IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v223y2022ics0951832022001053.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Enhanced prediction intervals of tunnel-induced settlement using the genetic algorithm and neural network

Author

Listed:
  • Feng, Liuyang
  • Zhang, Limao

Abstract

This paper constructs the prediction intervals (PIs) of the tunnels’ settlement caused by the shielding steering process. The hybrid genetic algorithm -neural network (GA-NN) is developed to obtain the upper and lower bound of the settlement based on a series of shield operating parameters, geological condition parameters, tunnel geometric parameters, and anomalous conditions. An improved prediction interval-based cost function is proposed to enable the consideration of the uncertainty from model misspecification and noise variance. The genetic algorithm optimizes the weighted parameters in the neural network by minimizing the cost function value. This study adopts a metro tunnel construction case in China to verify the effectiveness of the proposed hybrid genetic algorithm-neural network approach. The results based on the study case illustrate the superiority of the proposed hybrid approach in (1) overcoming the limitations of the conventional prediction interval indicator; (2) achieving comparative results with the deterministic estimation based on the least squares support vector machine; (3) providing a probability prediction of the settlement only based on deterministic input multivariables. Overall, this study contributes to (1) the uncertainty assessment of tunnel settlement based on the deterministic variables, (2) developing a new PIs based cost function which is stable and reliable, (3) the engineering practice for a safer assessment based on the prediction intervals.

Suggested Citation

  • Feng, Liuyang & Zhang, Limao, 2022. "Enhanced prediction intervals of tunnel-induced settlement using the genetic algorithm and neural network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:223:y:2022:i:c:s0951832022001053
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2022.108439
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832022001053
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2022.108439?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Feng, Liuyang & Zhang, Limao, 2021. "Assessment of tunnel face stability subjected to an adjacent tunnel," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    2. Zhu, Xujia & Sudret, Bruno, 2021. "Global sensitivity analysis for stochastic simulators based on generalized lambda surrogate models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    3. Sudret, Bruno, 2008. "Global sensitivity analysis using polynomial chaos expansions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(7), pages 964-979.
    4. Bensmain, Yassir & Dahane, Mohammed & Bennekrouf, Mohammed & Sari, Zaki, 2019. "Preventive remanufacturing planning of production equipment under operational and imperfect maintenance constraints: A hybrid genetic algorithm based approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 546-566.
    5. Lins, Isis Didier & Droguett, Enrique López & Moura, Márcio das Chagas & Zio, Enrico & Jacinto, Carlos Magno, 2015. "Computing confidence and prediction intervals of industrial equipment degradation by bootstrapped support vector regression," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 120-128.
    6. Liu, Wenli & Chen, Elton J. & Yao, Erlei & Wang, Yanyu & Chen, Yangyang, 2021. "Reliability analysis of face stability for tunnel excavation in a dependent system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    7. Liu, Di & Wang, Shaoping, 2021. "An artificial neural network supported stochastic process for degradation modeling and prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    8. Zhang, Limao & Lin, Penghui, 2021. "Multi-objective optimization for limiting tunnel-induced damages considering uncertainties," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    9. Manjurul Islam, M.M. & Kim, Jong-Myon, 2019. "Reliable multiple combined fault diagnosis of bearings using heterogeneous feature models and multiclass support vector Machines," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 55-66.
    10. Khatibinia, Mohsen & Javad Fadaee, Mohammad & Salajegheh, Javad & Salajegheh, Eysa, 2013. "Seismic reliability assessment of RC structures including soil–structure interaction using wavelet weighted least squares support vector machine," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 22-33.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Paweł Ziółkowski & Marta Drosińska-Komor & Jerzy Głuch & Łukasz Breńkacz, 2023. "Review of Methods for Diagnosing the Degradation Process in Power Units Cooperating with Renewable Energy Sources Using Artificial Intelligence," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-28, August.
    2. Pan, Yue & Qin, Jianjun & Hou, Yongmao & Chen, Jin-Jian, 2024. "Two-stage support vector machine-enabled deep excavation settlement prediction considering class imbalance and multi-source uncertainties," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    3. Huang, Peng & Gu, Yingkui & Li, He & Yazdi, Mohammad & Qiu, Guangqi, 2023. "An Optimal Tolerance Design Approach of Robot Manipulators for Positioning Accuracy Reliability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    4. Liu, Wenli & Li, Ang & Fang, Weili & Love, Peter E.D. & Hartmann, Timo & Luo, Hanbin, 2023. "A hybrid data-driven model for geotechnical reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Qu, Pengfei & Zhang, Limao & Zhu, Qizhi & Wu, Maozhi, 2023. "Probabilistic reliability assessment of twin tunnels considering fluid–solid coupling with physics-guided machine learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    2. Yong, Weixun & Zhang, Wengang & Nguyen, Hoang & Bui, Xuan-Nam & Choi, Yosoon & Nguyen-Thoi, Trung & Zhou, Jian & Tran, Trung Tin, 2022. "Analysis and prediction of diaphragm wall deflection induced by deep braced excavations using finite element method and artificial neural network optimized by metaheuristic algorithms," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    3. Jung, WoongHee & Taflanidis, Alexandros A., 2023. "Efficient global sensitivity analysis for high-dimensional outputs combining data-driven probability models and dimensionality reduction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    4. Liu, Wenli & Li, Ang & Fang, Weili & Love, Peter E.D. & Hartmann, Timo & Luo, Hanbin, 2023. "A hybrid data-driven model for geotechnical reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    5. Blagojević, Nikola & Didier, Max & Stojadinović, Božidar, 2022. "Quantifying component importance for disaster resilience of communities with interdependent civil infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    6. Oluwatuyi, Opeyemi E. & Ng, Kam & Wulff, Shaun S., 2023. "Improved resistance prediction and reliability for bridge pile foundation in shales through optimal site investigation plans," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
    7. Shirgir, Sina & Shamsaddinlou, Amir & Zare, Reza Najafi & Zehtabiyan, Sorour & Bonab, Masoud Hajialilue, 2023. "An efficient double-loop reliability-based optimization with metaheuristic algorithms to design soil nail walls under uncertain condition," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    8. Ballester-Ripoll, Rafael & Leonelli, Manuele, 2022. "Computing Sobol indices in probabilistic graphical models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    9. Feng, Liuyang & Zhang, Limao, 2021. "Assessment of tunnel face stability subjected to an adjacent tunnel," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    10. Tang, Cong & He, Shu-Yu & Zhou, Wan-Huan, 2022. "Settlement-based framework for long-term serviceability assessment of immersed tunnels," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    11. Daniel Harenberg & Stefano Marelli & Bruno Sudret & Viktor Winschel, 2019. "Uncertainty quantification and global sensitivity analysis for economic models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 10(1), pages 1-41, January.
    12. Wang, Zequn & Wang, Pingfeng, 2015. "A double-loop adaptive sampling approach for sensitivity-free dynamic reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 346-356.
    13. Puppo, L. & Pedroni, N. & Maio, F. Di & Bersano, A. & Bertani, C. & Zio, E., 2021. "A Framework based on Finite Mixture Models and Adaptive Kriging for Characterizing Non-Smooth and Multimodal Failure Regions in a Nuclear Passive Safety System," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    14. Cheng, Kai & Lu, Zhenzhou, 2018. "Sparse polynomial chaos expansion based on D-MORPH regression," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 323(C), pages 17-30.
    15. Bemah Ibrahim & Isaac Ahenkorah & Anthony Ewusi, 2022. "Explainable Risk Assessment of Rockbolts’ Failure in Underground Coal Mines Based on Categorical Gradient Boosting and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-16, September.
    16. Liu, Di & Wang, Shaoping & Cui, Xiaoyu, 2022. "An artificial neural network supported Wiener process based reliability estimation method considering individual difference and measurement error," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PB).
    17. Gaspar, B. & Teixeira, A.P. & Guedes Soares, C., 2017. "Adaptive surrogate model with active refinement combining Kriging and a trust region method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 277-291.
    18. Palar, Pramudita Satria & Zuhal, Lavi Rizki & Shimoyama, Koji, 2023. "Enhancing the explainability of regression-based polynomial chaos expansion by Shapley additive explanations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    19. Brown, S. & Beck, J. & Mahgerefteh, H. & Fraga, E.S., 2013. "Global sensitivity analysis of the impact of impurities on CO2 pipeline failure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 43-54.
    20. Turati, Pietro & Pedroni, Nicola & Zio, Enrico, 2017. "Simulation-based exploration of high-dimensional system models for identifying unexpected events," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 317-330.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:223:y:2022:i:c:s0951832022001053. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.