IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v201y2022ip1p1076-1085.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Enhancing wind power forecast accuracy using the weather research and forecasting numerical model-based features and artificial neuronal networks

Author

Listed:
  • Couto, António
  • Estanqueiro, Ana

Abstract

Forecasting with accuracy the quantity of energy produced by wind power plants is crucial to enabling its optimal integration into power systems and electricity markets. Despite the remarkable improvements in the wind forecasting systems in recent years, large errors can still be observed, especially for longer time horizons. This work focuses on identifying new numerical weather prediction (NWP)-based features aiming to improve the overall quality of wind power forecasts.

Suggested Citation

  • Couto, António & Estanqueiro, Ana, 2022. "Enhancing wind power forecast accuracy using the weather research and forecasting numerical model-based features and artificial neuronal networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(P1), pages 1076-1085.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:201:y:2022:i:p1:p:1076-1085
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2022.11.022
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S096014812201655X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2022.11.022?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Correia, J.M. & Bastos, A. & Brito, M.C. & Trigo, R.M., 2017. "The influence of the main large-scale circulation patterns on wind power production in Portugal," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 102(PA), pages 214-223.
    2. Nantian Huang & Enkai Xing & Guowei Cai & Zhiyong Yu & Bin Qi & Lin Lin, 2018. "Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Based on Low Redundancy Feature Selection," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-19, June.
    3. Wang, Han & Han, Shuang & Liu, Yongqian & Yan, Jie & Li, Li, 2019. "Sequence transfer correction algorithm for numerical weather prediction wind speed and its application in a wind power forecasting system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C), pages 1-10.
    4. Liu, Hui & Chen, Chao, 2019. "Data processing strategies in wind energy forecasting models and applications: A comprehensive review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C), pages 392-408.
    5. Hugo Algarvio & Fernando Lopes & António Couto & Ana Estanqueiro, 2019. "Participation of wind power producers in day‐ahead and balancing markets: An overview and a simulation‐based study," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(5), September.
    6. Forbes, Kevin F. & Zampelli, Ernest M., 2020. "Accuracy of wind energy forecasts in Great Britain and prospects for improvement," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    7. Carvalho, D. & Rocha, A. & Gómez-Gesteira, M. & Silva Santos, C., 2014. "Sensitivity of the WRF model wind simulation and wind energy production estimates to planetary boundary layer parameterizations for onshore and offshore areas in the Iberian Peninsula," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 234-246.
    8. Shahram Hanifi & Xiaolei Liu & Zi Lin & Saeid Lotfian, 2020. "A Critical Review of Wind Power Forecasting Methods—Past, Present and Future," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-24, July.
    9. Bogdan Bochenek & Jakub Jurasz & Adam Jaczewski & Gabriel Stachura & Piotr Sekuła & Tomasz Strzyżewski & Marcin Wdowikowski & Mariusz Figurski, 2021. "Day-Ahead Wind Power Forecasting in Poland Based on Numerical Weather Prediction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-18, April.
    10. Lu, Peng & Ye, Lin & Zhao, Yongning & Dai, Binhua & Pei, Ming & Li, Zhuo, 2021. "Feature extraction of meteorological factors for wind power prediction based on variable weight combined method," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 1925-1939.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Nicholas Christakis & Ioanna Evangelou & Dimitris Drikakis & George Kossioris, 2024. "A Computational Methodology for Assessing Wind Potential," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(6), pages 1-23, March.
    2. Yi Liu & Jun He & Yu Wang & Zong Liu & Lixun He & Yanyang Wang, 2023. "Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on CEEMDAN-SE and Bidirectional LSTM Neural Network with Markov Chain," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-25, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kirchner-Bossi, Nicolas & Kathari, Gabriel & Porté-Agel, Fernando, 2024. "A hybrid physics-based and data-driven model for intra-day and day-ahead wind power forecasting considering a drastically expanded predictor search space," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 367(C).
    2. Lee, Keunmin & Park, Bongjoon & Kim, Jeongwon & Hong, Jinkyu, 2024. "Day-ahead wind power forecasting based on feature extraction integrating vertical layer wind characteristics in complex terrain," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    3. Jin, Ji & Tian, Jinyu & Yu, Min & Wu, Yong & Tang, Yuanyan, 2024. "A novel ultra-short-term wind speed prediction method based on dynamic adaptive continued fraction," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    4. Yingya Zhou & Linwei Ma & Weidou Ni & Colin Yu, 2023. "Data Enrichment as a Method of Data Preprocessing to Enhance Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-18, February.
    5. Wang, Yun & Zou, Runmin & Liu, Fang & Zhang, Lingjun & Liu, Qianyi, 2021. "A review of wind speed and wind power forecasting with deep neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    6. Hu, Yue & Liu, Hanjing & Wu, Senzhen & Zhao, Yuan & Wang, Zhijin & Liu, Xiufeng, 2024. "Temporal collaborative attention for wind power forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
    7. Liu, Chenyu & Zhang, Xuemin & Mei, Shengwei & Zhen, Zhao & Jia, Mengshuo & Li, Zheng & Tang, Haiyan, 2022. "Numerical weather prediction enhanced wind power forecasting: Rank ensemble and probabilistic fluctuation awareness," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 313(C).
    8. Upma Singh & Mohammad Rizwan & Muhannad Alaraj & Ibrahim Alsaidan, 2021. "A Machine Learning-Based Gradient Boosting Regression Approach for Wind Power Production Forecasting: A Step towards Smart Grid Environments," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-21, August.
    9. Yuji Yamada & Takuji Matsumoto, 2023. "Construction of Mixed Derivatives Strategy for Wind Power Producers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-26, April.
    10. Hu, Huanling & Wang, Lin & Zhang, Dabin & Ling, Liwen, 2023. "Rolling decomposition method in fusion with echo state network for wind speed forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    11. Manisha Sawant & Rupali Patil & Tanmay Shikhare & Shreyas Nagle & Sakshi Chavan & Shivang Negi & Neeraj Dhanraj Bokde, 2022. "A Selective Review on Recent Advancements in Long, Short and Ultra-Short-Term Wind Power Prediction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-24, October.
    12. José A. Domínguez-Navarro & Tania B. Lopez-Garcia & Sandra Minerva Valdivia-Bautista, 2021. "Applying Wavelet Filters in Wind Forecasting Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-22, May.
    13. Liu, Hui & Duan, Zhu, 2020. "A vanishing moment ensemble model for wind speed multi-step prediction with multi-objective base model selection," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    14. Kui Yang & Bofu Wang & Xiang Qiu & Jiahua Li & Yuze Wang & Yulu Liu, 2022. "Multi-Step Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction Models Based on Adaptive Robust Decomposition Coupled with Deep Gated Recurrent Unit," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-24, June.
    15. Ding, Lin & Bai, Yulong & Liu, Ming-De & Fan, Man-Hong & Yang, Jie, 2022. "Predicting short wind speed with a hybrid model based on a piecewise error correction method and Elman neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 244(PA).
    16. Wu, Binrong & Wang, Lin & Zeng, Yu-Rong, 2022. "Interpretable wind speed prediction with multivariate time series and temporal fusion transformers," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    17. Liu, Xiaolei & Lin, Zi & Feng, Ziming, 2021. "Short-term offshore wind speed forecast by seasonal ARIMA - A comparison against GRU and LSTM," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    18. Yang, Mao & Wang, Da & Xu, Chuanyu & Dai, Bozhi & Ma, Miaomiao & Su, Xin, 2023. "Power transfer characteristics in fluctuation partition algorithm for wind speed and its application to wind power forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 582-594.
    19. Yanghe Liu & Hairong Zhang & Chuanfeng Wu & Mengxin Shao & Liting Zhou & Wenlong Fu, 2024. "A Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Framework Coupling a Maximum Information Coefficient, Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise, Shared Weight Gated Memory Network with Im," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-19, August.
    20. Alain Ulazia & Ander Nafarrate & Gabriel Ibarra-Berastegi & Jon Sáenz & Sheila Carreno-Madinabeitia, 2019. "The Consequences of Air Density Variations over Northeastern Scotland for Offshore Wind Energy Potential," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-18, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:201:y:2022:i:p1:p:1076-1085. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.