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Comparative Study of Markov Chain Filtering Schemas for Stabilization of Stochastic Systems under Incomplete Information

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  • Alexey Bosov

    (Federal Research Center “Computer Science and Control” of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 44/2 Vavilova Str., 119333 Moscow, Russia)

  • Andrey Borisov

    (Federal Research Center “Computer Science and Control” of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 44/2 Vavilova Str., 119333 Moscow, Russia)

Abstract

The object under investigation is a controllable linear stochastic differential system affected by some external statistically uncertain piecewise continuous disturbances. They are directly unobservable but assumed to be a continuous-time Markov chain. The problem is to stabilize the system output concerning a quadratic optimality criterion. As is known, the separation theorem holds for the system. The goal of the paper is performance analysis of various numerical schemes applied to the filtering of the external Markov input for system stabilization purposes. The paper briefly presents the theoretical solution to the considered problem of optimal stabilization for systems with the Markov jump external disturbances: the conditions providing the separation theorem, the equations of optimal control, and the ones defining the Wonham filter. It also contains a complex of the stable numerical approximations of the filter, designed for the time-discretized observations, along with their accuracy characteristics. The approximations of orders 1 2 , 1, and 2 along with the classical Euler–Maruyama scheme are chosen for the comparison of the Wonham filter numerical realization. The filtering estimates are used in the practical stabilization of the various linear systems of the second order. The numerical experiments confirm the significant influence of the filtering precision on the stabilization performance and superiority of the proposed stable schemes of numerical filtering.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexey Bosov & Andrey Borisov, 2022. "Comparative Study of Markov Chain Filtering Schemas for Stabilization of Stochastic Systems under Incomplete Information," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(18), pages 1-20, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:10:y:2022:i:18:p:3381-:d:917545
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Andrew Ang & Allan Timmermann, 2012. "Regime Changes and Financial Markets," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 4(1), pages 313-337, October.
    2. Andrey Borisov & Alexey Bosov & Gregory Miller & Igor Sokolov, 2021. "Partial Diffusion Markov Model of Heterogeneous TCP Link: Optimization with Incomplete Information," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(14), pages 1-31, July.
    3. Andrey Borisov & Alexey Bosov & Gregory Miller, 2022. "Optimal Stabilization of Linear Stochastic System with Statistically Uncertain Piecewise Constant Drift," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-16, January.
    4. Jakv{s}a Cvitani'c & Robert Liptser & Boris Rozovskii, 2006. "A filtering approach to tracking volatility from prices observed at random times," Papers math/0612212, arXiv.org.
    5. Andrey Borisov & Igor Sokolov, 2020. "Optimal Filtering of Markov Jump Processes Given Observations with State-Dependent Noises: Exact Solution and Stable Numerical Schemes," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-22, April.
    6. Paulsen, Jostein, 1993. "Risk theory in a stochastic economic environment," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 327-361, June.
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