IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v15y2023i14p11216-d1196969.html

Multi-Criteria Seismic Risk Assessment Based on Combined Weight-TOPSIS Model and CF-Logistic Regression Model—A Case Study of Songyuan City, China

Author

Listed:
  • Jiale Zhu

    (College of Jilin Emergency Management, Changchun Institute of Technology, Changchun 130012, China)

  • Yichen Zhang

    (College of Jilin Emergency Management, Changchun Institute of Technology, Changchun 130012, China)

  • Jiquan Zhang

    (Institute of Natural Disaster Research, School of Environment, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China)

  • Yanan Chen

    (College of Jilin Emergency Management, Changchun Institute of Technology, Changchun 130012, China)

  • Yijun Liu

    (College of Jilin Emergency Management, Changchun Institute of Technology, Changchun 130012, China)

  • Huanan Liu

    (College of Surveying and Mapping Engineering, Changchun Institute of Technology, Changchun 130021, China)

Abstract

Urban seismic hazards are natural disasters caused by earthquakes in urban areas, which may lead to serious casualties, the collapse of buildings, infrastructure damage, and other impacts, require huge social resources for recovery and reconstruction, and even affect the security stability and sustainable development of the area. This paper adopts the research idea of “Risk = Hazard × Exposure × Vulnerability ÷ Emergency response and recovery capability” and constructs an evaluation system containing 24 representative indicators on this basis. The CF-logistic regression model is applied in the study to calculate the seismic hazard, while the combined weight-TOPSIS model is used to assess the vulnerability of urban hazard-bearing body. Lastly, the study conducts multi-criteria seismic risk evaluation using the GIS platform. The results show that the overall seismic risk in Songyuan is moderate, with 18.66% of the medium-risk area, 37.68% of the very low risk area, 33.96% of the low-risk area, 8.47% of the high-risk area, and 1.23% of the very high-risk area. The significance of this study is to provide a scientific basis for formulating corresponding disaster prevention and mitigation measures and emergency plans, improving urban disaster prevention and emergency response capabilities, reducing urban earthquake disaster losses, and helping to achieve safe and stable urban development.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiale Zhu & Yichen Zhang & Jiquan Zhang & Yanan Chen & Yijun Liu & Huanan Liu, 2023. "Multi-Criteria Seismic Risk Assessment Based on Combined Weight-TOPSIS Model and CF-Logistic Regression Model—A Case Study of Songyuan City, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-28, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:14:p:11216-:d:1196969
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/14/11216/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/14/11216/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yi Peng, 2015. "Regional earthquake vulnerability assessment using a combination of MCDM methods," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 234(1), pages 95-110, November.
    2. V. Martins & Delta Silva & Pedro Cabral, 2012. "Social vulnerability assessment to seismic risk using multicriteria analysis: the case study of Vila Franca do Campo (São Miguel Island, Azores, Portugal)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 62(2), pages 385-404, June.
    3. Navdeep Agrawal & Laxmi Gupta & Jagabandhu Dixit, 2021. "Assessment of the Socioeconomic Vulnerability to Seismic Hazards in the National Capital Region of India Using Factor Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-19, August.
    4. Ilan Noy & Rio Yonson, 2018. "Economic Vulnerability and Resilience to Natural Hazards: A Survey of Concepts and Measurements," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-16, August.
    5. Sukanta Malakar & Abhishek K. Rai, 2022. "Earthquake vulnerability in the Himalaya by integrated multi-criteria decision models," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(1), pages 213-237, March.
    6. Alexandru Banica & Lucian Rosu & Ionel Muntele & Adrian Grozavu, 2017. "Towards Urban Resilience: A Multi-Criteria Analysis of Seismic Vulnerability in Iasi City (Romania)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-17, February.
    7. Yuxin Zhu & Dazuo Tian & Feng Yan, 2020. "Effectiveness of Entropy Weight Method in Decision-Making," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2020, pages 1-5, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Navdeep Agrawal & Laxmi Gupta & Jagabandhu Dixit, 2021. "Assessment of the Socioeconomic Vulnerability to Seismic Hazards in the National Capital Region of India Using Factor Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-19, August.
    2. Blake Byron Walker & Nadine Schuurman & David Swanlund & John J. Clague, 2021. "GIS-based multicriteria evaluation for earthquake response: a case study of expert opinion in Vancouver, Canada," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(2), pages 2075-2091, January.
    3. Shibu Das & Kaushal Kumar Sharma, 2026. "Socio-economic vulnerability assessment to climate change-induced disasters among the agriculture-based Indigenous communities: empirical evidence from Indian Sundarban biosphere reserve," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 122(2), pages 1-52, January.
    4. Xiaosi Zhang & Jizhong Shao, 2024. "Evaluation of the Suitability of Street Vending Planning in Urban Public Space in the Post-COVID-19 Era," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-26, April.
    5. Hisham Alidrisi, 2021. "An Innovative Job Evaluation Approach Using the VIKOR Algorithm," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-19, June.
    6. Lorenzo Bruno Prataviera & Alessandro Creazza & Marco Melacini & Fabrizio Dallari, 2022. "Heading for Tomorrow: Resilience Strategies for Post-COVID-19 Grocery Supply Chains," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-17, February.
    7. Kumar, Shantanu & Mehany, Mohammed S.Hashem M., 2022. "A standardized framework for quantitative assessment of cities’ socioeconomic resilience and its improvement measures," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    8. Zhao, Yingrui & Hu, Songhua & Zhang, Ming, 2024. "Evaluating equitable Transit-Oriented development (TOD) via the Node-Place-People model," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    9. Danxue Fan & Meiyue Li, 2025. "Coupling and Coordinated Development Analysis of Digital Economy, Economic Resilience, and Ecological Protection," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(9), pages 1-25, May.
    10. Jie Zhou & Wenyi Liu & Yu Lin & Benyong Wei & Yaohui Liu, 2024. "The Evaluation and Comparison of Resilience for Shelters in Old and New Urban Districts: A Case Study in Kunming City, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-15, April.
    11. Seunghoo Jeong & Byeong Je Kim & Young‐Joo Lee & Ji‐Bum Chung & Sung‐Han Sim, 2020. "Individual Disaster Assistance For Socially Vulnerable People: Lessons Learned From the Pohang Earthquake in the Republic of Korea," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(11), pages 2373-2389, November.
    12. Verschuur,Jasper & Becher,Olivia Rose Elizabeth & Schwantje,Tom & Mathijs Van Ledden & Kazi,Swarna & Urrutia Duarte,Ignacio M., 2023. "Welfare and Climate Risks in Coastal Bangladesh : The Impacts of Climatic Extremes onMultidimensional Poverty and the Wider Benefits of Climate Adaptation," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10373, The World Bank.
    13. Sukanta Malakar & Abhishek K. Rai & Arun K. Gupta, 2023. "Earthquake risk mapping in the Himalayas by integrated analytical hierarchy process, entropy with neural network," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(1), pages 951-975, March.
    14. Rajbonshi, Manas Protim & Gupta, Debaditya & Mitra, Sudip, 2026. "Seasonal comparison of the impacts of climate-smart agrotechnologies on greenhouse gas mitigation in flooded rice fields: Application of multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) technique," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    15. Yunxiang Ge & Cheng Lu & Han Gao, 2023. "Constructing an Indicator System for Cultural Sustainability in Chinese Cities under the Objective of Urban Renewal and Capability Measurement," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-23, September.
    16. Govind Joshi & Salman Mohagheghi, 2021. "Optimal Operation of Combined Energy and Water Systems for Community Resilience against Natural Disasters," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-19, September.
    17. Ibolya Török, 2018. "Qualitative Assessment of Social Vulnerability to Flood Hazards in Romania," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-20, October.
    18. Saikia, Mrinal & Mahanta, Ratul, 2023. "Measurement of Vulnerability to Climate Change in Char Areas: A Survey," Ecology, Economy and Society - the INSEE Journal, Indian Society of Ecological Economics (INSEE), vol. 6(01), January.
    19. Justin S. Rogers & Marco P. Maneta & Stephan R. Sain & Luke E. Madaus & Joshua P. Hacker, 2025. "The role of climate and population change in global flood exposure and vulnerability," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-11, December.
    20. Uddhav Prasad Guragain & Worawat Srisawasdi & Shoukat Ali, 2025. "Assessing Flood Resilience Through Indexing: A Comparative Analysis of Migrated and Non-Migrated Households in Nepal," SAGE Open, , vol. 15(2), pages 21582440251, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:14:p:11216-:d:1196969. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.