IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v222y2022ics0951832022001144.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Expected system improvement (ESI): A new learning function for system reliability analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Yang, Seonghyeok
  • Jo, Hwisang
  • Lee, Kyungeun
  • Lee, Ikjin

Abstract

In this paper, a new active learning function for system reliability analysis called expected system improvement (ESI) is proposed to predict how updates on component reliability affect system reliability. To measure a change in system reliability, current and updated system reliabilities are estimated when the sign of the updated performance function is positive or negative at an added sample point. The new system active learning function is derived in cases of series, parallel and combined systems, respectively. With the proposed learning function, system reliability analysis iteratively updates a Kriging model by adding the optimal sample point to the design of experiment (DOE) of the critical performance function. An extraction strategy that selects points crucial to both component and system reliabilities is also proposed. Three numerical examples and two real engineering examples were investigated to demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed system learning function. The validation results show that the proposed method outperforms existing methods in terms of the number of function evaluations (NFE) and computational time.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang, Seonghyeok & Jo, Hwisang & Lee, Kyungeun & Lee, Ikjin, 2022. "Expected system improvement (ESI): A new learning function for system reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:222:y:2022:i:c:s0951832022001144
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2022.108449
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832022001144
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2022.108449?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sun, Zhili & Wang, Jian & Li, Rui & Tong, Cao, 2017. "LIF: A new Kriging based learning function and its application to structural reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 152-165.
    2. Echard, B. & Gayton, N. & Lemaire, M. & Relun, N., 2013. "A combined Importance Sampling and Kriging reliability method for small failure probabilities with time-demanding numerical models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 232-240.
    3. Wang, Zequn & Chen, Wei, 2016. "Time-variant reliability assessment through equivalent stochastic process transformation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 166-175.
    4. Jiang, Chen & Qiu, Haobo & Gao, Liang & Wang, Dapeng & Yang, Zan & Chen, Liming, 2020. "EEK-SYS: System reliability analysis through estimation error-guided adaptive Kriging approximation of multiple limit state surfaces," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    5. Gaspar, B. & Teixeira, A.P. & Guedes Soares, C., 2017. "Adaptive surrogate model with active refinement combining Kriging and a trust region method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 277-291.
    6. Xiao, Mi & Zhang, Jinhao & Gao, Liang, 2020. "A system active learning Kriging method for system reliability-based design optimization with a multiple response model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    7. Bichon, Barron J. & McFarland, John M. & Mahadevan, Sankaran, 2011. "Efficient surrogate models for reliability analysis of systems with multiple failure modes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(10), pages 1386-1395.
    8. Zhang, Jinhao & Gao, Liang & Xiao, Mi, 2020. "A composite-projection-outline-based approximation method for system reliability analysis with hybrid uncertainties," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    9. Hawchar, Lara & El Soueidy, Charbel-Pierre & Schoefs, Franck, 2017. "Principal component analysis and polynomial chaos expansion for time-variant reliability problems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 406-416.
    10. Fauriat, W. & Gayton, N., 2014. "AK-SYS: An adaptation of the AK-MCS method for system reliability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 137-144.
    11. Li, Meng & Sadoughi, Mohammadkazem & Hu, Zhen & Hu, Chao, 2020. "A hybrid Gaussian process model for system reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    12. Cadini, F. & Santos, F. & Zio, E., 2014. "An improved adaptive kriging-based importance technique for sampling multiple failure regions of low probability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 109-117.
    13. Wang, Zeyu & Shafieezadeh, Abdollah, 2019. "REAK: Reliability analysis through Error rate-based Adaptive Kriging," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 33-45.
    14. Yuan, Kai & Xiao, Ning-Cong & Wang, Zhonglai & Shang, Kun, 2020. "System reliability analysis by combining structure function and active learning kriging model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    15. Yang, Xufeng & Liu, Yongshou & Mi, Caiying & Tang, Chenghu, 2018. "System reliability analysis through active learning Kriging model with truncated candidate region," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 235-241.
    16. Sadoughi, Mohammadkazem & Li, Meng & Hu, Chao, 2018. "Multivariate system reliability analysis considering highly nonlinear and dependent safety events," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 189-200.
    17. Xiao, Sinan & Oladyshkin, Sergey & Nowak, Wolfgang, 2020. "Reliability analysis with stratified importance sampling based on adaptive Kriging," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wei, Pengfei & Zheng, Yu & Fu, Jiangfeng & Xu, Yuannan & Gao, Weikai, 2023. "An expected integrated error reduction function for accelerating Bayesian active learning of failure probability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    2. Huang, Shi-Ya & Zhang, Shao-He & Liu, Lei-Lei, 2022. "A new active learning Kriging metamodel for structural system reliability analysis with multiple failure modes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    3. Xu, Jun & Song, Jinheng & Yu, Quanfu & Kong, Fan, 2023. "Generalized distribution reconstruction based on the inversion of characteristic function curve for structural reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    4. Zhang, Dequan & Shen, Shuoshuo & Wu, Jinhui & Wang, Fang & Han, Xu, 2023. "Kinematic trajectory accuracy reliability analysis for industrial robots considering intercorrelations among multi-point positioning errors," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    5. Yang, Seonghyeok & Lee, Mingyu & Lee, Ikjin, 2023. "A new sampling approach for system reliability-based design optimization under multiple simulation models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yang, Seonghyeok & Lee, Mingyu & Lee, Ikjin, 2023. "A new sampling approach for system reliability-based design optimization under multiple simulation models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    2. Jiang, Chen & Qiu, Haobo & Gao, Liang & Wang, Dapeng & Yang, Zan & Chen, Liming, 2020. "EEK-SYS: System reliability analysis through estimation error-guided adaptive Kriging approximation of multiple limit state surfaces," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    3. Wang, Jian & Sun, Zhili & Cao, Runan, 2021. "An efficient and robust Kriging-based method for system reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    4. Zhang, Jinhao & Gao, Liang & Xiao, Mi, 2020. "A composite-projection-outline-based approximation method for system reliability analysis with hybrid uncertainties," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    5. Xiao, Mi & Zhang, Jinhao & Gao, Liang, 2020. "A system active learning Kriging method for system reliability-based design optimization with a multiple response model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    6. Guo, Qing & Liu, Yongshou & Chen, Bingqian & Yao, Qin, 2021. "A variable and mode sensitivity analysis method for structural system using a novel active learning Kriging model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    7. Zhang, Xufang & Wang, Lei & Sørensen, John Dalsgaard, 2019. "REIF: A novel active-learning function toward adaptive Kriging surrogate models for structural reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 440-454.
    8. Teixeira, Rui & Martinez-Pastor, Beatriz & Nogal, Maria & O’Connor, Alan, 2021. "Reliability analysis using a multi-metamodel complement-basis approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    9. Zhou, Yicheng & Lu, Zhenzhou & Yun, Wanying, 2020. "Active sparse polynomial chaos expansion for system reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    10. Menz, Morgane & Gogu, Christian & Dubreuil, Sylvain & Bartoli, Nathalie & Morio, Jérôme, 2020. "Adaptive coupling of reduced basis modeling and Kriging based active learning methods for reliability analyses," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    11. Wang, Zeyu & Shafieezadeh, Abdollah, 2020. "Real-time high-fidelity reliability updating with equality information using adaptive Kriging," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    12. Jian, Wang & Zhili, Sun & Qiang, Yang & Rui, Li, 2017. "Two accuracy measures of the Kriging model for structural reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 494-505.
    13. Jiang, Chen & Qiu, Haobo & Yang, Zan & Chen, Liming & Gao, Liang & Li, Peigen, 2019. "A general failure-pursuing sampling framework for surrogate-based reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 47-59.
    14. Zhang, Yu & Dong, You & Xu, Jun, 2023. "An accelerated active learning Kriging model with the distance-based subdomain and a new stopping criterion for reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    15. Li, Peiping & Wang, Yu, 2022. "An active learning reliability analysis method using adaptive Bayesian compressive sensing and Monte Carlo simulation (ABCS-MCS)," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    16. Ni, Pinghe & Li, Jun & Hao, Hong & Yan, Weimin & Du, Xiuli & Zhou, Hongyuan, 2020. "Reliability analysis and design optimization of nonlinear structures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    17. Zhang, Jinhao & Xiao, Mi & Gao, Liang, 2019. "An active learning reliability method combining Kriging constructed with exploration and exploitation of failure region and subset simulation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 90-102.
    18. Yuan, Kai & Xiao, Ning-Cong & Wang, Zhonglai & Shang, Kun, 2020. "System reliability analysis by combining structure function and active learning kriging model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    19. Wei, Pengfei & Liu, Fuchao & Tang, Chenghu, 2018. "Reliability and reliability-based importance analysis of structural systems using multiple response Gaussian process model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 183-195.
    20. Saraygord Afshari, Sajad & Enayatollahi, Fatemeh & Xu, Xiangyang & Liang, Xihui, 2022. "Machine learning-based methods in structural reliability analysis: A review," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:222:y:2022:i:c:s0951832022001144. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.