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Modeling the Risks of the Global Customs Space

Author

Listed:
  • Olha Borysenko

    (Department of Public Administration and Customs Administration, University of Customs and Finance, Dnipro, Vladimir Vernadsky Street, 2/4, 49000 Dnipro, Ukraine)

  • Olena Vasyl’yeva

    (Department of International Tourism and Economics, National University «Zaporizhzhia Polytechnic», 64 Zhukovsky Street, 69063 Zaporizhia, Ukraine)

  • Olga Katerna

    (Faculty of Transport, Management and Logistics, National Aviation University, 1 Kosmonavta Komarova Ave., 03058 Kyiv, Ukraine)

  • Iuliia Masiuk

    (Department of Finance, Banking and Insurance, Dnipro State Agrarian and Economic University, Serhii Efremov Str., 25, 49600 Dnipro, Ukraine)

  • Oleg Panakhi

    (Department of Public Administration and Customs Administration, University of Customs and Finance, Dnipro, Vladimir Vernadsky Street, 2/4, 49000 Dnipro, Ukraine)

Abstract

The influence of globalization processes, the customs space of the country, requires the development and implementation of a transparent state customs policy to ensure security and integration into the space of the higher hierarchical order. The purpose of the study is to form scientific-applied recommendations regarding the development vectors of the customs space of a country in the global environment to improve its risk management system. The main method of study is econometric modeling, namely, canonical analysis in determining the interdependence of sustainable development and customs space. The purpose of the study is to suggest directions for development vectors for a country’s customs space that will mitigate various risks. Originally, 174 countries were selected for analysis, but the final sample was formed by 98 countries. According to the results of econometric modeling, it was determined that the following variables have the greatest impact on the customs space: human development index; GDP per capita; corruption perception index; global enabling trade index; environmental performance index; social progress index; global competitiveness index. The findings can be used by public authorities in developing a strategy for reforming the customs system of developing countries, taking into account the risks and challenges of the global environment.

Suggested Citation

  • Olha Borysenko & Olena Vasyl’yeva & Olga Katerna & Iuliia Masiuk & Oleg Panakhi, 2022. "Modeling the Risks of the Global Customs Space," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-23, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:15:y:2022:i:12:p:598-:d:1000837
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Panagiota DIONYSOPOULOU & Georgios SVARNIAS & Theodore PAPAILIAS, 2021. "Total Quality Management In Public Sector, Case Study: Customs Service," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(1), pages 153-168, June.
    2. Bouvet, Florence & Ma, Alyson C. & Van Assche, Ari, 2017. "Tariff and exchange rate pass-through for Chinese exports: A firm-level analysis across customs regimes," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 87-96.
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    4. David Tsirekidze, 2019. "Trade in intermediate inputs, customs unions, and global free trade," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(2), pages 666-693, May.
    5. Guo Li & Na Li, 2019. "Customs classification for cross-border e-commerce based on text-image adaptive convolutional neural network," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 779-800, December.
    6. Neil M. Coe, 2014. "Missing links: Logistics, governance and upgrading in a shifting global economy," Review of International Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 224-256, February.
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