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Multi-Scenario Simulation of Land Use and Landscape Ecological Risk Response Based on Planning Control

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  • Nan Wang

    (School of Geographical Sciences, Hunan Normal University, Changsha 410081, China
    Hunan Key Laboratory of Land and Resources Evaluation and Utilization, Changsha 410007, China)

  • Peijuan Zhu

    (School of Geographical Sciences, Hunan Normal University, Changsha 410081, China
    Hunan Key Laboratory of Geospatial Big Data Mining and Application, Hunan Provincial Normal University, Changsha 410081, China)

  • Guohua Zhou

    (School of Geographical Sciences, Hunan Normal University, Changsha 410081, China
    Hunan Key Laboratory of Geospatial Big Data Mining and Application, Hunan Provincial Normal University, Changsha 410081, China)

  • Xudong Xing

    (Hunan Key Laboratory of Land and Resources Evaluation and Utilization, Changsha 410007, China)

  • Yong Zhang

    (Hunan Sidayuan Planning Consulting Research Co., Ltd., Changsha 410081, China)

Abstract

This study applied territorial spatial planning control to a land use multi-scenario simulation in Changde, China, and measured the landscape ecological risk response. It embedded five planning control schemes, respectively, involving inertial development, urban expansion size quantity control, ecological spatial structure control, land use zoning control, and comprehensive control. Findings show that: (1) Woodland and arable land in Changde occupy 31.10% and 43.35% of land use, respectively, and constitute the main functional space of the research area. The scale of construction land in Changde has enlarged continuously, with ecological space represented by woodland and water constantly squeezed and occupied. (2) Comprehensive control has the most remarkable restraining effect on the disordered spread of construction land, while ecological space structure control is the most effective way to control ecological land shrinkage. (3) The overall landscape ecological risk index expanded over 2009–2018, presenting an S-type time evolution curve of “sharp increase–mitigation”. Landscape ecological risk presents a single-core, double-layer circle structure with the north and east regions as the core, attenuating to the periphery. (4) Landscape ecological risk under land use zoning control increased significantly more than in other scenarios. Comprehensive control best prevented landscape ecological risk and restrained the disorderly expansion of construction land.

Suggested Citation

  • Nan Wang & Peijuan Zhu & Guohua Zhou & Xudong Xing & Yong Zhang, 2022. "Multi-Scenario Simulation of Land Use and Landscape Ecological Risk Response Based on Planning Control," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(21), pages 1-29, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:19:y:2022:i:21:p:14289-:d:960194
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Xiangjuan Zhao & Hanxuan Zhang & Jun Ren & Jing Guo & Quanxi Wang & Chengying Li, 2023. "City Health Examination and Evaluation of Territory Spatial Planning for SDG11 in China: A Case Study of Xining City in Qinghai Province," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(4), pages 1-20, February.

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