IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v216y2021ics0951832021005093.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Improvement to the discretized initial condition of the generalized density evolution equation

Author

Listed:
  • Liu, Gang
  • Gao, Kai
  • Yang, Qingshan
  • Tang, Wei
  • Law, S.S.

Abstract

The probability density evolution method has been popularly used for various stochastic analysis of structural systems including the reliability analysis. The generalized density evolution equation is usually solved with its initial condition discretized as an impulse function. This, however, leads to oscillations close to the failure point of the structure in the final probability density function with large errors in the failure probability. A normal distribution is adopted in this paper to replace the conventional impulse function in modeling the initial condition. The assigned probability in the x-space direction is discretized at the initial time instant t = 0. The standard deviation, σ, in the normal distribution is optimized by the gradient descent method with Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence as the objective function. The performance and accuracy of the proposed method are illustrated with four numerical examples, and the failure probabilities estimations are noted more accurate when the KL divergence of the probability density function is small.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Gang & Gao, Kai & Yang, Qingshan & Tang, Wei & Law, S.S., 2021. "Improvement to the discretized initial condition of the generalized density evolution equation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:216:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021005093
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107999
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832021005093
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2021.107999?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Qian, Hua-Ming & Li, Yan-Feng & Huang, Hong-Zhong, 2021. "Time-variant system reliability analysis method for a small failure probability problem," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    2. Peng, Yongbo & Ma, Yangying & Huang, Tianchen & De Domenico, Dario, 2021. "Reliability-based design optimization of adaptive sliding base isolation system for improving seismic performance of structures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    3. Liu, Qiao & Homma, Toshimitsu, 2009. "A new computational method of a moment-independent uncertainty importance measure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(7), pages 1205-1211.
    4. Xu, Jun & Wang, Ding, 2019. "Structural reliability analysis based on polynomial chaos, Voronoi cells and dimension reduction technique," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 329-340.
    5. Derennes, Pierre & Morio, Jérôme & Simatos, Florian, 2019. "A nonparametric importance sampling estimator for moment independent importance measures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 3-16.
    6. Li, Luxin & Chen, Guohai & Fang, Mingxuan & Yang, Dixiong, 2021. "Reliability analysis of structures with multimodal distributions based on direct probability integral method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    7. Valdebenito, Marcos A. & Wei, Pengfei & Song, Jingwen & Beer, Michael & Broggi, Matteo, 2021. "Failure probability estimation of a class of series systems by multidomain Line Sampling," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    8. Xu, Jun & Kong, Fan, 2018. "A new unequal-weighted sampling method for efficient reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 94-102.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Li, Jin-Yang & Lu, Jubin & Zhou, Hao, 2023. "Reliability analysis of structures with inerter-based isolation layer under stochastic seismic excitations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    2. Xu, Zidong & Wang, Hao & Zhao, Kaiyong & Zhang, Han & Liu, Yun & Lin, Yuxuan, 2024. "Evolutionary probability density reconstruction of stochastic dynamic responses based on physics-aided deep learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    3. Meng, Zeng & Zhao, Jingyu & Chen, Guohai & Yang, Dixiong, 2022. "Hybrid uncertainty propagation and reliability analysis using direct probability integral method and exponential convex model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    4. Zheng, Jianqin & Wang, Chang & Liang, Yongtu & Liao, Qi & Li, Zhuochao & Wang, Bohong, 2022. "Deeppipe: A deep-learning method for anomaly detection of multi-product pipelines," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhang, Yang & Xu, Jun & Beer, Michael, 2023. "A single-loop time-variant reliability evaluation via a decoupling strategy and probability distribution reconstruction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    2. Derennes, Pierre & Morio, Jérôme & Simatos, Florian, 2021. "Simultaneous estimation of complementary moment independent and reliability-oriented sensitivity measures," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 721-737.
    3. Zhang, Long-Wen & Dang, Chao & Zhao, Yan-Gang, 2023. "An efficient method for accessing structural reliability indexes via power transformation family," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    4. Song, Jingwen & Cui, Yifan & Wei, Pengfei & Valdebenito, Marcos A. & Zhang, Weihong, 2024. "Constrained Bayesian optimization algorithms for estimating design points in structural reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    5. Francisco A. Buendia-Hernandez & Maria J. Ortiz Bevia & Francisco J. Alvarez-Garcia & Antonio Ruizde Elvira, 2022. "Sensitivity of a Dynamic Model of Air Traffic Emissions to Technological and Environmental Factors," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(22), pages 1-17, November.
    6. Zhan, Hongyou & Xiao, Ning-Cong & Ji, Yuxiang, 2022. "An adaptive parallel learning dependent Kriging model for small failure probability problems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    7. Dang, Chao & Wei, Pengfei & Faes, Matthias G.R. & Valdebenito, Marcos A. & Beer, Michael, 2022. "Parallel adaptive Bayesian quadrature for rare event estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    8. Li, Jin-Yang & Lu, Jubin & Zhou, Hao, 2023. "Reliability analysis of structures with inerter-based isolation layer under stochastic seismic excitations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    9. Yang, Meide & Zhang, Dequan & Jiang, Chao & Han, Xu & Li, Qing, 2021. "A hybrid adaptive Kriging-based single loop approach for complex reliability-based design optimization problems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    10. Wang, Tianzhe & Chen, Zequan & Li, Guofa & He, Jialong & Liu, Chao & Du, Xuejiao, 2024. "A novel method for high-dimensional reliability analysis based on activity score and adaptive Kriging," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    11. Stefano Cucurachi & Carlos Felipe Blanco & Bernhard Steubing & Reinout Heijungs, 2022. "Implementation of uncertainty analysis and moment‐independent global sensitivity analysis for full‐scale life cycle assessment models," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 26(2), pages 374-391, April.
    12. Yun, Wanying & Lu, Zhenzhou & Feng, Kaixuan & Li, Luyi, 2019. "An elaborate algorithm for analyzing the Borgonovo moment-independent sensitivity by replacing the probability density function estimation with the probability estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 99-108.
    13. Cao, Runan & Sun, Zhili & Wang, Jian & Guo, Fanyi, 2022. "A single-loop reliability analysis strategy for time-dependent problems with small failure probability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    14. Luo, Changqi & Zhu, Shun-Peng & Keshtegar, Behrooz & Niu, Xiaopeng & Taylan, Osman, 2023. "An enhanced uniform simulation approach coupled with SVR for efficient structural reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    15. He, Wanxin & Wang, Yiyuan & Li, Gang & Zhou, Jinhang, 2024. "A novel maximum entropy method based on the B-spline theory and the low-discrepancy sequence for complex probability distribution reconstruction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    16. Wang, Dapeng & Qiu, Haobo & Gao, Liang & Jiang, Chen, 2021. "A single-loop Kriging coupled with subset simulation for time-dependent reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    17. Wei, Pengfei & Lu, Zhenzhou & Yuan, Xiukai, 2013. "Monte Carlo simulation for moment-independent sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 60-67.
    18. Wenxuan Wang & Hangshan Gao & Pengfei Wei & Changcong Zhou, 2017. "Extending first-passage method to reliability sensitivity analysis of motion mechanisms," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 231(5), pages 573-586, October.
    19. Wenbin Ruan & Zhenzhou Lu & Pengfei Wei, 2013. "Estimation of conditional moment by moving least squares and its application for importance analysis," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 227(6), pages 641-650, December.
    20. Zio, E. & Pedroni, N., 2012. "Monte Carlo simulation-based sensitivity analysis of the model of a thermal–hydraulic passive system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 90-106.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:216:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021005093. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.