based approach shows the good performance of MR LSTM-CNN and the feasibility in the well placement optimization of GWO, which provides a reliable reference for future study and engineering practice.

Suggested Citation

  • Fengyu Li & Xia Guo & Xiaofei Qi & Bo Feng & Jie Liu & Yunpeng Xie & Yumeng Gu, 2025. "A Surrogate Model-Based Optimization Approach for Geothermal Well-Doublet Placement Using a Regularized LSTM-CNN Model and Grey Wolf Optimizer," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(1), pages 1-31, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:1:p:266-:d:1558804
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/1/266/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/1/266/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Aljundi, K. & Figueiredo, A. & Vieira, A. & Lapa, J. & Cardoso, R., 2024. "Geothermal energy system application: From basic standard performance to sustainability reflection," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    2. Akin, Serhat, 2019. "Geothermal re-injection performance evaluation using surveillance analysis methods," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 635-642.
    3. Biagi, James & Agarwal, Ramesh & Zhang, Zheming, 2015. "Simulation and optimization of enhanced geothermal systems using CO2 as a working fluid," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 627-637.
    4. Feng, Guanhong & Xu, Tianfu & Gherardi, Fabrizio & Jiang, Zhenjiao & Bellani, Stefano, 2017. "Geothermal assessment of the Pisa plain, Italy: Coupled thermal and hydraulic modeling," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 416-427.
    5. Wang, Jiacheng & Zhao, Zhihong & Liu, Guihong & Xu, Haoran, 2022. "A robust optimization approach of well placement for doublet in heterogeneous geothermal reservoirs using random forest technique and genetic algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PC).
    6. Kim, Hyung-Mok & Rutqvist, Jonny & Ryu, Dong-Woo & Choi, Byung-Hee & Sunwoo, Choon & Song, Won-Kyong, 2012. "Exploring the concept of compressed air energy storage (CAES) in lined rock caverns at shallow depth: A modeling study of air tightness and energy balance," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 653-667.
    7. Shi, Yu & Song, Xianzhi & Song, Guofeng, 2021. "Productivity prediction of a multilateral-well geothermal system based on a long short-term memory and multi-layer perceptron combinational neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(PA).
    8. Song, Guofeng & Song, Xianzhi & Li, Gensheng & Shi, Yu & Wang, Gaosheng & Ji, Jiayan & Xu, Fuqiang & Song, Zihao, 2021. "An integrated multi-objective optimization method to improve the performance of multilateral-well geothermal system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 1233-1249.
    9. Bu, Xianbiao & Ran, Yunmin & Zhang, Dongdong, 2019. "Experimental and simulation studies of geothermal single well for building heating," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 1902-1909.
    10. Samin, Maleaha Y. & Faramarzi, Asaad & Jefferson, Ian & Harireche, Ouahid, 2019. "A hybrid optimisation approach to improve long-term performance of enhanced geothermal system (EGS) reservoirs," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 379-389.
    11. Chen, Jiliang & Jiang, Fangming, 2015. "Designing multi-well layout for enhanced geothermal system to better exploit hot dry rock geothermal energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 37-48.
    12. Yuan, Yilong & Gong, Ye & Xu, Tianfu & Zhu, Huixing, 2023. "Multiphase flow and geomechanical responses of interbedded hydrate reservoirs during depressurization gas production for deepwater environment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(PB).
    13. Li, Yi & Zhou, Qian & Yu, Hao & Li, Yi & Liu, Yinjiang & Huang, Leqing & Tang, Dong & Zhang, Guijin & Liu, Yaning, 2025. "Coupled nonlinear wellbore multiphase flow and thermo-hydro-mechanical analysis of compressed air energy storage in aquifers," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 377(PA).
    14. Asai, Pranay & Panja, Palash & McLennan, John & Deo, Milind, 2019. "Effect of different flow schemes on heat recovery from Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS)," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 667-676.
    15. Wang, Jiacheng & Tan, Xianfeng & Zhao, Zhihong & Chen, Jinfan & He, Jie & Shi, Qipeng, 2024. "Coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical modeling on geothermal doublet subject to seasonal exploitation and storage," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    16. Papadis, Elisa & Tsatsaronis, George, 2020. "Challenges in the decarbonization of the energy sector," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    17. Wu, Bisheng & Zhang, Xi & Jeffrey, Robert G. & Bunger, Andrew P. & Jia, Shanpo, 2016. "A simplified model for heat extraction by circulating fluid through a closed-loop multiple-fracture enhanced geothermal system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 1664-1681.
    18. Pan, Shaowei & Yang, Bo & Wang, Shukai & Guo, Zhi & Wang, Lin & Liu, Jinhua & Wu, Siyu, 2023. "Oil well production prediction based on CNN-LSTM model with self-attention mechanism," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Shan, Kun & Cong, Lianghan & Yu, Ziwang & Ye, Xiaoqi, 2026. "Artificial intelligence empowering geothermal energy development: A full-lifecycle review from exploration to operation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 226(PE).
    2. Chen, Jinfan & Zhao, Zhihong & Wang, Jiacheng, 2025. "A time-series forecasting model-based optimization approach for well-doublet system in geothermal reservoirs under geological uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 330(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chen, Jinfan & Zhao, Zhihong & Wang, Jiacheng, 2025. "A time-series forecasting model-based optimization approach for well-doublet system in geothermal reservoirs under geological uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 330(C).
    2. Song, Guofeng & Song, Xianzhi & Li, Gensheng & Shi, Yu & Wang, Gaosheng & Ji, Jiayan & Xu, Fuqiang & Song, Zihao, 2021. "An integrated multi-objective optimization method to improve the performance of multilateral-well geothermal system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 1233-1249.
    3. Chen, Guodong & Jiao, Jiu Jimmy & Jiang, Chuanyin & Luo, Xin, 2024. "Surrogate-assisted level-based learning evolutionary search for geothermal heat extraction optimization," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 189(PB).
    4. Yu, Ruyang & Zhang, Kai & Ramasubramanian, Brindha & Jiang, Shu & Ramakrishna, Seeram & Tang, Yuhang, 2024. "Ensemble learning for predicting average thermal extraction load of a hydrothermal geothermal field: A case study in Guanzhong Basin, China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 296(C).
    5. Song, Xianzhi & Shi, Yu & Li, Gensheng & Yang, Ruiyue & Wang, Gaosheng & Zheng, Rui & Li, Jiacheng & Lyu, Zehao, 2018. "Numerical simulation of heat extraction performance in enhanced geothermal system with multilateral wells," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 218(C), pages 325-337.
    6. Xue, Zhenqian & Zhang, Kai & Zhang, Chi & Ma, Haoming & Chen, Zhangxin, 2023. "Comparative data-driven enhanced geothermal systems forecasting models: A case study of Qiabuqia field in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 280(C).
    7. Wang, Jiacheng & Zhao, Zhihong & Liu, Guihong & Xu, Haoran, 2022. "A robust optimization approach of well placement for doublet in heterogeneous geothermal reservoirs using random forest technique and genetic algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PC).
    8. Zheng, Jun & Li, Peng & Dou, Bin & Fan, Tao & Tian, Hong & Lai, Xiaotian, 2022. "Impact research of well layout schemes and fracture parameters on heat production performance of enhanced geothermal system considering water cooling effect," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    9. Shi, Yu & Song, Xianzhi & Shen, Zhonghou & Wang, Gaosheng & Li, Xiaojiang & Zheng, Rui & Geng, Lidong & Li, Jiacheng & Zhang, Shikun, 2018. "Numerical investigation on heat extraction performance of a CO2 enhanced geothermal system with multilateral wells," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 38-51.
    10. Hu, Xincheng & Banks, Jonathan & Guo, Yunting & Liu, Wei Victor, 2022. "Utilizing geothermal energy from enhanced geothermal systems as a heat source for oil sands separation: A numerical evaluation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PA).
    11. Yang, Fujian & Wang, Guiling & Hu, Dawei & Liu, Yanguang & Zhou, Hui & Tan, Xianfeng, 2021. "Calibrations of thermo-hydro-mechanical coupling parameters for heating and water-cooling treated granite," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 544-558.
    12. Samin, Maleaha Y. & Faramarzi, Asaad & Jefferson, Ian & Harireche, Ouahid, 2019. "A hybrid optimisation approach to improve long-term performance of enhanced geothermal system (EGS) reservoirs," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 379-389.
    13. Chen, Yun & Ma, Guowei & Wang, Huidong & Li, Tuo & Wang, Yang & Sun, Zizheng, 2020. "Optimizing heat mining strategies in a fractured geothermal reservoir considering fracture deformation effects," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 326-337.
    14. Cheng, Wen-Long & Wang, Chang-Long & Nian, Yong-Le & Han, Bing-Bing & Liu, Jian, 2016. "Analysis of influencing factors of heat extraction from enhanced geothermal systems considering water losses," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 115(P1), pages 274-288.
    15. Qiao, Mingzheng & Zhou, Yujuan & Jing, Zefeng & Feng, Chenchen & Zheng, Long & Wang, Lichao & Xue, Ruibin, 2025. "Heat extraction analysis of an innovative single-well open-loop geothermal system using scCO2," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 328(C).
    16. Wang, Jiacheng & Tan, Xianfeng & Zhao, Zhihong & Chen, Jinfan & He, Jie & Shi, Qipeng, 2024. "Coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical modeling on geothermal doublet subject to seasonal exploitation and storage," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    17. Xie, Jingxuan & Wang, Jiansheng, 2022. "Compatibility investigation and techno-economic performance optimization of whole geothermal power generation system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 328(C).
    18. Qiao, Mingzheng & Jing, Zefeng & Feng, Chenchen & Li, Minghui & Chen, Cheng & Zou, Xupeng & Zhou, Yujuan, 2024. "Review on heat extraction systems of hot dry rock: Classifications, benefits, limitations, research status and future prospects," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    19. Zhang, Qitao & Dahi Taleghani, Arash, 2023. "Autonomous fracture flow tunning to enhance efficiency of fractured geothermal systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
    20. Olasolo, P. & Juárez, M.C. & Morales, M.P. & D´Amico, Sebastiano & Liarte, I.A., 2016. "Enhanced geothermal systems (EGS): A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 133-144.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:1:p:266-:d:1558804. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.