IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v256y2026ipfs0960148125020452.html

More than doubled in 2023: Mapping the photovoltaic power plants in China based on satellite data and machine learning

Author

Listed:
  • Yang, Liwen
  • Jiang, Luguang
  • Liu, Ye

Abstract

China has the world's largest installed photovoltaic (PV) capacity and newly added PV capacity, making it the largest PV power generation market. To examine the layout characteristics of PV power plants and PV industry development, timely access to the latest data on PV power plants and improvements in the algorithm accuracy and operational efficiency are crucial. Based on Landsat-8 imagery, this study identifies centralized PV power plants in China for 2023 using an improved random forest algorithm on Google Earth Engine. The object-oriented random forest algorithm has better interpretation accuracy than pixel-based random forest algorithms, with Kappa value of 0.87 and overall extraction accuracy of 94 %. The area of centralized PV power plants is approximately 7458.8 km2, which is more than doubled since 2022. Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, Hebei, Gansu, and Qinghai provinces have area exceeding 500 km2, accounting for 36.88 % of the total PV area. Grasslands comprise the largest PV area, approximately 2742.9 km2, followed by croplands and barren lands. This study optimizes existing algorithms and presents an annual update on PV data, providing a robust scientific basis for the sustainable and healthy development of the PV industry.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang, Liwen & Jiang, Luguang & Liu, Ye, 2026. "More than doubled in 2023: Mapping the photovoltaic power plants in China based on satellite data and machine learning," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(PF).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:256:y:2026:i:pf:s0960148125020452
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2025.124381
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148125020452
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2025.124381?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jinyue Yan & Ying Yang & Pietro Elia Campana & Jijiang He, 2019. "City-level analysis of subsidy-free solar photovoltaic electricity price, profits and grid parity in China," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 4(8), pages 709-717, August.
    2. Konstantinos Ioannou & Dimitrios Myronidis, 2021. "Automatic Detection of Photovoltaic Farms Using Satellite Imagery and Convolutional Neural Networks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-15, May.
    3. Brown, Patrick R. & O'Sullivan, Francis M., 2020. "Spatial and temporal variation in the value of solar power across United States electricity markets," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    4. Hernandez, R.R. & Easter, S.B. & Murphy-Mariscal, M.L. & Maestre, F.T. & Tavassoli, M. & Allen, E.B. & Barrows, C.W. & Belnap, J. & Ochoa-Hueso, R. & Ravi, S. & Allen, M.F., 2014. "Environmental impacts of utility-scale solar energy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 766-779.
    5. Dias, Luís & Gouveia, João Pedro & Lourenço, Paulo & Seixas, Júlia, 2019. "Interplay between the potential of photovoltaic systems and agricultural land use," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 725-735.
    6. Turmandakh Bat-Orgil & Battuvshin Bayarkhuu & Bayasgalan Dugarjav & Insu Paek, 2025. "Impact Assessment of Grid-Connected Solar Photovoltaic Systems on Power Distribution Grid: A Case Study on a Highly Loaded Feeder in Ulaanbaatar Ger District," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(2), pages 1-17, January.
    7. L. Kruitwagen & K. T. Story & J. Friedrich & L. Byers & S. Skillman & C. Hepburn, 2021. "A global inventory of photovoltaic solar energy generating units," Nature, Nature, vol. 598(7882), pages 604-610, October.
    8. Shahsavari, Amir & Akbari, Morteza, 2018. "Potential of solar energy in developing countries for reducing energy-related emissions," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 275-291.
    9. Song, Chenchen & Guo, Zhiling & Liu, Zhengguang & Hongyun, Zhang & Liu, Ran & Zhang, Haoran, 2024. "Application of photovoltaics on different types of land in China: Opportunities, status and challenges," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    10. Iijima, Fuyumi & Ikeda, Shintaro & Nagai, Tatsuo, 2022. "Automated computational design method for energy systems in buildings using capacity and operation optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PA).
    11. Siyou Xia & Yu Yang & Xiaoying Qian & Xin Xu, 2022. "Spatiotemporal Interaction and Socioeconomic Determinants of Rural Energy Poverty in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(17), pages 1-15, August.
    12. Xiaogang He & Kairui Feng & Xiaoyuan Li & Amy B. Craft & Yoshihide Wada & Peter Burek & Eric F. Wood & Justin Sheffield, 2019. "Solar and wind energy enhances drought resilience and groundwater sustainability," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-8, December.
    13. Yao, Lingxiang & Guan, Zhiwen & Wang, Yang & Hui, Hongxun & Luo, Shuyu & Jia, Chuyun & You, Xingxing & Xiao, Xianyong, 2025. "Evaluating the feasibility of concentrated solar power as a replacement for coal-fired power in China: A comprehensive comparative analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 377(PA).
    14. Yijing Wang & Rong Wang & Katsumasa Tanaka & Philippe Ciais & Josep Penuelas & Yves Balkanski & Jordi Sardans & Didier Hauglustaine & Wang Liu & Xiaofan Xing & Jiarong Li & Siqing Xu & Yuankang Xiong , 2023. "Accelerating the energy transition towards photovoltaic and wind in China," Nature, Nature, vol. 619(7971), pages 761-767, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jiang, Luguang & Liu, Ye & Yang, Liwen, 2026. "Rapid expansion of photovoltaic land in China's coastal regions: A doubling from 2020 to 2023," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    2. Li, Xiaochun & He, Ze & Xia, Siyou & Yang, Yu, 2024. "Greenness change associated with construction and operation of photovoltaic solar energy in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    3. Zhixin Zhang & Min Chen & Teng Zhong & Rui Zhu & Zhen Qian & Fan Zhang & Yue Yang & Kai Zhang & Paolo Santi & Kaicun Wang & Yingxia Pu & Lixin Tian & Guonian Lü & Jinyue Yan, 2023. "Carbon mitigation potential afforded by rooftop photovoltaic in China," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    4. Xiao, Sheng & Ren, He & Zhao, Yanling & He, Tingting & Huang, Chunlin & Chen, Qixiang & Zhang, Lifan & An, Yifan & Li, Fashuai & Chen, Yuwei, 2025. "Land reuse for carbon mitigation: Decarbonization potential of solar photovoltaics in China's open-pit mining areas," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    5. Tao, Linwei & Hayashi, Kiichiro & Gyeltshen, Sangay & Shimoyama, Yuya, 2025. "Spatial assessment of utility-scale solar photovoltaic siting potential using machine learning approaches: A case study in Aichi prefecture, Japan," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 383(C).
    6. Teodoro Semeraro & Roberta Aretano & Amilcare Barca & Alessandro Pomes & Cecilia Del Giudice & Elisa Gatto & Marcello Lenucci & Riccardo Buccolieri & Rohinton Emmanuel & Zhi Gao & Alessandra Scognamig, 2020. "A Conceptual Framework to Design Green Infrastructure: Ecosystem Services as an Opportunity for Creating Shared Value in Ground Photovoltaic Systems," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-28, July.
    7. Shahryar Jafarinejad & Rebecca R. Hernandez & Sajjad Bigham & Bryan S. Beckingham, 2023. "The Intertwined Renewable Energy–Water–Environment (REWE) Nexus Challenges and Opportunities: A Case Study of California," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-16, July.
    8. Zhang, Hao & Song, Yan & Zhang, Ming & Duan, Ye & Zhao, Danning, 2025. "Ecological environmental impact assessment of photovoltaic and "photovoltaic +" development in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    9. Mao, Hongzhi & Chen, Xie & Luo, Yongqiang & Deng, Jie & Tian, Zhiyong & Yu, Jinghua & Xiao, Yimin & Fan, Jianhua, 2023. "Advances and prospects on estimating solar photovoltaic installation capacity and potential based on satellite and aerial images," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    10. Randle-Boggis, R.J. & Barron-Gafford, G.A. & Kimaro, A.A. & Lamanna, C. & Macharia, C. & Maro, J. & Mbele, A. & Hartley, S.E., 2025. "Harvesting the sun twice: Energy, food and water benefits from agrivoltaics in East Africa," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    11. Luo, Haizhi & Li, Yuanji & Zhang, Yiwen & Song, Xia & Gao, Xinyu & Luo, Xilian & Meng, Xiangzhao & Yang, Xiaohu & Liu, Zhengguang & Yan, Jinyue, 2025. "Land–energy–population Nexus: A systemic framework for per capita energy consumption characterization and prediction toward land use structure optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 402(PA).
    12. Cao, Yupu & Xu, Bo & Zhang, Chi & Li, Fang-Fang & Liu, Zhanwei, 2025. "Strategic site-level planning of VRE integration in hydro-wind-solar systems under uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 328(C).
    13. Li, Wenkai & Liu, Hongliang & Hu, Xiaomei & Lu, Xingcheng & Tao, Shengli & Ma, Qin & Yang, Haitao & Liu, Yuanchi & Li, Mingxuan & Li, Tianhong & Guo, Qinghua, 2026. "Mapping the global potential of onshore field-scale solar PV using positive-unlabeled deep learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 402(PB).
    14. Xia, Zilong & Li, Yingjie & Guo, Shanchuan & Chen, Ruishan & Zhang, Wei & Zhang, Peng & Du, Peijun, 2023. "Mapping global water-surface photovoltaics with satellite images," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    15. Zhu, Yingqi & Chuai, Xiaowei & Ji, Xuepeng, 2026. "Photovoltaic land occupation pattern analysis and comprehensive assessment of carbon emission reduction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(PH).
    16. Chen, Di & Peng, Qiuzhi & Lu, Jiating & Huang, Peiyi & Song, Yufei & Peng, Fengcan, 2024. "Classification and segmentation of five photovoltaic types based on instance segmentation for generating more refined photovoltaic data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 376(PB).
    17. Zhun Qu & Chong Jiang & Yixin Wang & Ran Wang & Ying Zhao & Suchang Yang, 2024. "China’s Photovoltaic Development and Its Spillover Effects on Carbon Footprint at Cross-Regional Scale: Insights from the Largest Photovoltaic Industry in Northwest Arid Area," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-24, November.
    18. Li, Yanjiao & Qing, Chen & Guo, Shili & Deng, Xin & Song, Jiahao & Xu, Dingde, 2023. "When my friends and relatives go solar, should I go solar too? —— Evidence from rural Sichuan province, China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 753-762.
    19. Ortega-Arriaga, P. & Babacan, O. & Nelson, J. & Gambhir, A., 2021. "Grid versus off-grid electricity access options: A review on the economic and environmental impacts," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    20. Yijing Wang & Rong Wang & Katsumasa Tanaka & Philippe Ciais & Josep Penuelas & Yves Balkanski & Jordi Sardans & Didier Hauglustaine & Junji Cao & Jianmin Chen & Lin Wang & Xu Tang & Renhe Zhang, 2025. "Global spatiotemporal optimization of photovoltaic and wind power to achieve the Paris Agreement targets," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-19, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:256:y:2026:i:pf:s0960148125020452. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.