IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/spapps/v130y2020i2p806-823.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Optimal stopping of a Brownian bridge with an unknown pinning point

Author

Listed:
  • Ekström, Erik
  • Vaicenavicius, Juozas

Abstract

The problem of stopping a Brownian bridge with an unknown pinning point to maximise the expected value at the stopping time is studied. A few general properties, such as continuity and various bounds of the value function, are established. However, structural properties of the optimal stopping region are shown to crucially depend on the prior, and we provide a general condition for a one-sided stopping region. Moreover, a detailed analysis is conducted in the cases of the two-point and the mixed Gaussian priors, revealing a rich structure present in the problem.

Suggested Citation

  • Ekström, Erik & Vaicenavicius, Juozas, 2020. "Optimal stopping of a Brownian bridge with an unknown pinning point," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 130(2), pages 806-823.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:130:y:2020:i:2:p:806-823
    DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2019.03.018
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304414919301772
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.spa.2019.03.018?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Back, Kerry, 1992. "Insider Trading in Continuous Time," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(3), pages 387-409.
    2. Umut c{C}etin & Albina Danilova, 2014. "Markovian Nash equilibrium in financial markets with asymmetric information and related forward-backward systems," Papers 1407.2420, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2016.
    3. Marco Avellaneda & Michael Lipkin, 2003. "A market-induced mechanism for stock pinning," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(6), pages 417-425.
    4. Marc Jeannin & Giulia Iori & David Samuel, 2008. "Modeling stock pinning," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(8), pages 823-831.
    5. Çetin, Umut & Danilova, Albina, 2016. "Markovian Nash equilibrium in financial markets with asymmetric information and related forward-backward systems," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 63259, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. D'Auria, Bernardo & García Portugués, Eduardo & Guada Azze, Abel, 2021. "Optimal stopping of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck bridge," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 33508, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    2. Glover, Kristoffer, 2022. "Optimally stopping a Brownian bridge with an unknown pinning time: A Bayesian approach," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 919-937.
    3. Maria B. Chiarolla & Tiziano Angelis & Gabriele Stabile, 2022. "An analytical study of participating policies with minimum rate guarantee and surrender option," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 173-216, April.
    4. Abel Azze & Bernardo D'Auria & Eduardo Garc'ia-Portugu'es, 2022. "Optimal stopping of Gauss-Markov bridges," Papers 2211.05835, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    5. Bernardo D’Auria & Eduardo García-Portugués & Abel Guada, 2020. "Discounted Optimal Stopping of a Brownian Bridge, with Application to American Options under Pinning," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-27, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Reda Chhaibi & Ibrahim Ekren & Eunjung Noh & Lu Vy, 2022. "A unified approach to informed trading via Monge-Kantorovich duality," Papers 2210.17384, arXiv.org.
    2. Umut c{C}et{i}n, 2018. "Mathematics of Market Microstructure under Asymmetric Information," Papers 1809.03885, arXiv.org.
    3. Mengütürk, Levent Ali, 2018. "Gaussian random bridges and a geometric model for information equilibrium," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 494(C), pages 465-483.
    4. Cetin, Umut, 2019. "Linear inverse problems for Markov processes and their regularisation," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 102633, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Jin Hyuk Choi & Heeyoung Kwon & Kasper Larsen, 2022. "Trading constraints in continuous-time Kyle models," Papers 2206.08117, arXiv.org.
    6. Glover, Kristoffer, 2022. "Optimally stopping a Brownian bridge with an unknown pinning time: A Bayesian approach," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 919-937.
    7. Ibrahim Ekren & Brad Mostowski & Gordan v{Z}itkovi'c, 2022. "Kyle's Model with Stochastic Liquidity," Papers 2204.11069, arXiv.org.
    8. L. C. Garcia Del Molino & I. Mastromatteo & Michael Benzaquen & J.-P. Bouchaud, 2020. "The Multivariate Kyle model: More is different," Post-Print hal-02323433, HAL.
    9. L. C. Garcia Del Molino & I. Mastromatteo & Michael Benzaquen & J.-P. Bouchaud, 2019. "The Multivariate Kyle model: More is different," Working Papers hal-02323433, HAL.
    10. Yuji Sakurai & Tetsuo Kurosaki, 2020. "A simulation analysis of systemic counterparty risk in over-the-counter derivatives markets," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 15(1), pages 243-281, January.
    11. Thibaut Mastrolia & Zhenjie Ren, 2018. "Principal-Agent Problem with Common Agency without Communication," Working Papers hal-01534611, HAL.
    12. John Armstrong & Claudio Bellani & Damiano Brigo & Thomas Cass, 2021. "Option pricing models without probability: a rough paths approach," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 1494-1521, October.
    13. Bernardo D’Auria & Alessandro Ferriero, 2020. "A Class of Itô Diffusions with Known Terminal Value and Specified Optimal Barrier," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-14, January.
    14. Tiziano De Angelis & Alessandro Milazzo, 2019. "Optimal stopping for the exponential of a Brownian bridge," Papers 1904.00075, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2019.
    15. Bernardo D’Auria & Eduardo García-Portugués & Abel Guada, 2020. "Discounted Optimal Stopping of a Brownian Bridge, with Application to American Options under Pinning," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-27, July.
    16. Luis Carlos Garc'ia del Molino & Iacopo Mastromatteo & Michael Benzaquen & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2018. "The Multivariate Kyle model: More is different," Papers 1806.07791, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
    17. Christoph Kuhn & Christopher Lorenz, 2023. "Insider trading in discrete time Kyle games," Papers 2312.00904, arXiv.org.
    18. Thibaut Mastrolia & Zhenjie Ren, 2017. "Principal-Agent Problem with Common Agency without Communication," Papers 1706.02936, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2018.
    19. Xing, Hao & Žitković, Gordan, 2018. "A class of globally solvable Markovian quadratic BSDE systems and applications," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 73440, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    20. Chang, Sanders S. & Wang, F. Albert, 2015. "Adverse selection and the presence of informed trading," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 19-33.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:130:y:2020:i:2:p:806-823. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/505572/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.