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Agricultural Land vs. Urbanisation in Chosen Polish Metropolitan Areas: A Spatial Analysis Based on Regression Trees

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  • Wojciech Sroka

    (Institute of Economic and Social Sciences, University of Agriculture in Krakow, Al. Mickiewicza 21, 31-120 Krakow, Poland)

  • Jaroslaw Mikolajczyk

    (Institute of Administration and Economics, State Higher Vocational School in Tarnow, Mickiewicza 8, 33-100 Tarnow, Poland)

  • Tomasz Wojewodzic

    (Institute of Economic and Social Sciences, University of Agriculture in Krakow, Al. Mickiewicza 21, 31-120 Krakow, Poland)

  • Boguslawa Kwoczynska

    (Department of Agricultural Land Surveying, Cadaster and Photogrammetry, University of Agriculture in Krakow, Al. Mickiewicza 24/28, 31-120 Krakow, Poland)

Abstract

The goal of this paper is to explore intra-regional differences in factors determining land use. We built spatial regression tree models to assess the factors determining the share of agricultural area in municipalities of selected Polish metropolitan areas in 2010. The analyses are static, with the value of exogenous variables presented as an average for the longest possible period preceding the year 2010. We analysed the impact of socio-economic processes, natural conditions, and farming characteristics on the share of agricultural land in the surface area of particular municipalities in metropolitan areas. Based on the concept of economic rents that says that the way land is used is determined by economic rent, we have shown that the most important factor with an impact on the share of agricultural land is the number of enterprises per 10,000 people of working age. Other very important factors have been found to be the quality of environmental conditions of agricultural production, population density, and net migration. It was noted that with an increase in the rate of enterprises, as well as an increase in population density and net migration, the share of agricultural land falls, and a high quality of agricultural production comes with a relatively high share of agricultural land in the surface area of the municipalities analysed.

Suggested Citation

  • Wojciech Sroka & Jaroslaw Mikolajczyk & Tomasz Wojewodzic & Boguslawa Kwoczynska, 2018. "Agricultural Land vs. Urbanisation in Chosen Polish Metropolitan Areas: A Spatial Analysis Based on Regression Trees," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-22, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:3:p:837-:d:136585
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    Cited by:

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    2. Wojewodzic, Tomasz & Sroka, Wojciech, 2018. "Commercial farms in metropolitan areas in Poland: changes in production factor resources," Village and Agriculture (Wieś i Rolnictwo), Polish Academy of Sciences (IRWiR PAN), Institute of Rural and Agricultural Development, vol. 181(4), December.
    3. Wojciech Sroka & Michał Dudek & Tomasz Wojewodzic & Karol Król, 2019. "Generational Changes in Agriculture: The Influence of Farm Characteristics and Socio-Economic Factors," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-27, December.
    4. Wojciech Sroka & Bernd Pölling & Tomasz Wojewodzic & Miroslaw Strus & Paulina Stolarczyk & Olga Podlinska, 2019. "Determinants of Farmland Abandonment in Selected Metropolitan Areas of Poland: A Spatial Analysis on the Basis of Regression Trees and Interviews with Experts," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-23, May.
    5. Płonka, Aleksandra & Wojewodzic, Tomasz & Sroka, Wojciech & Mikołajczyk, Jarosław, 2020. "Livestock Production in Metropolitan Areas – Changes in Scale and Structure," Roczniki (Annals), Polish Association of Agricultural Economists and Agribusiness - Stowarzyszenie Ekonomistow Rolnictwa e Agrobiznesu (SERiA), vol. 2020(01).
    6. Zita Izakovičová & László Miklós & Viktória Miklósová, 2018. "Integrative Assessment of Land Use Conflicts," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-30, September.
    7. Shan He & Lin Lin & Qian Xu & Chenxia Hu & Mengmeng Zhou & Jinhua Liu & Yongjun Li & Ke Wang, 2021. "Farmland Zoning Integrating Agricultural Multi-Functional Supply, Demand and Relationships: A Case Study of the Hangzhou Metropolitan Area, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-19, September.
    8. Bonoua Faye & Guoming Du, 2021. "Agricultural Land Transition in the “Groundnut Basin” of Senegal: 2009 to 2018," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-17, September.
    9. Pepliński, Benedykt, 2020. "Changes in the Location of Cow Herds in Poland in Light of Sinclair’s Location Theories," Roczniki (Annals), Polish Association of Agricultural Economists and Agribusiness - Stowarzyszenie Ekonomistow Rolnictwa e Agrobiznesu (SERiA), vol. 2020(01).
    10. Benedykt Pepliński, 2020. "Location of Cows and Pigs in Suburban Areas of Polish Metropolitan Centers," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-20, March.
    11. Eda Ustaoglu & Brendan Williams, 2022. "Institutional Settings and Effects on Agricultural Land Conversion: A Global and Spatial Analysis of European Regions," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-35, December.
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    13. Lucia Palšová & Katarína Melichová & Ina Melišková, 2019. "Modelling Development, Territorial and Legislative Factors Impacting the Changes in Use of Agricultural Land in Slovakia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-19, July.
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    16. Biao Zhang & Dian Shao & Zhonghu Zhang, 2022. "Spatio-Temporal Evolution Dynamic, Effect and Governance Policy of Construction Land Use in Urban Agglomeration: Case Study of Yangtze River Delta, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-36, May.

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