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Multivariate sensitivity analysis and derivative-based global sensitivity measures with dependent variables

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  • Lamboni, Matieyendou
  • Kucherenko, Sergei

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a new methodology for better assessing the single, overall and interactions contributions of dependent and/or correlated variables over the whole model outputs. Our methodology relies on our ability to extract a model that characterizes the dependency structures of any random vector. Such dependency model is then coupled with the initial model to perform uncertainty quantification, variance-based sensitivity analysis and derivative-based global sensitivity measures. Our methodology allows for defining the main-effect and total sensitivity indices of input(s) with the former index less than the latter. We provide derivative-based upper bounds of total indices, which can be used for screening dependent variables. We also extend Morris’ methods to cope with dependent variables. For proposing such indices, we distinguish the case of the multivariate and/or functional outputs.

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  • Lamboni, Matieyendou & Kucherenko, Sergei, 2021. "Multivariate sensitivity analysis and derivative-based global sensitivity measures with dependent variables," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:212:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021000806
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107519
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lamboni, Matieyendou, 2021. "Derivative-based integral equalities and inequality: A proxy-measure for sensitivity analysis," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 137-161.
    2. Elja Arjas & Tapani Lehtonen, 1978. "Approximating Many Server Queues by Means of Single Server Queues," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 3(3), pages 205-223, August.
    3. Hao, Wenrui & Lu, Zhenzhou & Wei, Pengfei, 2013. "Uncertainty importance measure for models with correlated normal variables," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 48-58.
    4. Lamboni, M. & Iooss, B. & Popelin, A.-L. & Gamboa, F., 2013. "Derivative-based global sensitivity measures: General links with Sobol’ indices and numerical tests," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 45-54.
    5. Mara, Thierry A. & Tarantola, Stefano, 2012. "Variance-based sensitivity indices for models with dependent inputs," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 115-121.
    6. Lamboni, Matieyendou & Monod, Hervé & Makowski, David, 2011. "Multivariate sensitivity analysis to measure global contribution of input factors in dynamic models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(4), pages 450-459.
    7. Lamboni, Matieyendou, 2019. "Multivariate sensitivity analysis: Minimum variance unbiased estimators of the first-order and total-effect covariance matrices," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 67-92.
    8. Sobol’, I.M. & Kucherenko, S., 2009. "Derivative based global sensitivity measures and their link with global sensitivity indices," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(10), pages 3009-3017.
    9. Roustant, O. & Fruth, J. & Iooss, B. & Kuhnt, S., 2014. "Crossed-derivative based sensitivity measures for interaction screening," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 105-118.
    10. Lamboni, Matieyendou, 2020. "Derivative-based generalized sensitivity indices and Sobol’ indices," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 236-256.
    11. Xiao, Sinan & Lu, Zhenzhou & Xu, Liyang, 2017. "Multivariate sensitivity analysis based on the direction of eigen space through principal component analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 1-10.
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    Cited by:

    1. Matieyendou Lamboni, 2023. "On Exact Distribution for Multivariate Weighted Distributions and Classification," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 1-26, March.
    2. Vuillod, Bruno & Montemurro, Marco & Panettieri, Enrico & Hallo, Ludovic, 2023. "A comparison between Sobol’s indices and Shapley’s effect for global sensitivity analysis of systems with independent input variables," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    3. Luo, Chunling & Shen, Lijuan & Xu, Ancha, 2022. "Modelling and estimation of system reliability under dynamic operating environments and lifetime ordering constraints," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PA).
    4. Shi, Wen & Zhou, Qing & Zhou, Yanju, 2023. "An efficient elementary effect-based method for sensitivity analysis in identifying main and two-factor interaction effects," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    5. Lamboni, Matieyendou, 2022. "Efficient dependency models: Simulating dependent random variables," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 199-217.
    6. Lamboni, Matieyendou, 2022. "Weak derivative-based expansion of functions: ANOVA and some inequalities," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 691-718.

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