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Competitive dynamics in the operating systems market: Modeling and policy implications

Author

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  • Lakka, Spyridoula
  • Michalakelis, Christos
  • Varoutas, Dimitris
  • Martakos, Draculis

Abstract

Based on concepts of population dynamics and organizational ecology, the study analyzes the evolutionary and competitive dynamics of the highly concentrated desktop/laptop operating systems market and draws conclusions on the impact of open source software on market competition. Market evolution is estimated and forecasted by applying the Lotka–Volterra model, which describes the competitive interaction of species for a common supply. Genetic algorithms are also deployed for the estimation of the model's parameters.

Suggested Citation

  • Lakka, Spyridoula & Michalakelis, Christos & Varoutas, Dimitris & Martakos, Draculis, 2013. "Competitive dynamics in the operating systems market: Modeling and policy implications," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 80(1), pages 88-105.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:80:y:2013:i:1:p:88-105
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2012.06.011
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Addolorata Marasco & Alessandro Romano, 2018. "Deterministic modeling in scenario forecasting: estimating the effects of two public policies on intergenerational conflict," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 52(5), pages 2345-2371, September.
    2. Fatmawati, & Khan, Muhammad Altaf & Azizah, Muftiyatul & Windarto, & Ullah, Saif, 2019. "A fractional model for the dynamics of competition between commercial and rural banks in Indonesia," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 32-46.
    3. Li, Zhongfei & Liu, Zhuang & Khan, Muhammad Altaf, 2020. "Fractional investigation of bank data with fractal-fractional Caputo derivative," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    4. Mercure, Jean-François, 2018. "Fashion, fads and the popularity of choices: Micro-foundations for diffusion consumer theory," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 194-207.
    5. Marasco, A. & Picucci, A. & Romano, A., 2016. "Market share dynamics using Lotka–Volterra models," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 49-62.
    6. Goran Dominioni & Addolorata Marasco & Alessandro Romano, 2018. "A mathematical approach to study and forecast racial groups interactions: deterministic modeling and scenario method," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 1929-1956, July.
    7. Gatabazi, P. & Mba, J.C. & Pindza, E. & Labuschagne, C., 2019. "Grey Lotka–Volterra models with application to cryptocurrencies adoption," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 47-57.
    8. Singhal, Shakshi & Anand, Adarsh & Singh, Ompal, 2020. "Studying dynamic market size-based adoption modeling & product diffusion under stochastic environment," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    9. Wang, Wanting & Khan, Muhammad Altaf & Fatmawati, & Kumam, P. & Thounthong, P., 2019. "A comparison study of bank data in fractional calculus," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 369-384.
    10. Jean-François Mercure, 2015. "An age structured demographic theory of technological change," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 787-820, September.
    11. Ren, Jing & Sun, Hao & Xu, Genjiu & Hou, Dongshuang, 2023. "Convergence of output dynamics in duopoly co-opetition model with incomplete information," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 207(C), pages 209-225.
    12. Strugar Ivan & Zoroja Jovana & Jaković Božidar, 2014. "Development Practices of Embedded Systems: SMEs in SEE countries," Business Systems Research, Sciendo, vol. 5(1), pages 57-67, March.
    13. Dutta, Amitava & Puvvala, Abhinay & Roy, Rahul & Seetharaman, Priya, 2017. "Technology diffusion: Shift happens — The case of iOS and Android handsets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 28-43.
    14. Ishtiaq Ali & Sami Ullah Khan, 2023. "A Dynamic Competition Analysis of Stochastic Fractional Differential Equation Arising in Finance via Pseudospectral Method," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-16, March.
    15. Pao, Hsiao-Tien & Chen, Haipeng (Allan) & Li, Yi-Ying, 2015. "Competitive dynamics of energy, environment, and economy in the U.S," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 449-460.
    16. Pao, Hsiao-Tien & Fu, Hsin-Chia, 2015. "Competition and stability analyses among emissions, energy, and economy: Application for Mexico," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 98-107.
    17. Zhu, Lin & Cunningham, Scott W., 2022. "Unveiling the knowledge structure of technological forecasting and social change (1969–2020) through an NMF-based hierarchical topic model," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).

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