IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jmathe/v12y2023i1p85-d1307816.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An Out-of-Distribution Generalization Framework Based on Variational Backdoor Adjustment

Author

Listed:
  • Hang Su

    (School of Mathematics, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China)

  • Wei Wang

    (School of Mathematics, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China)

Abstract

In practical applications, learning models that can perform well even when the data distribution is different from the training set are essential and meaningful. Such problems are often referred to as out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization problems. In this paper, we propose a method for OOD generalization based on causal inference. Unlike the prevalent OOD generalization methods, our approach does not require the environment labels associated with the data in the training set. We analyze the causes of distributional shifts in data from a causal modeling perspective and then propose a backdoor adjustment method based on variational inference. Finally, we constructed a unique network structure to simulate the variational inference process. The proposed variational backdoor adjustment (VBA) framework can be combined with any mainstream backbone network. In addition to theoretical derivation, we conduct experiments on different datasets to demonstrate that our method performs well in prediction accuracy and generalization gaps. Furthermore, by comparing the VBA framework with other mainstream OOD methods, we show that VBA performs better than mainstream methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Hang Su & Wei Wang, 2023. "An Out-of-Distribution Generalization Framework Based on Variational Backdoor Adjustment," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-21, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:12:y:2023:i:1:p:85-:d:1307816
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/12/1/85/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/12/1/85/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jonas Peters & Peter Bühlmann & Nicolai Meinshausen, 2016. "Causal inference by using invariant prediction: identification and confidence intervals," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 78(5), pages 947-1012, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ruoxuan Xiong & Allison Koenecke & Michael Powell & Zhu Shen & Joshua T. Vogelstein & Susan Athey, 2021. "Federated Causal Inference in Heterogeneous Observational Data," Papers 2107.11732, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
    2. Fangting Zhou & Kejun He & Yang Ni, 2023. "Individualized causal discovery with latent trajectory embedded Bayesian networks," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 79(4), pages 3191-3202, December.
    3. Abrell, Jan & Kosch, Mirjam & Rausch, Sebastian, 2022. "How effective is carbon pricing?—A machine learning approach to policy evaluation," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    4. Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damage," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-24, May.
    5. Peter Bühlmann & Domagoj Ćevid, 2020. "Deconfounding and Causal Regularisation for Stability and External Validity," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 88(S1), pages 114-134, December.
    6. Katerina Rigana & Ernst C. Wit & Samantha Cook, 2024. "Navigating Market Turbulence: Insights from Causal Network Contagion Value at Risk," Papers 2402.06032, arXiv.org.
    7. Martin Emil Jakobsen & Jonas Peters, 2022. "Distributional robustness of K-class estimators and the PULSE [The colonial origins of comparative development: An empirical investigation]," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 25(2), pages 404-432.
    8. Guillaume Coqueret, 2023. "Forking paths in financial economics," Papers 2401.08606, arXiv.org.
    9. Lenz, Gabriel & Sahn, Alexander, 2017. "Achieving Statistical Significance with Covariates and without Transparency," MetaArXiv s42ba, Center for Open Science.
    10. Martin Emil Jakobsen & Jonas Peters, 2020. "Distributional robustness of K-class estimators and the PULSE," Papers 2005.03353, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2022.
    11. Wang, Bingling & Zhou, Qing, 2021. "Causal network learning with non-invertible functional relationships," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    12. Lihua Lei & Emmanuel J. Candès, 2021. "Conformal inference of counterfactuals and individual treatment effects," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 83(5), pages 911-938, November.
    13. Anton Rask Lundborg & Rajen D. Shah & Jonas Peters, 2022. "Conditional independence testing in Hilbert spaces with applications to functional data analysis," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 84(5), pages 1821-1850, November.
    14. Christian Gische & Manuel C. Voelkle, 2022. "Beyond the Mean: A Flexible Framework for Studying Causal Effects Using Linear Models," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 87(3), pages 868-901, September.
    15. Peter Bühlmann, 2019. "Comments on: Data science, big data and statistics," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 28(2), pages 330-333, June.
    16. Linda Mhalla & Valérie Chavez‐Demoulin & Debbie J. Dupuis, 2020. "Causal mechanism of extreme river discharges in the upper Danube basin network," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 69(4), pages 741-764, August.
    17. Huang, Xianzheng & Zhang, Hongmei, 2021. "Tests for differential Gaussian Bayesian networks based on quadratic inference functions," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    18. Bühlmann, Peter & van de Geer, Sara, 2018. "Statistics for big data: A perspective," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 37-41.
    19. Federico Castelletti & Guido Consonni, 2020. "Discovering causal structures in Bayesian Gaussian directed acyclic graph models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 183(4), pages 1727-1745, October.
    20. Dominik Rothenhäusler & Nicolai Meinshausen & Peter Bühlmann & Jonas Peters, 2021. "Anchor regression: Heterogeneous data meet causality," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 83(2), pages 215-246, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:12:y:2023:i:1:p:85-:d:1307816. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.