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Analyzing and Simulating the Influence of a Water Conveyance Project on Land Use Conditions in the Tarim River Region

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  • Jinyao Lin

    (School of Geography and Remote Sensing, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou 510006, China)

  • Qitong Chen

    (School of Geography and Remote Sensing, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou 510006, China)

Abstract

Arid and semi-arid areas are facing severe land degradation and desertification due to water scarcity. To alleviate these environmental issues, the Chinese government has launched a “water conveyance” project for environmental protection along the Tarim River. While previous studies have mainly focused on environmental conditions, the influence of these policies on land use conditions remains less explored. Therefore, this study first simulated the land use and land cover (LULC) changes in a major city (Korla) around the Tarim River. We found that the water conveyance routes have exerted notable influences on surrounding LULC changes. Next, we primarily focused on the LULC changes among different reaches of the Tarim River. We found that water and forest areas in the lower reaches have increased at the expense of a slight decrease in such areas in the upper and middle reaches, which suggests that the water conveyance policy may also have unintended consequences. These findings could attract the attention of decision makers in many other arid and semi-arid areas, and they could provide practical policy implications for other similar inter-basin water conveyance projects. The benefits and risks of these man-made projects should be carefully balanced.

Suggested Citation

  • Jinyao Lin & Qitong Chen, 2023. "Analyzing and Simulating the Influence of a Water Conveyance Project on Land Use Conditions in the Tarim River Region," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-16, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:12:y:2023:i:11:p:2073-:d:1282893
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    Cited by:

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    3. Qin Nie & Wang Man & Zongmei Li & Xuewen Wu, 2025. "From Policy to Practice: Assessing Carbon Storage in Fujian Province Using Patch-Generating Land Use Simulation and Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs Models," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-22, January.
    4. Ma, Jiakai & Hao, Zixuan & Shen, Yaqi & Zhen, Zhilei, 2025. "Spatial-temporal evolution of carbon storage and its driving factors in the Shanxi section of the Yellow River Basin, China," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 502(C).
    5. Yasi Zhu & Bin Quan, 2025. "A Muti-Scenario Prediction and Spatiotemporal Analysis of the LUCC and Carbon Storage Response: A Case Study of the Central Shanxi Urban Agglomeration," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(4), pages 1-25, February.
    6. Yu Fu & Qian Li & Julin Li & Kun Zeng & Liangsong Wang & Youhan Wang, 2024. "Multi-Scenario Simulation of the Production-Living-Ecological Spaces in Sichuan Province Based on the PLUS Model and Assessment of Its Ecological and Environmental Effects," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(23), pages 1-20, November.
    7. Muyi Huang & Qin Guo & Guozhao Zhang & Yuru Tang & Xue Wu, 2025. "Spatiotemporal Coupling of New-Type Urbanization and Ecosystem Services in the Huaihe River Basin, China: Heterogeneity and Regulatory Strategy," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-25, January.

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