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Land Use-Driven Changes in Ecosystem Service Values and Simulation of Future Scenarios: A Case Study of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau

Author

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  • Yongkang Zhou

    (School of Economics, Guizhou University, Guiyang 550025, China)

  • Xiaoyao Zhang

    (School of Geography and Tourism, Anhui Normal University, Wuhu 241000, China)

  • Hu Yu

    (Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China)

  • Qingqing Liu

    (College of Tourism and Exhibition, Henan University of Economics and Law, Zhengzhou 450046, China)

  • Linlin Xu

    (Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China)

Abstract

Global climate change and land use change arising from human activities affect the ecosystem service values (ESVs). Such impacts have increasingly become significant, especially in the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP). Major factors impeding the construction of China’s “ecological security barrier” are shifts in land-use patterns under rapid urbanization, irrational crop and animal husbandry activities, and tourism. In the present study, land use changes in the QTP in recent years were analyzed to determine their impacts on ESVs, followed by simulations of the interactive and evolutionary relationships between land use and ESVs under two scenarios: natural development scenarios and ecological protection scenarios. According to the results, the QTP land-use structure has a small change, and the main land use type is alpine grassland, followed by bare land and woodland. The stability of the major land use types is the key factor responsible for the overall increasing ESV trend. Different regions on the QTP had substantially varied ESVs. The northwest and southeast regions are mostly bare land, which is a concentrated area of low value of ecosystem services. A variety of land use types including grassland and woodland have been found in the humid and semi-humid areas of the central region, so the high value of ecosystem services is concentrated in this area to form a hot spot, with a Z value of 0.63–2.84. Simulations under the natural development and ecological protection scenarios revealed that land use changes guided by ecological policies were more balanced and the associated ESVs were relatively higher than those under the natural development scenario. Under a global climate change context, human activities on the QTP should be better managed. Sustainable development in the region could be facilitated by ensuring synchronization between resource availability and adopted socioeconomic activities.

Suggested Citation

  • Yongkang Zhou & Xiaoyao Zhang & Hu Yu & Qingqing Liu & Linlin Xu, 2021. "Land Use-Driven Changes in Ecosystem Service Values and Simulation of Future Scenarios: A Case Study of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-19, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:7:p:4079-:d:531112
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Nansha Sun & Qiong Chen & Fenggui Liu & Qiang Zhou & Wenxin He & Yuanyuan Guo, 2023. "Land Use Simulation and Landscape Ecological Risk Assessment on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-14, April.
    2. Yuanyuan Lou & Dan Yang & Pengyan Zhang & Ying Zhang & Meiling Song & Yicheng Huang & Wenlong Jing, 2022. "Multi-Scenario Simulation of Land Use Changes with Ecosystem Service Value in the Yellow River Basin," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-17, June.
    3. Zhaonan Guo & Junju Zhou & Yu Qiu & Haitao Tang & Chuyu Luo & Xue Wang & Dongfeng Ma & Jiao Dou & Wei Shi & Dongxia Zhang & Chunfang Liu & Wei Wei & Guofeng Zhu, 2022. "Analyzing the Process of Land-Use Transfer Flow in the Suhai Lake Basin in China, 1980–2018," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-19, December.
    4. Ting Ma & Brent Swallow & J. Marc Foggin & Linsheng Zhong & Weiguo Sang, 2023. "Co-management for sustainable development and conservation in Sanjiangyuan National Park and the surrounding Tibetan nomadic pastoralist areas," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-13, December.
    5. Hejie Wei & Jiaxin Zheng & Dong Xue & Xiaobin Dong & Mengxue Liu & Yali Zhang, 2022. "Identifying the Relationship between Livelihoods and Land Ecosystem Services Using a Coupled Model: A Case Study in the “One River and Two Tributaries” Region of Tibet," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-23, August.
    6. Kamal Abdelrahim Mohamed Shuka & Wang Ke & Mohammad Sohail Nazar & Ghali Abdullahi Abubakar & AmirReza Shahtahamssebi, 2022. "Impact of Hydrological Infrastructure Projects on Land Use/Cover and Socioeconomic Development in Arid Regions—Evidence from the Upper Atbara and Setit Dam Complex, Kassala, Eastern Sudan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-23, March.
    7. Chunsheng Wu, 2022. "Study on the Spatial Differences in Land-Use Change and Driving Factors in Tibet," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-17, September.
    8. Dingwei Niu & Lucang Wang & Fuwei Qiao & Wei Li, 2022. "Analysis of Landscape Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Residential Areas on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau: A Case Study of Tibet, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(22), pages 1-20, November.

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