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Utility-scale PV power and energy supply outlook for South Africa in 2015

Author

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  • Giglmayr, Sebastian
  • Brent, Alan C.
  • Gauché, Paul
  • Fechner, Hubert

Abstract

In South Africa, the projects for the first two rounds of the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme (REIPPPP) have reached financial closure, and construction and commissioning has commenced, on all of the twenty-seven PV sites. The question remains as to what can be expected from these PV facilities in 2015 should all of them be fully operational. The objective of the paper was then to analyse the power and energy supply outlook from an annual time series simulation of all approved utility-scale PV facilities. The total amount of delivered energy, if the solar resource profile in 2015 will be similar to that of 2010, will be 1906 GWh. This amounts to just below 1% of the total (net) electricity generated by Eskom, the national utility, in 2012. The cumulative maximum power will almost reach 900 MW. Thus, all of the PV projects will represent up to a maximum of 2% of Eskom's net rated capacity. Of importance to policy- and decision-makers, is that the supplied power and energy performances are well within the best practice spinning reserve of the national grid. As a consequence, the intermittencies of these facilities are of lesser importance.

Suggested Citation

  • Giglmayr, Sebastian & Brent, Alan C. & Gauché, Paul & Fechner, Hubert, 2015. "Utility-scale PV power and energy supply outlook for South Africa in 2015," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 779-785.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:83:y:2015:i:c:p:779-785
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2015.04.058
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    Cited by:

    1. Numbi, B.P. & Malinga, S.J., 2017. "Optimal energy cost and economic analysis of a residential grid-interactive solar PV system- case of eThekwini municipality in South Africa," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 186(P1), pages 28-45.
    2. Wei, Sun & Yanfeng, Xu, 2017. "Research on China's energy supply and demand using an improved Grey-Markov chain model based on wavelet transform," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 969-984.
    3. Vinny Motjoadi & Pitshou N. Bokoro & Moses O. Onibonoje, 2020. "A Review of Microgrid-Based Approach to Rural Electrification in South Africa: Architecture and Policy Framework," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-22, May.
    4. Akpan, P.U. & Fuls, W.F., 2021. "Cycling of coal fired power plants: A generic CO2 emissions factor model for predicting CO2 emissions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    5. Svitnič, Tibor & Sundmacher, Kai, 2022. "Renewable methanol production: Optimization-based design, scheduling and waste-heat utilization with the FluxMax approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
    6. Pillot, Benjamin & Muselli, Marc & Poggi, Philippe & Dias, João Batista, 2019. "Historical trends in global energy policy and renewable power system issues in Sub-Saharan Africa: The case of solar PV," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 113-124.
    7. Adewuyi, Oludamilare Bode & Lotfy, Mohammed E. & Akinloye, Benjamin Olabisi & Rashid Howlader, Harun Or & Senjyu, Tomonobu & Narayanan, Krishna, 2019. "Security-constrained optimal utility-scale solar PV investment planning for weak grids: Short reviews and techno-economic analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 245(C), pages 16-30.
    8. Cavadini, Giovan Battista & Cook, Lauren M., 2021. "Green and cool roof choices integrated into rooftop solar energy modelling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 296(C).
    9. Byeong Gwan Bhang & Gyu Gwang Kim & Hae Lim Cha & David Kwangsoon Kim & Jin Ho Choi & So Young Park & Hyung Keun Ahn, 2018. "Design Methods of Underwater Grounding Electrode Array by Considering Inter-Electrode Interference for Floating PVs," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-16, April.

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