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Model-Based Range Prediction for Electric Cars and Trucks under Real-World Conditions

Author

Listed:
  • Manfred Dollinger

    (Center of Energy Technology (ZET), Chair of Measurement and Control Systems, Universität Bayreuth, Universitätsstr. 30, 95447 Bayreuth, Germany)

  • Gerhard Fischerauer

    (Center of Energy Technology (ZET), Chair of Measurement and Control Systems, Universität Bayreuth, Universitätsstr. 30, 95447 Bayreuth, Germany)

Abstract

The further development of electric mobility requires major scientific efforts to obtain reliable data for vehicle and drive development. Practical experience has repeatedly shown that vehicle data sheets do not contain realistic consumption and range figures. Since the fear of low range is a significant obstacle to the acceptance of electric mobility, a reliable database can provide developers with additional insights and create confidence among vehicle users. This study presents a detailed, yet easy-to-implement and modular physical model for both passenger and commercial battery electric vehicles. The model takes consumption-relevant parameters, such as seasonal influences, terrain character, and driving behavior, into account. Without any a posteriori parameter adjustments, an excellent agreement with known field data and other experimental observations is achieved. This validation conveys much credibility to model predictions regarding the real-world impact on energy consumption and cruising range in standardized driving cycles. Some of the conclusions, almost impossible to obtain experimentally, are that winter conditions and a hilly terrain each reduce the range by 7–9%, and aggressive driving reduces the range by up to 20%. The quantitative results also reveal the important contributions of recuperation and rolling resistance towards the overall energy budget.

Suggested Citation

  • Manfred Dollinger & Gerhard Fischerauer, 2021. "Model-Based Range Prediction for Electric Cars and Trucks under Real-World Conditions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-27, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:18:p:5804-:d:635249
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jacek Pielecha & Kinga Skobiej & Karolina Kurtyka, 2020. "Exhaust Emissions and Energy Consumption Analysis of Conventional, Hybrid, and Electric Vehicles in Real Driving Cycles," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-21, December.
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    3. Piotr Wróblewski & Wojciech Drożdż & Wojciech Lewicki & Paweł Miązek, 2021. "Methodology for Assessing the Impact of Aperiodic Phenomena on the Energy Balance of Propulsion Engines in Vehicle Electromobility Systems for Given Areas," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-24, April.
    4. Seyed Mahdi Miraftabzadeh & Michela Longo & Federica Foiadelli, 2021. "Estimation Model of Total Energy Consumptions of Electrical Vehicles under Different Driving Conditions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-15, February.
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    1. Manfred Dollinger & Gerhard Fischerauer, 2023. "Physics-Based Prediction for the Consumption and Emissions of Passenger Vehicles and Light Trucks up to 2050," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(8), pages 1-29, April.

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