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Predictive Analysis of Adaptation to Drought of Farmers in the Central Zone of Colombia

Author

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  • Jorge Armando Hernández-López

    (Civil Engineering Program, Engineering Faculty, Universidad de Ibagué, Carrera 22 Calle 67 B/Ambalá, Ibagué 730001, Colombia)

  • Diana Ximena Puerta-Cortés

    (Psychology Program, Universidad de Ibagué, Carrera 22 Calle 67 B/Ambalá, Ibagué 730001, Colombia)

  • Hernán J. Andrade

    (Research Group PROECUT, Department of Production and Plant Health, Faculty of Agronomic Engineering, Universidad del Tolima, Ibagué 730006, Colombia)

Abstract

Drought constitutes one of the natural phenomena that causes the greatest socio-economic, and environmental losses in both the short and long term worldwide. Each year, these events are related to the presence of “El Niño—Southern Oscillation” (ENSO), which occurs throughout Colombia and has serious consequences in the agricultural and food sectors, as well as in most of the country’s population. Farmers have adopted a number of strategies to mitigate the negative impact of droughts on food production. Certainly, when implementing future strategies, such strategies will be less effective if farmers’ insights on ENSO are not considered. Consequently, this study was carried out to analyze the variables that predict adaptation to droughts in the dry zones of the department of Tolima. Three questionnaires were designed: socioeconomic vulnerability (SVT), risk perception (SRPT) and drought adaptation (SAT). A non-probability sample of 538 farmers was surveyed. Socio-economic vulnerability and drought perception were found to be predictive of drought adaptation in the study sample, and older people were found to be resilient to adaptation. The results of this research provide empirical evidence to analyze and formulate public policies about the impact of droughts on the most vulnerable populations.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge Armando Hernández-López & Diana Ximena Puerta-Cortés & Hernán J. Andrade, 2024. "Predictive Analysis of Adaptation to Drought of Farmers in the Central Zone of Colombia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-18, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:16:p:7210-:d:1461451
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hermann Waibel & Thi Hoa Pahlisch & Marc Völker, 2018. "Farmers’ Perceptions of and Adaptations to Climate Change in Southeast Asia: The Case Study from Thailand and Vietnam," Natural Resource Management and Policy, in: Leslie Lipper & Nancy McCarthy & David Zilberman & Solomon Asfaw & Giacomo Branca (ed.), Climate Smart Agriculture, pages 137-160, Springer.
    2. Kumar Bahadur Darjee & Prem Raj Neupane & Michael Köhl, 2023. "Proactive Adaptation Responses by Vulnerable Communities to Climate Change Impacts," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-30, July.
    3. Nawab Khan & Jiliang Ma & Hazem S. Kassem & Rizwan Kazim & Ram L. Ray & Muhammad Ihtisham & Shemei Zhang, 2022. "Rural Farmers’ Cognition and Climate Change Adaptation Impact on Cash Crop Productivity: Evidence from a Recent Study," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(19), pages 1-16, October.
    4. Ahmed, Zobaer & Guha, Gauri S. & Shew, Aaron M. & Alam, G.M. Monirul, 2021. "Climate change risk perceptions and agricultural adaptation strategies in vulnerable riverine char islands of Bangladesh," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
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    1. He Qiu & Hao Chen & Yijing Chen & Chuyu Xu & Yuxue Guo & Saihua Huang & Hui Nie & Huawei Xie, 2025. "Response of the Evolution of Basin Hydrometeorological Drought to ENSO: A Case Study of the Jiaojiang River Basin in Southeast China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(6), pages 1-25, March.

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