IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jagris/v14y2024i3p342-d1343080.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

New Agricultural Tractor Manufacturer’s Suggested Retail Price (MSRP) Model in Europe

Author

Listed:
  • Ivan Herranz-Matey

    (Departamento de Ingeniería Agroforestal, ETSIAAB, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Av. Puerta de Hierro 2, 28040 Madrid, Spain)

  • Luis Ruiz-Garcia

    (Departamento de Ingeniería Agroforestal, ETSIAAB, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Av. Puerta de Hierro 2, 28040 Madrid, Spain)

Abstract

Research investigating models for assessing new tractor pricing is notably scarce, despite its fundamental importance in conducting comprehensive cost analyses. This study aims to identify a model that is both user-friendly and robust, evaluating both parametric and Machine Learning-optimized non-parametric models. Among parametric models, the second-order polynomial model demonstrated superior performance in terms of R-squared (R 2 ) of 0.97469 and a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 15,633. Conversely, Machine Learning-optimized Gaussian Processes Regressions exhibited the most favorable overall R-squared (R 2 ) of 0.99951 and a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 2321. While the parametric polynomial model offers a solution with minimal mathematical and computational complexity, the non-parametric GPR model delivers highly robust outcomes, presenting stakeholders involved in new agriculture tractor transactions with superior data-driven decision-making capabilities.

Suggested Citation

  • Ivan Herranz-Matey & Luis Ruiz-Garcia, 2024. "New Agricultural Tractor Manufacturer’s Suggested Retail Price (MSRP) Model in Europe," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-21, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jagris:v:14:y:2024:i:3:p:342-:d:1343080
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/14/3/342/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/14/3/342/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Timothy L. Cross & Gregory M. Perry, 1995. "Depreciation Patterns for Agricultural Machinery," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 77(1), pages 194-204.
    2. Donald W. Reid & Garnett L. Bradford, 1983. "On Optimal Replacement of Farm Tractors," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 65(2), pages 326-331.
    3. James Unterschultz & Glen Mumey, 1996. "Reducing Investment Risk in Tractors and Combines with Improved Terminal Asset Value Forecasts," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 44(3), pages 295-309, November.
    4. Ivan Herranz-Matey & Luis Ruiz-Garcia, 2023. "Agricultural Combine Remaining Value Forecasting Methodology and Model (and Derived Tool)," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-15, April.
    5. Perry, Gregory M & Glyer, J David, 1990. "Durable Asset Depreciation: A Reconciliation between Hypotheses," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 72(3), pages 524-529, August.
    6. Jing Wu & Gregory M. Perry, 2004. "Estimating Farm Equipment Depreciation: Which Functional Form Is Best?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 86(2), pages 483-491.
    7. Ivan Herranz-Matey & Luis Ruiz-Garcia, 2023. "Agricultural Tractor Retail and Wholesale Residual Value Forecasting Model in Western Europe," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-21, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ivan Herranz-Matey & Luis Ruiz-Garcia, 2023. "Agricultural Tractor Retail and Wholesale Residual Value Forecasting Model in Western Europe," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-21, October.
    2. Ivan Herranz-Matey & Luis Ruiz-Garcia, 2023. "A New Method and Model for the Estimation of Residual Value of Agricultural Tractors," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-20, February.
    3. Dumler, Troy J. & Burton, Robert O., Jr. & Kastens, Terry L., 2000. "Use Of Alternative Depreciation Methods To Estimate Farm Tractor Values," 2000 Annual meeting, July 30-August 2, Tampa, FL 21800, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    4. Ivan Herranz-Matey & Luis Ruiz-Garcia, 2023. "Agricultural Combine Remaining Value Forecasting Methodology and Model (and Derived Tool)," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-15, April.
    5. Tozer, Peter R., 2005. "Depreciation Rates for Australian Tractors and Headers - Is Machinery Depreciation a Fixed or Variable Cost?," 2005 Conference (49th), February 9-11, 2005, Coff's Harbour, Australia 137951, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    6. Beaton, Aaron J. & Dhuyvetter, Kevin C. & Kastens, Terry L. & Williams, Jeffery R., 2005. "Per Unit Costs to Own and Operate Farm Machinery," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(1), pages 1-14, April.
    7. Luis Ruiz-Garcia & Patricia Sanchez-Guerrero, 2022. "A Decision Support Tool for Buying Farm Tractors, Based on Predictive Analytics," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-26, February.
    8. Troy J. Dumler & Robert O. Burton & Terry L. Kastens, 2003. "Predicting Farm Tractor Values through Alternative Depreciation Methods," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 25(2), pages 506-522.
    9. Unknown, 1998. "References/Literature Cited," Commodity Costs and Returns Estimation Handbook,, Iowa State University.
    10. Daninger, Nathan & Gunderson, Michael A., 2017. "The Pricing and Depreciation Patterns of Used Tractors," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258282, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    11. Ibendahl, Gregory & Griffin, Terry W., 2021. "Machinery Replacement Strategies," Journal of the ASFMRA, American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, vol. 2021.
    12. Wetzstein, Michael E. & Musser, Wesley N. & McClendon, Ronald W. & Edwards, David M., 1990. "A Case Study Of Timeliness In The Selection Of Risk-Efficient Machinery Complements," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 22(2), pages 1-13, December.
    13. VanTassell, Larry W. & Nixon, Clair J., 1989. "A Further Look at the Effect of Federal Tax Laws on Optimal Machinery Replacement," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(2), pages 77-84, December.
    14. Andersen, Matthew A. & Alston, Julian M. & Pardey, Philip G., 2009. "Capital Service Flows: Concepts and Comparisons of Alternative Measures in U.S. Agriculture," Staff Papers 50098, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    15. Weersink, Alfons & Stauber, Steve, 1988. "Optimal Replacement Interval And Depreciation Method For A Grain Combine," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, July.
    16. Yang, Dennis Tao & Zhu, Xiaodong, 2013. "Modernization of agriculture and long-term growth," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(3), pages 367-382.
    17. Suhao Wei & Yangxiao Lu, 2022. "Why China’s AMS Market Is Difficult to Develop Sustainably: Evidence from the North China Plain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-16, December.
    18. Lin Gan & Takahashi Yoshifumi & Nomura Hisako & Yabe Mitsuyasu, 2024. "The short‐ and long‐term impacts of overinvestments on the profitability of agri‐food processing firms in China," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 227-247, January.
    19. Trautman, Dawn & Jeffrey, Scott R. & Unterschultz, James R., 2012. "Beneficial Management Practice (BMP) Adoption -- Direct Farm Cost/Benefit Tradeoffs," Project Report Series 139638, University of Alberta, Department of Resource Economics and Environmental Sociology.
    20. Jens Rommel & Meike Weltin, 2021. "Is There a Cult of Statistical Significance in Agricultural Economics?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(3), pages 1176-1191, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jagris:v:14:y:2024:i:3:p:342-:d:1343080. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.