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Shifts in Climatic Niche Occupation in Astrophytum Coahuilense (H. Möller) Kayser and Its Potential Distribution in Mexico

Author

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  • Gabriel Fernando Cardoza-Martínez

    (Laboratorio de ecología pesquera, ictiología y acuacultura, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango. Avenida Universidad s/n, Fraccionamiento Filadelfia, Gómez Palacio, Durango 35010, México)

  • Jorge Luis Becerra-López

    (Laboratorio de Cambio Climático y Conservación de Recursos Naturales, Centro de Estudios Ecológicos, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango. Avenida Universidad s/n, Fraccionamiento Filadelfia, Gómez Palacio, Durango 35010, México)

  • Citlalli Edith Esparza-Estrada

    (Instituto Potosino de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica, División de Ciencias Ambientales. Camino a la Presa San José No. 2055, Colonia Lomas 4ª. Sección, San Luis Potosí, San Luis Potosí 78216, México)

  • José Luis Estrada-Rodríguez

    (Laboratorio de Ecología y Evolución, Centro de Estudios Ecológicos, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango. Avenida Universidad s/n, Fraccionamiento Filadelfia, Gómez Palacio, Durango 35010, México)

  • Alexander Czaja

    (Laboratorio de Ecología y Evolución, Centro de Estudios Ecológicos, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango. Avenida Universidad s/n, Fraccionamiento Filadelfia, Gómez Palacio, Durango 35010, México)

  • Muhammad Ehsan

    (Colegio de Postgraduados, Programa de Edafología, Carretera México-Texcoco km. 36.5, Montecillo, Texcoco, Estado de México 56230, México)

  • Eduardo Baltierra-Trejo

    (CONACyT-Universidad Juárez Autónoma de Tabasco. Laboratorio de Remediación, División Académica de Ciencias Biológicas, Carretera Villahermosa-Cárdenas km 0.5, Villahermosa, Tabasco 86150, México)

  • Ulises Romero-Méndez

    (Laboratorio de Sistemas de información Geográfica, Centro de Estudios Ecológicos, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Juárez del Estado de Durango. Avenida Universidad s/n, Fraccionamiento Filadelfia, Gómez Palacio, Durango 35010, México)

Abstract

It has frequently been reported that species with strong niche conservatism will not be able to adapt to new climatic conditions, so they must migrate or go extinct. We have evaluated the shifts in climatic niche occupation of the species Astrophytum coahuilense and its potential distribution in Mexico. We understand niche occupation as the geographic zones with available habitats and with the presence of the species. To assess shifts in climatic niche occupation, we used niche overlap analysis, while potential distribution modeling was performed based on the principle of maximum entropy. The results indicate that this species presents a limited amplitude in its climate niche. This restriction of the climatic niche of A. coahuilense limits its ability to colonize new geographical areas with different climatic environments. On the other hand, the potential distribution models obtained from the present study allow us to identify potential zones based on the climatic requirements of the species. This information is important to identify high priority areas for the conservation of A. coahuilense .

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriel Fernando Cardoza-Martínez & Jorge Luis Becerra-López & Citlalli Edith Esparza-Estrada & José Luis Estrada-Rodríguez & Alexander Czaja & Muhammad Ehsan & Eduardo Baltierra-Trejo & Ulises Romero, 2019. "Shifts in Climatic Niche Occupation in Astrophytum Coahuilense (H. Möller) Kayser and Its Potential Distribution in Mexico," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-13, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:4:p:1138-:d:207943
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Moreno-Amat, Elena & Mateo, Rubén G. & Nieto-Lugilde, Diego & Morueta-Holme, Naia & Svenning, Jens-Christian & García-Amorena, Ignacio, 2015. "Impact of model complexity on cross-temporal transferability in Maxent species distribution models: An assessment using paleobotanical data," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 312(C), pages 308-317.
    3. C. N. Johnson, 1998. "Species extinction and the relationship between distribution and abundance," Nature, Nature, vol. 394(6690), pages 272-274, July.
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