IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v17y2024i1p93-d1554053.html

Exploring the Relationship Between Population Changes and Logistics Development: An Analysis Based on the Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics of Population and Logistics Coupling Coordination

Author

Listed:
  • Xuan Zhou

    (School of Population and Health, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China)

  • Jinfeng Hou

    (School of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China)

  • Qixia Song

    (School of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China)

  • Yong Wang

    (Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region Port and Shipping Development Center, Nanning 530029, China)

Abstract

In recent years, China’s population growth rate is slowing, and birth rates are declining. The impact of changes in population size and structure on logistics development has raised important concerns. The coupling coordination between population and logistics has significant implications for the sustainable development of regional economies. This paper analyzes the relationship between population changes and logistics development from the perspective of the spatiotemporal evolution of their coupling coordination. First, based on population and logistics data from 31 provincial-level administrative regions in China from 2003 to 2022, a comprehensive evaluation indicator system is established to assess the population and logistics development levels across these provinces. Second, a coupling coordination degree model is constructed to explore the coupling coordination relationship between population changes and logistics development. Methods such as kernel density estimation and spatial autocorrelation analysis are employed to analyze the temporal evolution characteristics of the coupling coordination degree of the two subsystems. The results indicate that: (1) From 2003 to 2022, the population and logistics development levels in 31 provinces exhibited an upward trend. The growth rate of logistics development level scores exceeds that of population scores; (2) During the study period, the coupling coordination degree between population and logistics in most provinces shows a year-on-year increase, and notable spatial differences exhibit a decreasing trend; (3) There exists a significant positive spatial correlation in the coupling coordination degree between population and logistics across the 31 provinces, and local spatial autocorrelation is primarily characterized by ‘high–high’ and ‘low–low’ clustering distributions. Based on the above results, we propose policy recommendations to promote the coordinated development of population and logistics.

Suggested Citation

  • Xuan Zhou & Jinfeng Hou & Qixia Song & Yong Wang, 2024. "Exploring the Relationship Between Population Changes and Logistics Development: An Analysis Based on the Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics of Population and Logistics Coupling Coordination," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(1), pages 1-23, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2024:i:1:p:93-:d:1554053
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/1/93/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/1/93/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Xinbao Tian & Meirong Zhang, 2019. "Research on Spatial Correlations and Influencing Factors of Logistics Industry Development Level," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-18, March.
    2. Syed Abdul Rehman Khan & Arshian Sharif & Hêriş Golpîra & Anil Kumar, 2019. "A green ideology in Asian emerging economies: From environmental policy and sustainable development," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(6), pages 1063-1075, November.
    3. Paul D. Larson, 2021. "Relationships between Logistics Performance and Aspects of Sustainability: A Cross-Country Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-13, January.
    4. Jing Jia & Lvjiang Yin & Caozheng Yan & Weilin Xiao, 2022. "Urban-Rural Logistics Coupling Coordinated Development and Urban-Rural Integrated Development: Measurement, Influencing Factors, and Countermeasures," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2022, pages 1-11, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mukut Sikder & Chao Wang & Frederick Kwame Yeboah & Jacob Wood, 2024. "Driving factors of CO2 emission reduction in the logistics industry: an assessment of the RCEP and SAARC economies," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 2557-2587, January.
    2. Wang, Xiuli, 2023. "Exploring the role of resource industry dependence and green finance in green development efficiency in the context of post-Covid-19 period," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    3. Qixia Song & Shouwen Ji & Hanjing Deng, 2025. "Spatial–Temporal Evolution Characteristics and Influencing Factors for the Coupling Coordinated Development of Transport Logistics and Technology," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(4), pages 1-26, February.
    4. Gürler, Hasan Emin & Özçalıcı, Mehmet & Pamucar, Dragan, 2024. "Determining criteria weights with genetic algorithms for multi-criteria decision making methods: The case of logistics performance index rankings of European Union countries," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    5. Roberto Cerchione, 2025. "Leveraging on supply chain‐oriented technology engine for green initiatives adoption," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 580-599, February.
    6. Golpîra, Hêriş, 2020. "Smart Energy-Aware Manufacturing Plant Scheduling under Uncertainty: A Risk-Based Multi-Objective Robust Optimization Approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    7. Pedro Manuel Sousa & Maria João Moreira & Ana Pinto de Moura & Rui Costa Lima & Luís Miguel Cunha, 2021. "Consumer Perception of the Circular Economy Concept Applied to the Food Domain: An Exploratory Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-20, October.
    8. Opoku, Eric Evans Osei & Kufuor, Nana Kwabena & Manu, Sylvester Adasi, 2021. "Gender, electricity access, renewable energy consumption and energy efficiency," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    9. María Belén Prados‐Peña & Francisco Jesús Gálvez‐Sánchez & Ana García‐López, 2023. "Moving toward sustainable development: Social, economic and environmental value as antecedents of purchase intention in the sustainable crafts sector," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(4), pages 3024-3037, August.
    10. Govindan, Kannan & Kilic, Merve & Uyar, Ali & Karaman, Abdullah S., 2021. "Drivers and value-relevance of CSR performance in the logistics sector: A cross-country firm-level investigation," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    11. Lv, Chengchao & Bian, Baocheng & Lee, Chien-Chiang & He, Zhiwen, 2021. "Regional gap and the trend of green finance development in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    12. Min Zhao & Rong Liu & Debao Dai, 2021. "Synergistic Effect between China’s Digital Transformation and Economic Development: A Study Based on Sustainable Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-19, December.
    13. Md. Tarek Chowdhury & Aditi Sarkar & Sanjoy Kumar Paul & Md. Abdul Moktadir, 2022. "A case study on strategies to deal with the impacts of COVID-19 pandemic in the food and beverage industry," Operations Management Research, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 166-178, June.
    14. Rihab Belguith, 2025. "Dynamics of Green and Conventional Bonds: Hedging Effectiveness and Sustainability Implication," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-25, June.
    15. Pang, Deliang & Li, Kuangzhe & Wang, Gang & Ajaz, Tahseen, 2022. "The asymmetric effect of green investment, natural resources, and growth on financial inclusion in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    16. Lu, Shibao & Lu, Wenjing & Shao, Wei & Xue, Yangang & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2021. "The transboundary ecological compensation construction based on pollution rights: Ways to keep the natural resources sustained," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    17. Venera Timiryanova & Konstantin Grishin & Dina Krasnoselskaya, 2020. "Spatial Patterns of Production-Distribution-Consumption Cycle: The Specifics of Developing Russia," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-18, October.
    18. Z. R. M. Abdullah Kaiser, 2023. "Failing to attain sustainable development in Bangladesh: A potential comprehensive strategy for sustainability," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(4), pages 3086-3101, August.
    19. Rashid Maqbool & Xiaomei Deng & Saleha Ashfaq, 2020. "Success of renewable energy projects under the financial and non‐financial performance measures," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(5), pages 1366-1375, September.
    20. Wen-Kuo Chen & Venkateswarlu Nalluri & Man-Li Lin & Ching-Torng Lin, 2021. "Identifying Decisive Socio-Political Sustainability Barriers in the Supply Chain of Banking Sector in India: Causality Analysis Using ISM and MICMAC," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-23, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2024:i:1:p:93-:d:1554053. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.