IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v15y2023i16p12517-d1219449.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Driving Force Exploration for Flash Flood Based on Mann–Kendall Test and Geographical Detector: A Case Study of Hainan Island, China

Author

Listed:
  • Lingling Bin

    (School of Geographic and Environmental Sciences, Tianjin Normal University, Tianjin 300387, China)

  • Weichao Yang

    (Tianjin Key Laboratory of Soft Soil Characteristics & Engineering Environment, Tianjin Chengjian University, Tianjin 300384, China)

  • Kui Xu

    (State Key Laboratory of Hydraulic Engineering Simulation and Safety, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300350, China)

Abstract

Flash floods are among the deadliest hazards in China and have led to substantial casualties and losses, especially on Hainan Island. Therefore, it is of great significance to explore the main driving force behind them. Nevertheless, research on the driving force of flash floods is limited here. This study explores the driving force of flash floods on Hainan Island from 14 factors involving three categories: natural, social, and rainfall factors. Two quantitative methods, like the Mann–Kendall test and the geographical detector method, are applied. The Mann–Kendall test is usually used for time series trend analysis and is introduced to divide the flash flood periods into D95 (years from 1980 to 1995) and D14 (years from 1996 to 2014) through the results of reported flash flood trend analysis. The geographical detector is applied to analyze the driving force of flash floods. There are several key findings from this study that help better understand the driving force about flash floods. Firstly, the results show that the main driving forces of flash floods are natural factors like Elevation and Soil in both periods, and they are on the rise. Secondly, the influence of short-term heavy rainfall on flash floods is becoming more and more serious. Thirdly, even though the driving forces from social factors to flash floods are small, the impact of population density on that is significantly increasing.

Suggested Citation

  • Lingling Bin & Weichao Yang & Kui Xu, 2023. "Driving Force Exploration for Flash Flood Based on Mann–Kendall Test and Geographical Detector: A Case Study of Hainan Island, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-17, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:16:p:12517-:d:1219449
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/16/12517/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/16/12517/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shakeel Mahmood & Amin-ul-Haq Khan & Shaker Mahmood Mayo, 2016. "Exploring underlying causes and assessing damages of 2010 flash flood in the upper zone of Panjkora River," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 83(2), pages 1213-1227, September.
    2. Paolo Billi & Yonas Alemu & Rossano Ciampalini, 2015. "Increased frequency of flash floods in Dire Dawa, Ethiopia: Change in rainfall intensity or human impact?," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 76(2), pages 1373-1394, March.
    3. A’kif Al-Fugara & Ali Nouh Mabdeh & Saad Alayyash & Awni Khasawneh, 2023. "Hydrological and Hydrodynamic Modeling for Flash Flood and Embankment Dam Break Scenario: Hazard Mapping of Extreme Storm Events," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-28, January.
    4. Yesen Liu & Ximin Yuan & Liang Guo & Yaohuan Huang & Xiaolei Zhang, 2017. "Driving Force Analysis of the Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Flash Floods in Sichuan Province," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-17, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Abdulwaheed Tella & Abdul-Lateef Balogun, 2020. "Ensemble fuzzy MCDM for spatial assessment of flood susceptibility in Ibadan, Nigeria," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(3), pages 2277-2306, December.
    2. Liying Sun & Bingjuan Ma & Liang Pei & Xiaohang Zhang & John L. Zhou, 2021. "The relationship of human activities and rainfall-induced landslide and debris flow hazards in Central China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(1), pages 147-169, May.
    3. Junnan Xiong & Chongchong Ye & Weiming Cheng & Liang Guo & Chenghu Zhou & Xiaolei Zhang, 2019. "The Spatiotemporal Distribution of Flash Floods and Analysis of Partition Driving Forces in Yunnan Province," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-18, May.
    4. Chukwudi Gbadebo Njoku & Joel Efiong & Nse-Abasi Ndiyo Ayara, 2020. "A Geospatial Expose of Flood-Risk and Vulnerable Areas in Nigeria," International Journal of Applied Geospatial Research (IJAGR), IGI Global, vol. 11(3), pages 87-110, July.
    5. Xiaoyun Sun & Guotao Zhang & Jiao Wang & Chaoyue Li & Shengnan Wu & Yao Li, 2022. "Spatiotemporal variation of flash floods in the Hengduan Mountains region affected by rainfall properties and land use," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(1), pages 465-488, March.
    6. Muhammad Dawood & Atta-ur Rahman & Sami Ullah & Shakeel Mahmood & Ghani Rahman & Kamran Azam, 2020. "Spatio-statistical analysis of rainfall fluctuation, anomaly and trend in the Hindu Kush region using ARIMA approach," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 101(2), pages 449-464, March.
    7. Maurizio Tiepolo & Maurizio Rosso & Giovanni Massazza & Elena Belcore & Souradji Issa & Sarah Braccio, 2019. "Flood Assessment for Risk-Informed Planning along the Sirba River, Niger," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-18, July.
    8. Yesen Liu & Yaohuan Huang & Jinhong Wan & Zhenshan Yang & Xiaolei Zhang, 2020. "Analysis of Human Activity Impact on Flash Floods in China from 1950 to 2015," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
    9. Shanmugam Mohan Kumar & Vellingiri Geethalakshmi & Subbiah Ramanathan & Alagarsamy Senthil & Kandasamy Senthilraja & Kulanthaivel Bhuvaneswari & Ramasamy Gowtham & Balaji Kannan & Shanmugavel Priyanka, 2022. "Rainfall Spatial-Temporal Variability and Trends in the Thamirabharani River Basin, India: Implications for Agricultural Planning and Water Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-22, November.
    10. Jian Fang & Feng Kong & Jiayi Fang & Lin Zhao, 2018. "Observed changes in hydrological extremes and flood disaster in Yangtze River Basin: spatial–temporal variability and climate change impacts," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 93(1), pages 89-107, August.
    11. Athiwat Phinyoyang & Suwit Ongsomwang, 2021. "Optimizing Land Use and Land Cover Allocation for Flood Mitigation Using Land Use Change and Hydrological Models with Goal Programming, Chaiyaphum, Thailand," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-41, November.
    12. Saad S. Alarifi & Mohamed Abdelkareem & Fathy Abdalla & Mislat Alotaibi, 2022. "Flash Flood Hazard Mapping Using Remote Sensing and GIS Techniques in Southwestern Saudi Arabia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-21, October.
    13. Yesen Liu & Ximin Yuan & Liang Guo & Yaohuan Huang & Xiaolei Zhang, 2017. "Driving Force Analysis of the Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Flash Floods in Sichuan Province," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-17, August.
    14. Yeneayehu Fenetahun & Yuan You & Xinwen Xu & Vincent Nzabarinda & Yongdong Wang, 2021. "The Impact of Political Instability on Sustainable Rangeland Management: A Study of Borana Rangeland, Southern Ethiopia," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-16, April.
    15. Chukwudi Gbadebo Njoku & Joel Efiong & Nse-Abasi Ndiyo Ayara, 2020. "A Geospatial Expose of Flood-Risk and Vulnerable Areas in Nigeria," International Journal of Applied Geospatial Research (IJAGR), IGI Global, vol. 11(3), pages 1-24, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:16:p:12517-:d:1219449. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.