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Sustainable Development of Smart Regions via Cybersecurity of National Infrastructure: A Fuzzy Risk Assessment Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Oleksandr Korchenko

    (Institute of Computer Science, University of the National Education Commission, 30-384 Krakow, Poland
    State University of Information and Communication Technologies, 03110 Kyiv, Ukraine)

  • Oleksandr Korystin

    (Cyber Police Department of the National Police of Ukraine, 03142 Kyiv, Ukraine
    Private Higher Educational Institution, Bukovinian University, 58000 Chernivtsi, Ukraine
    Institute of Cyber Warfare Research, 01001 Kyiv, Ukraine)

  • Volodymyr Shulha

    (State University of Information and Communication Technologies, 03110 Kyiv, Ukraine)

  • Svitlana Kazmirchuk

    (State University of Information and Communication Technologies, 03110 Kyiv, Ukraine)

  • Serhii Demediuk

    (National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, 01601 Kyiv, Ukraine
    National Academy of the Security Service of Ukraine, 03022 Kyiv, Ukraine)

  • Serhii Zybin

    (State University of Information and Communication Technologies, 03110 Kyiv, Ukraine)

Abstract

This article proposes a scientifically grounded approach to risk assessment for infrastructural and functional systems that underpin the development of digitally transformed regional territories under conditions of high threat dynamics and sociotechnical instability. The core methodology is based on modeling of multifactorial threats through the application of fuzzy set theory and logic–linguistic analysis, enabling consideration of parameter uncertainty, fragmented expert input, and the lack of a unified risk landscape within complex infrastructure environments. A special emphasis is placed on components of technogenic, informational, and mobile infrastructure that ensure regional viability across planning, response, and recovery phases. The results confirm the relevance of the approach for assessing infrastructure resilience risks in regional spatial–functional systems, which demonstrates the potential integration into sustainable development strategies at the level of regional governance, cross-sectoral planning, and cultural reevaluation of the role of analytics as an ethically grounded practice for cultivating trust, transparency, and professional maturity.

Suggested Citation

  • Oleksandr Korchenko & Oleksandr Korystin & Volodymyr Shulha & Svitlana Kazmirchuk & Serhii Demediuk & Serhii Zybin, 2025. "Sustainable Development of Smart Regions via Cybersecurity of National Infrastructure: A Fuzzy Risk Assessment Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(19), pages 1-24, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:19:p:8757-:d:1761227
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    References listed on IDEAS

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