IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v156y2020icp279-289.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Solar radiation prediction using recurrent neural network and artificial neural network: A case study with comparisons

Author

Listed:
  • Pang, Zhihong
  • Niu, Fuxin
  • O’Neill, Zheng

Abstract

With the rapid advancement of the high-performance computing technology and the increasing availability of the mass-storage memory device, the application of the data-driven models (e.g., the artificial neural network (ANN) model) for solar radiation prediction is appearing in abundance in the past decade. Although the performances of these models have been discussed in a large number of studies, how to further enhance the forecasting accuracies of these data-driven approaches to better facilitate the advanced controls in the building system such as model predictive control (MPC) in smart buildings remains a challenge. Deep learning, which is considered as a powerful tool to move machine learning closer to one of its original goals, i.e., Artificial Intelligence (AI), is a viable solution to this problem.

Suggested Citation

  • Pang, Zhihong & Niu, Fuxin & O’Neill, Zheng, 2020. "Solar radiation prediction using recurrent neural network and artificial neural network: A case study with comparisons," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 279-289.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:156:y:2020:i:c:p:279-289
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2020.04.042
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148120305747
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2020.04.042?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zeng, Jianwu & Qiao, Wei, 2013. "Short-term solar power prediction using a support vector machine," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 118-127.
    2. Gianluca Serale & Massimo Fiorentini & Alfonso Capozzoli & Daniele Bernardini & Alberto Bemporad, 2018. "Model Predictive Control (MPC) for Enhancing Building and HVAC System Energy Efficiency: Problem Formulation, Applications and Opportunities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-35, March.
    3. Halabi, Laith M. & Mekhilef, Saad & Hossain, Monowar, 2018. "Performance evaluation of hybrid adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system models for predicting monthly global solar radiation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 247-261.
    4. Stephen Treado & Yan Chen, 2013. "Saving Building Energy through Advanced Control Strategies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 6(9), pages 1-17, September.
    5. Yacef, R. & Benghanem, M. & Mellit, A., 2012. "Prediction of daily global solar irradiation data using Bayesian neural network: A comparative study," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 146-154.
    6. Su, Yan & Chan, Lai-Cheong & Shu, Lianjie & Tsui, Kwok-Leung, 2012. "Real-time prediction models for output power and efficiency of grid-connected solar photovoltaic systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 319-326.
    7. Li, Weilin & Xu, Peng & Lu, Xing & Wang, Huilong & Pang, Zhihong, 2016. "Electricity demand response in China: Status, feasible market schemes and pilots," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 981-994.
    8. Pang, Zhihong & O'Neill, Zheng, 2018. "Uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis of the domestic hot water usage in hotels," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C), pages 424-442.
    9. Voyant, Cyril & Muselli, Marc & Paoli, Christophe & Nivet, Marie-Laure, 2012. "Numerical weather prediction (NWP) and hybrid ARMA/ANN model to predict global radiation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 341-355.
    10. Chineke, Theo Chidiezie, 2008. "Equations for estimating global solar radiation in data sparse regions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 827-831.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lu, Xin & Qiu, Jing & Lei, Gang & Zhu, Jianguo, 2022. "Scenarios modelling for forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: Case studies in Australia," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
    2. Dalibor Dobrilovic & Jasmina Pekez & Eleonora Desnica & Ljiljana Radovanovic & Ivan Palinkas & Milica Mazalica & Luka Djordjević & Sinisa Mihajlovic, 2023. "Data Acquisition for Estimating Energy-Efficient Solar-Powered Sensor Node Performance for Usage in Industrial IoT," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-22, April.
    3. Thilker, Christian Ankerstjerne & Madsen, Henrik & Jørgensen, John Bagterp, 2021. "Advanced forecasting and disturbance modelling for model predictive control of smart energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    4. Hasna Hissou & Said Benkirane & Azidine Guezzaz & Mourade Azrour & Abderrahim Beni-Hssane, 2023. "A Novel Machine Learning Approach for Solar Radiation Estimation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-21, July.
    5. Gao, Yuan & Miyata, Shohei & Akashi, Yasunori, 2022. "Multi-step solar irradiation prediction based on weather forecast and generative deep learning model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 637-650.
    6. Maduabuchi, Chika, 2022. "Thermo-mechanical optimization of thermoelectric generators using deep learning artificial intelligence algorithms fed with verified finite element simulation data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 315(C).
    7. Guijo-Rubio, D. & Durán-Rosal, A.M. & Gutiérrez, P.A. & Gómez-Orellana, A.M. & Casanova-Mateo, C. & Sanz-Justo, J. & Salcedo-Sanz, S. & Hervás-Martínez, C., 2020. "Evolutionary artificial neural networks for accurate solar radiation prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    8. Bellido-Jiménez, Juan Antonio & Estévez Gualda, Javier & García-Marín, Amanda Penélope, 2021. "Assessing new intra-daily temperature-based machine learning models to outperform solar radiation predictions in different conditions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    9. Victor Hugo Wentz & Joylan Nunes Maciel & Jorge Javier Gimenez Ledesma & Oswaldo Hideo Ando Junior, 2022. "Solar Irradiance Forecasting to Short-Term PV Power: Accuracy Comparison of ANN and LSTM Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-23, March.
    10. Mazzeo, Domenico & Herdem, Münür Sacit & Matera, Nicoletta & Bonini, Matteo & Wen, John Z. & Nathwani, Jatin & Oliveti, Giuseppe, 2021. "Artificial intelligence application for the performance prediction of a clean energy community," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    11. Gao, Yuan & Miyata, Shohei & Akashi, Yasunori, 2022. "Interpretable deep learning models for hourly solar radiation prediction based on graph neural network and attention," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 321(C).
    12. Chika Maduabuchi & Hassan Fagehi & Ibrahim Alatawi & Mohammad Alkhedher, 2022. "Predicting the Optimal Performance of a Concentrated Solar Segmented Variable Leg Thermoelectric Generator Using Neural Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-25, August.
    13. Maduabuchi, Chika & Eneh, Chibuoke & Alrobaian, Abdulrahman Abdullah & Alkhedher, Mohammad, 2023. "Deep neural networks for quick and precise geometry optimization of segmented thermoelectric generators," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PC).
    14. Rial A. Rajagukguk & Raden A. A. Ramadhan & Hyun-Jin Lee, 2020. "A Review on Deep Learning Models for Forecasting Time Series Data of Solar Irradiance and Photovoltaic Power," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-23, December.
    15. Mohammad Hijji & Tzu-Chia Chen & Muhammad Ayaz & Ali S. Abosinnee & Iskandar Muda & Yury Razoumny & Javad Hatamiafkoueieh, 2023. "Optimization of State of the Art Fuzzy-Based Machine Learning Techniques for Total Dissolved Solids Prediction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-23, April.
    16. Mohammad Mahdi Forootan & Iman Larki & Rahim Zahedi & Abolfazl Ahmadi, 2022. "Machine Learning and Deep Learning in Energy Systems: A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-49, April.
    17. Diaa Salman & Mehmet Kusaf, 2021. "Short-Term Unit Commitment by Using Machine Learning to Cover the Uncertainty of Wind Power Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-22, December.
    18. Wadim Strielkowski & Andrey Vlasov & Kirill Selivanov & Konstantin Muraviev & Vadim Shakhnov, 2023. "Prospects and Challenges of the Machine Learning and Data-Driven Methods for the Predictive Analysis of Power Systems: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-31, May.
    19. Kong, Xiangfei & Du, Xinyu & Xue, Guixiang & Xu, Zhijie, 2023. "Multi-step short-term solar radiation prediction based on empirical mode decomposition and gated recurrent unit optimized via an attention mechanism," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    20. Rizwan Raheem Ahmed & Dalia Streimikiene & Zahid Ali Channar & Hassan Abbas Soomro & Justas Streimikis & Grigorios L. Kyriakopoulos, 2022. "The Neuromarketing Concept in Artificial Neural Networks: A Case of Forecasting and Simulation from the Advertising Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-24, July.
    21. Dwi Sudarno Putra & Seng-Chi Chen & Hoai-Hung Khong & Chin-Feng Chang, 2023. "Realization of Intelligent Observer for Sensorless PMSM Drive Control," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-20, March.
    22. Dhowmya Bhatt & Danalakshmi D & A. Hariharasudan & Marcin Lis & Marlena Grabowska, 2021. "Forecasting of Energy Demands for Smart Home Applications," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-19, February.
    23. Putri Nor Liyana Mohamad Radzi & Muhammad Naveed Akhter & Saad Mekhilef & Noraisyah Mohamed Shah, 2023. "Review on the Application of Photovoltaic Forecasting Using Machine Learning for Very Short- to Long-Term Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-21, February.
    24. Chika Maduabuchi & Chinedu Nsude & Chibuoke Eneh & Emmanuel Eke & Kingsley Okoli & Emmanuel Okpara & Christian Idogho & Bryan Waya & Catur Harsito, 2023. "Renewable Energy Potential Estimation Using Climatic-Weather-Forecasting Machine Learning Algorithms," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-20, February.
    25. Tang, Zhenhao & Wang, Shikui & Chai, Xiangying & Cao, Shengxian & Ouyang, Tinghui & Li, Yang, 2022. "Auto-encoder-extreme learning machine model for boiler NOx emission concentration prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Salcedo-Sanz, Sancho & Deo, Ravinesh C. & Cornejo-Bueno, Laura & Camacho-Gómez, Carlos & Ghimire, Sujan, 2018. "An efficient neuro-evolutionary hybrid modelling mechanism for the estimation of daily global solar radiation in the Sunshine State of Australia," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 79-94.
    2. Teke, Ahmet & Yıldırım, H. Başak & Çelik, Özgür, 2015. "Evaluation and performance comparison of different models for the estimation of solar radiation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1097-1107.
    3. Deo, Ravinesh C. & Wen, Xiaohu & Qi, Feng, 2016. "A wavelet-coupled support vector machine model for forecasting global incident solar radiation using limited meteorological dataset," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 568-593.
    4. Alice Mugnini & Gianluca Coccia & Fabio Polonara & Alessia Arteconi, 2020. "Performance Assessment of Data-Driven and Physical-Based Models to Predict Building Energy Demand in Model Predictive Controls," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-18, June.
    5. Voyant, Cyril & Darras, Christophe & Muselli, Marc & Paoli, Christophe & Nivet, Marie-Laure & Poggi, Philippe, 2014. "Bayesian rules and stochastic models for high accuracy prediction of solar radiation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 218-226.
    6. Yang, Shiyu & Wan, Man Pun & Chen, Wanyu & Ng, Bing Feng & Dubey, Swapnil, 2021. "Experiment study of machine-learning-based approximate model predictive control for energy-efficient building control," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    7. Majid Almaraashi, 2017. "Short-term prediction of solar energy in Saudi Arabia using automated-design fuzzy logic systems," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(8), pages 1-16, August.
    8. Gao, Yuan & Miyata, Shohei & Akashi, Yasunori, 2022. "Multi-step solar irradiation prediction based on weather forecast and generative deep learning model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 637-650.
    9. Amrouche, Badia & Le Pivert, Xavier, 2014. "Artificial neural network based daily local forecasting for global solar radiation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 333-341.
    10. Panagiotis Michailidis & Iakovos Michailidis & Dimitrios Vamvakas & Elias Kosmatopoulos, 2023. "Model-Free HVAC Control in Buildings: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(20), pages 1-45, October.
    11. Meyabadi, A. Fattahi & Deihimi, M.H., 2017. "A review of demand-side management: Reconsidering theoretical framework," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 367-379.
    12. Gao, Yuan & Miyata, Shohei & Akashi, Yasunori, 2022. "Interpretable deep learning models for hourly solar radiation prediction based on graph neural network and attention," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 321(C).
    13. Mariz B. Arias & Sungwoo Bae, 2020. "Design Models for Power Flow Management of a Grid-Connected Solar Photovoltaic System with Energy Storage System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-14, April.
    14. Santamaría-Bonfil, G. & Reyes-Ballesteros, A. & Gershenson, C., 2016. "Wind speed forecasting for wind farms: A method based on support vector regression," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 790-809.
    15. Aurelia Rybak & Aleksandra Rybak & Spas D. Kolev, 2023. "Modeling the Photovoltaic Power Generation in Poland in the Light of PEP2040: An Application of Multiple Regression," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-17, November.
    16. Nonnenmacher, Lukas & Kaur, Amanpreet & Coimbra, Carlos F.M., 2016. "Day-ahead resource forecasting for concentrated solar power integration," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 866-876.
    17. Qu, Zhijian & Xu, Juan & Wang, Zixiao & Chi, Rui & Liu, Hanxin, 2021. "Prediction of electricity generation from a combined cycle power plant based on a stacking ensemble and its hyperparameter optimization with a grid-search method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    18. Giwa, Adewale & Alabi, Adetunji & Yusuf, Ahmed & Olukan, Tuza, 2017. "A comprehensive review on biomass and solar energy for sustainable energy generation in Nigeria," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 620-641.
    19. Wang, Bo & Deng, Nana & Li, Haoxiang & Zhao, Wenhui & Liu, Jie & Wang, Zhaohua, 2021. "Effect and mechanism of monetary incentives and moral suasion on residential peak-hour electricity usage," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    20. Mariz B. Arias & Sungwoo Bae, 2021. "Solar Photovoltaic Power Prediction Using Big Data Tools," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-19, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:156:y:2020:i:c:p:279-289. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.