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The Indirect Effect of Democracy on Economic Growth in the MENA Region (1990–2015)

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  • Shereen Nosier

    (Department of Economics, Faculty of Economic Studies & Political Science, Alexandria University, Smouha, Alexandria 21648, Egypt
    Bibliotheca Alexandrina, Seragaldin Institute for Multidisciplinary Advanced Research (SIMAR), Chatby, Alexandria 21526, Egypt)

  • Aya El-Karamani

    (Bibliotheca Alexandrina, Seragaldin Institute for Multidisciplinary Advanced Research (SIMAR), Chatby, Alexandria 21526, Egypt)

Abstract

This paper examines the indirect effect of democracy on economic growth using a dataset of 17 MENA countries from 1990 to 2015. Democracy is assumed to affect growth through a series of channels: education, health, physical capital accumulation per labor, government consumption, and trade openness. A system of six simultaneous equations using 3SLS, is used to estimate the effect of democracy on growth through these channels. For further analysis, the countries are classified into groups according to the democratic status on the one side, and the level of income on the other. The results indicate that democracy enhances growth through its positive effect on health in all classifications of countries within the MENA region. However, the effect of democracy on growth through education and physical capital/labor is non-monotonic. Democracy hinders growth through government size and trade openness. Once all of these indirect effects are accounted for, the overall effect of democracy on growth is negative in less democratic countries and poor countries, but positive in more democratic countries and rich countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Shereen Nosier & Aya El-Karamani, 2018. "The Indirect Effect of Democracy on Economic Growth in the MENA Region (1990–2015)," Economies, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-24, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:6:y:2018:i:4:p:61-:d:183959
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    Cited by:

    1. N. Nuzulman & Raja Masbar & B. S. Nazamuddin & M. Shabri Abd. Majid, 2023. "Does Democracy Matter for Economic Growth? Empirical Evidence from Indonesia," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 7, pages 34-50.
    2. Ofori, Isaac K. & Gbolonyo, Emmanuel Y. & Ojong, Nathanael, 2024. "Heterogeneous Effects of Frontier Technology Readiness on Economic Growth in Africa," MPRA Paper 121247, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Mahmood ul Hasan & Nawazish Ameer Haider & Saif Ullah, 2023. "Democracy, Political Stability and Economic Growth: A Panel Data Analysis of Selected Asian Countries," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 5(1), pages 92-99.
    4. Ofori, Isaac K. & Gbolonyo, Emmanuel Y. & Vezzulli, Andrea, 2024. "Heterogeneous Effects of Frontier Technology Readiness on Economic Growth in Africa," EconStor Preprints 298787, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.

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