IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jlands/v14y2025i7p1474-d1702545.html

The Relationship Between Population Shrinkage, Ageing, and New-Type Urbanization in Counties: The Case of Jilin Province, China

Author

Listed:
  • Guolei Zhou

    (Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130102, China)

  • Zuopeng Ma

    (Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130102, China)

  • Pingyu Zhang

    (Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130102, China
    College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

Abstract

Counties are important vehicles for implementing the new-type urbanization strategy in China. However, some counties are experiencing population shrinkage and ageing, and the decline in the working-age population will constrain the process of new-type urbanization, but this has not received sufficient attention from academia and government policymakers. This paper takes Jilin Province, China, which is experiencing significant population shrinkage and ageing, as a case study to examine the spatial–temporal characteristics of population shrinkage and ageing at the county level and their relationship with new-type urbanization. This study found the following: (1) From 2014 to 2020, counties in Jilin Province experienced significant population shrinkage and ageing. (2) There is a certain correlation between population shrinkage and ageing. Ageing is the most obvious in counties with moderate shrinkage, followed by counties with mild shrinkage. (3) Although a new-type urbanization strategy has been implemented, the level of new-type urbanization in counties with population shrinkage and ageing is generally low and shows a trend of rising first and then falling. (4) Population shrinkage and ageing are positively correlated with new-type urbanization. The more severe the population shrinkage or ageing, the lower the level of new-type urbanization. It is necessary to take measures to alleviate the new-type urbanization dilemma in areas with population shrinkage and ageing, in order to promote sustainable regional development.

Suggested Citation

  • Guolei Zhou & Zuopeng Ma & Pingyu Zhang, 2025. "The Relationship Between Population Shrinkage, Ageing, and New-Type Urbanization in Counties: The Case of Jilin Province, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-17, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:14:y:2025:i:7:p:1474-:d:1702545
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/7/1474/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/7/1474/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Runchen Zhou & Yang Guo & Yuzhe Wu, 2023. "Exploration on the Innovation Model of County Urbanization Development with the Resource Constraints in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-22, November.
    2. Muyi Huang & Qin Guo & Guozhao Zhang & Yuru Tang & Xue Wu, 2025. "Spatiotemporal Coupling of New-Type Urbanization and Ecosystem Services in the Huaihe River Basin, China: Heterogeneity and Regulatory Strategy," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-25, January.
    3. Jiamin Liu & Xiaoyu Ma & Wenli Jia & Sisi Zhang, 2022. "Can New-Type Urbanization Construction Narrow the Urban–Rural Income Gap? Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-25, November.
    4. Sarbajit Chaudhuri & Ujjaini Mukhopadhyay, 2010. "Revisiting the Informal Sector," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-1-4419-1194-0, January.
    5. Yuanfang Wang & Qijin Geng & Xiaohui Si & Liping Kan, 2021. "Coupling and coordination analysis of urbanization, economy and environment of Shandong Province, China," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(7), pages 10397-10415, July.
    6. Mingxing Chen & Yuan Zhou & Xinrong Huang & Chao Ye, 2021. "The Integration of New-Type Urbanization and Rural Revitalization Strategies in China: Origin, Reality and Future Trends," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-16, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jing Xu & Zhenjian Zeng & Zhenhua Xi & Zhencong Peng & Gangheng Chen & Xiting Zhu & Xinjia Chen, 2024. "Research on Sustainable Urban–Rural Integration Development: Measuring Levels, Influencing Factors, and Exploring Driving Mechanisms—Taking Eight Cities in the Greater Bay Area as Examples," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(8), pages 1-29, April.
    2. Uchendu Eugene Chigbu & Ruishan Chen & Chao Ye, 2022. "Land Perspectives: People, Tenure, Planning, Tools, Space, and Health," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-5, February.
    3. Kar, Saibal & Majumdar, Devleena, 2015. "The wage response in exporting firms: evidence from machinery and chemical industries in India," MPRA Paper 103483, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Mandal, Biswajit & Chaudhuri, Saswati, 2010. "Informal Wage, Informal Price and Extortion under Migration and Tariff Reform," MPRA Paper 28704, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Ming Li & Yongwang Cao & Jin Dai & Jianxin Song & Mengyin Liang, 2025. "A Comprehensive Review of Urban Expansion and Its Driving Factors," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-20, July.
    6. Jinghua Song & Yuyi Zhu & Xiangzhai Chu & Xiu Yang, 2024. "Research on the Vitality of Public Spaces in Tourist Villages through Social Network Analysis: A Case Study of Mochou Village in Hubei, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-16, March.
    7. Xuefeng Hou & Dianfeng Zhang & Liyuan Fu & Fu Zeng & Qing Wang, 2023. "Spatio-Temporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of Coupling Coordination Degree between Urban–Rural Integration and Digital Economy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-26, June.
    8. Davidescu, Adriana AnaMaria & Petcu, Monica Aureliana & Curea, Stefania Cristina & Manta, Eduard Mihai, 2022. "Two faces of the same coin: Exploring the multilateral perspective of informality in relation to Sustainable Development Goals based on bibliometric analysis," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 683-705.
    9. Guofu Li & Xiue Zhang, 2023. "The Spatial–Temporal Characteristics and Driving Forces of the Coupled and Coordinated Development between New Urbanization and Rural Revitalization," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-27, December.
    10. Xiuling Chen & Jie Li, 2024. "RETRACTED ARTICLE: Facilitating Knowledge-Driven Economic and Social Development: the Significance of Demographic Transformation in Tourism Villages in China," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(3), pages 13890-13918, September.
    11. Gantian Zheng & Weiwei Wang & Chang Jiang & Fan Jiang, 2023. "Can Rural Industrial Convergence Improve the Total Factor Productivity of Agricultural Environments: Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-20, November.
    12. Bin Liao, 2024. "Does New Urbanization Promote Urban Metabolic Efficiency?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-20, January.
    13. Yu Cao & Liyan Huang & Nur Mardhiyah Aziz & Syahrul Nizam Kamaruzzaman, 2022. "Building Information Modelling (BIM) Capabilities in the Design and Planning of Rural Settlements in China: A Systematic Review," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-34, October.
    14. Shenghao Zhu & Guanyi Yin & Qingzhi Sun & Zhan Zhang & Guanghao Li & Liangfei Gao, 2025. "Structural Changes to China’s Agricultural Business Entities System Under the Perspective of Competitive Evolution," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(7), pages 1-20, March.
    15. Jaime Lara & Marla Cruz Yedra & Diana V. Moyeda López & Adriana Prats Molina & José A. Tellez Muñoz, 2020. "Migración rural urbana e informalidad en las zonas metropolitanas de México. Una estimación de corto plazo," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 35(2), pages 297-329.
    16. Carla Canelas, 2019. "Informality and poverty in Ecuador," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 1097-1115, December.
    17. AfDB AfDB, 2011. "MDG Report 2011 - Full Report," MDG Report 334, African Development Bank.
    18. Liping Wang & Zhongyi Qu & Wei Yang & Enliang Ren & Tao Tang, 2023. "Coupled Urbanisation and Ecological Protection along the Yellow River Basin in the Context of Dual Carbon," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-15, March.
    19. Mei Yang & Mengyun Jiao & Jinyu Zhang, 2022. "Spatio-Temporal Analysis and Influencing Factors of Rural Resilience from the Perspective of Sustainable Rural Development," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(19), pages 1-24, September.
    20. Daiquan Xiao & Xuecai Xu, 2022. "Investigating interaction pattern between urban-rural integration and transport network: A dynamic evolution model," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(5), pages 1-10, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:14:y:2025:i:7:p:1474-:d:1702545. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.