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The Relationship Between Population Shrinkage, Ageing, and New-Type Urbanization in Counties: The Case of Jilin Province, China

Author

Listed:
  • Guolei Zhou

    (Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130102, China)

  • Zuopeng Ma

    (Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130102, China)

  • Pingyu Zhang

    (Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130102, China
    College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

Abstract

Counties are important vehicles for implementing the new-type urbanization strategy in China. However, some counties are experiencing population shrinkage and ageing, and the decline in the working-age population will constrain the process of new-type urbanization, but this has not received sufficient attention from academia and government policymakers. This paper takes Jilin Province, China, which is experiencing significant population shrinkage and ageing, as a case study to examine the spatial–temporal characteristics of population shrinkage and ageing at the county level and their relationship with new-type urbanization. This study found the following: (1) From 2014 to 2020, counties in Jilin Province experienced significant population shrinkage and ageing. (2) There is a certain correlation between population shrinkage and ageing. Ageing is the most obvious in counties with moderate shrinkage, followed by counties with mild shrinkage. (3) Although a new-type urbanization strategy has been implemented, the level of new-type urbanization in counties with population shrinkage and ageing is generally low and shows a trend of rising first and then falling. (4) Population shrinkage and ageing are positively correlated with new-type urbanization. The more severe the population shrinkage or ageing, the lower the level of new-type urbanization. It is necessary to take measures to alleviate the new-type urbanization dilemma in areas with population shrinkage and ageing, in order to promote sustainable regional development.

Suggested Citation

  • Guolei Zhou & Zuopeng Ma & Pingyu Zhang, 2025. "The Relationship Between Population Shrinkage, Ageing, and New-Type Urbanization in Counties: The Case of Jilin Province, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-17, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:14:y:2025:i:7:p:1474-:d:1702545
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Runchen Zhou & Yang Guo & Yuzhe Wu, 2023. "Exploration on the Innovation Model of County Urbanization Development with the Resource Constraints in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-22, November.
    2. Muyi Huang & Qin Guo & Guozhao Zhang & Yuru Tang & Xue Wu, 2025. "Spatiotemporal Coupling of New-Type Urbanization and Ecosystem Services in the Huaihe River Basin, China: Heterogeneity and Regulatory Strategy," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-25, January.
    3. Jiamin Liu & Xiaoyu Ma & Wenli Jia & Sisi Zhang, 2022. "Can New-Type Urbanization Construction Narrow the Urban–Rural Income Gap? Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-25, November.
    4. Yuanfang Wang & Qijin Geng & Xiaohui Si & Liping Kan, 2021. "Coupling and coordination analysis of urbanization, economy and environment of Shandong Province, China," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(7), pages 10397-10415, July.
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