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Catastrophe Insurance Modeled by Shot-Noise Processes

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  • Thorsten Schmidt

    (Chemnitz University of Technology, Reichenhainer Str. 41, Chemnitz 09126, Germany)

Abstract

Shot-noise processes generalize compound Poisson processes in the following way: a jump (the shot) is followed by a decline (noise). This constitutes a useful model for insurance claims in many circumstances; claims due to natural disasters or self-exciting processes exhibit similar features. We give a general account of shot-noise processes with time-inhomogeneous drivers inspired by recent results in credit risk. Moreover, we derive a number of useful results for modeling and pricing with shot-noise processes. Besides this, we obtain some highly tractable examples and constitute a useful modeling tool for dynamic claims processes. The results can in particular be used for pricing Catastrophe Bonds (CAT bonds), a traded risk-linked security. Additionally, current results regarding the estimation of shot-noise processes are reviewed.

Suggested Citation

  • Thorsten Schmidt, 2014. "Catastrophe Insurance Modeled by Shot-Noise Processes," Risks, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-22, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jrisks:v:2:y:2014:i:1:p:3-24:d:33264
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Herbertsson, Alexander & Jang, Jiwook & Schmidt, Thorsten, 2011. "Pricing basket default swaps in a tractable shot noise model," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 81(8), pages 1196-1207, August.
    2. repec:fth:geneec:99.01 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Moreno, Manuel & Serrano, Pedro & Stute, Winfried, 2011. "Statistical properties and economic implications of jump-diffusion processes with shot-noise effects," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 214(3), pages 656-664, November.
    4. Dassios, Angelos & Jang, Jiwook, 2003. "Pricing of catastrophe reinsurance and derivatives using the Cox process with shot noise intensity," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 2849, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Samuel Cox & Hal Pedersen, 2000. "Catastrophe Risk Bonds," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(4), pages 56-82.
    6. Timo Altmann & Thorsten Schmidt & Winfried Stute, 2008. "A Shot Noise Model For Financial Assets," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 11(01), pages 87-106.
    7. Esche, Felix & Schweizer, Martin, 2005. "Minimal entropy preserves the Lévy property: how and why," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 299-327, February.
    8. Schmidt, Thorsten & Stute, Winfried, 2007. "Shot-noise processes and the minimal martingale measure," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(12), pages 1332-1338, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

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    2. Masahiko Egami & Rusudan Kevkhishvili, 2016. "An Analysis of Simultaneous Company Defaults Using a Shot Noise Process," Discussion papers e-16-001, Graduate School of Economics , Kyoto University.
    3. Avanzi, Benjamin & Wong, Bernard & Yang, Xinda, 2016. "A micro-level claim count model with overdispersion and reporting delays," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 1-14.
    4. Sukono & Hafizan Juahir & Riza Andrian Ibrahim & Moch Panji Agung Saputra & Yuyun Hidayat & Igif Gimin Prihanto, 2022. "Application of Compound Poisson Process in Pricing Catastrophe Bonds: A Systematic Literature Review," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(15), pages 1-19, July.
    5. Dassios, Angelos & Jang, Jiwook & Zhao, Hongbiao, 2015. "A risk model with renewal shot-noise Cox process," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 55-65.
    6. Claudia Ceci & Katia Colaneri & Alessandra Cretarola, 2021. "Optimal Reinsurance and Investment under Common Shock Dependence Between Financial and Actuarial Markets," Papers 2105.07524, arXiv.org.
    7. Dassios, Angelos & Jang, Jiwook & Zhao, Hongbiao, 2015. "A risk model with renewal shot-noise Cox process," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 64051, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    8. Zied Chaieb & Djibril Gueye, 2022. "Pricing zero-coupon CAT bonds using the enlargement of ltration theory: a general framework," Papers 2208.02609, arXiv.org.
    9. Yiqing Chen, 2019. "A Renewal Shot Noise Process with Subexponential Shot Marks," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-8, June.
    10. Durga, N. & Muthukumar, P., 2019. "Existence and exponential behavior of multi-valued nonlinear fractional stochastic integro-differential equations with Poisson jumps of Clarke’s subdifferential type," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 347-359.
    11. Jang, Jiwook & Dassios, Angelos & Zhao, Hongbiao, 2018. "Moments of renewal shot-noise processes and their applications," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87428, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    12. Zied Chaieb & Djibril Gueye, 2022. "Pricing zero-coupon CAT bonds using the enlargement of ltration theory: a general framework ," Post-Print hal-03745077, HAL.
    13. Krzysztof Burnecki & Mario Nicoló Giuricich, 2017. "Stable Weak Approximation at Work in Index-Linked Catastrophe Bond Pricing," Risks, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-19, December.
    14. Liu, Wenyue & Cadenillas, Abel, 2023. "Optimal insurance contracts for a shot-noise Cox claim process and persistent insured's actions," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 69-93.
    15. Riza Andrian Ibrahim & Sukono & Herlina Napitupulu, 2022. "Multiple-Trigger Catastrophe Bond Pricing Model and Its Simulation Using Numerical Methods," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-17, April.

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