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Modeling the Charging Behaviors for Electric Vehicles Based on Ternary Symmetric Kernel Density Estimation

Author

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  • Lixing Chen

    (School of Electrical &Information Engineering, Jiangsu University of Technology, Changzhou 213001, China)

  • Xueliang Huang

    (School of Electrical Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China)

  • Hong Zhang

    (School of Electrical &Information Engineering, Jiangsu University of Technology, Changzhou 213001, China)

Abstract

The accurate modeling of the charging behaviors for electric vehicles (EVs) is the basis for the charging load modeling, the charging impact on the power grid, orderly charging strategy, and planning of charging facilities. Therefore, an accurate joint modeling approach of the arrival time, the staying time, and the charging capacity for the EVs charging behaviors in the work area based on ternary symmetric kernel density estimation (KDE) is proposed in accordance with the actual data. First and foremost, a data transformation model is established by considering the boundary bias of the symmetric KDE in order to carry out normal transformation on distribution to be estimated from all kinds of dimensions to the utmost extent. Then, a ternary symmetric KDE model and an optimum bandwidth model are established to estimate the transformed data. Moreover, an estimation evaluation model is also built to transform simulated data that are generated on a certain scale with the Monte Carlo method by means of inverse transformation, so that the fitting level of the ternary symmetric KDE model can be estimated. According to simulation results, a higher fitting level can be achieved by the ternary symmetric KDE method proposed in this paper, in comparison to the joint estimation method based on the edge KDE and the ternary t-Copula function. Moreover, data transformation can effectively eliminate the boundary effect of symmetric KDE.

Suggested Citation

  • Lixing Chen & Xueliang Huang & Hong Zhang, 2020. "Modeling the Charging Behaviors for Electric Vehicles Based on Ternary Symmetric Kernel Density Estimation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-17, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:13:y:2020:i:7:p:1551-:d:337436
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Xydas, Erotokritos & Marmaras, Charalampos & Cipcigan, Liana M. & Jenkins, Nick & Carroll, Steve & Barker, Myles, 2016. "A data-driven approach for characterising the charging demand of electric vehicles: A UK case study," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 763-771.
    2. Lixing Chen & Xueliang Huang & Zhong Chen & Long Jin, 2016. "Study of a New Quick-Charging Strategy for Electric Vehicles in Highway Charging Stations," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-20, September.
    3. Luo, Yugong & Zhu, Tao & Wan, Shuang & Zhang, Shuwei & Li, Keqiang, 2016. "Optimal charging scheduling for large-scale EV (electric vehicle) deployment based on the interaction of the smart-grid and intelligent-transport systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 359-368.
    4. Arias, Mariz B. & Bae, Sungwoo, 2016. "Electric vehicle charging demand forecasting model based on big data technologies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 327-339.
    5. Lixing Chen & Zhong Chen & Xueliang Huang & Long Jin, 2016. "A Study on Price-Based Charging Strategy for Electric Vehicles on Expressways," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-18, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Einolander, Johannes & Lahdelma, Risto, 2022. "Multivariate copula procedure for electric vehicle charging event simulation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PA).
    2. Ahmad Almaghrebi & Fares Aljuheshi & Mostafa Rafaie & Kevin James & Mahmoud Alahmad, 2020. "Data-Driven Charging Demand Prediction at Public Charging Stations Using Supervised Machine Learning Regression Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-21, August.
    3. Mirosław Kornatka & Anna Gawlak, 2021. "An Analysis of the Operation of Distribution Networks Using Kernel Density Estimators," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-12, October.
    4. Ana Lorena Jiménez-Preciado & Nora Gavira-Durán, 2021. "Social Mobility Patterns in the World's Populated Cities Through COVID-19," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(3), pages 1-15, Julio - S.
    5. Yvenn Amara-Ouali & Yannig Goude & Pascal Massart & Jean-Michel Poggi & Hui Yan, 2021. "A Review of Electric Vehicle Load Open Data and Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-35, April.

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