IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v490y2018icp1543-1550.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analysis of financial time series using multiscale entropy based on skewness and kurtosis

Author

Listed:
  • Xu, Meng
  • Shang, Pengjian

Abstract

There is a great interest in studying dynamic characteristics of the financial time series of the daily stock closing price in different regions. Multi-scale entropy (MSE) is effective, mainly in quantifying the complexity of time series on different time scales. This paper applies a new method for financial stability from the perspective of MSE based on skewness and kurtosis. To better understand the superior coarse-graining method for the different kinds of stock indexes, we take into account the developmental characteristics of the three continents of Asia, North America and European stock markets. We study the volatility of different financial time series in addition to analyze the similarities and differences of coarsening time series from the perspective of skewness and kurtosis. A kind of corresponding relationship between the entropy value of stock sequences and the degree of stability of financial markets, were observed. The three stocks which have particular characteristics in the eight piece of stock sequences were discussed, finding the fact that it matches the result of applying the MSE method to showing results on a graph. A comparative study is conducted to simulate over synthetic and real world data. Results show that the modified method is more effective to the change of dynamics and has more valuable information. The result is obtained at the same time, finding the results of skewness and kurtosis discrimination is obvious, but also more stable.

Suggested Citation

  • Xu, Meng & Shang, Pengjian, 2018. "Analysis of financial time series using multiscale entropy based on skewness and kurtosis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 1543-1550.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:490:y:2018:i:c:p:1543-1550
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2017.08.136
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437117308713
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2017.08.136?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jae-Suk Yang & Wooseop Kwak & Taisei Kaizoji & In-mook Kim, 2008. "Increasing market efficiency in the stock markets," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 61(2), pages 241-246, January.
    2. Kwon, Okyu & Yang, Jae-Suk, 2008. "Information flow between composite stock index and individual stocks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(12), pages 2851-2856.
    3. Liu, Li-Zhi & Qian, Xi-Yuan & Lu, Heng-Yao, 2010. "Cross-sample entropy of foreign exchange time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(21), pages 4785-4792.
    4. Wang, Jing & Shang, Pengjian & Xia, Jianan & Shi, Wenbin, 2015. "EMD based refined composite multiscale entropy analysis of complex signals," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 421(C), pages 583-593.
    5. Podobnik, Boris & Horvatic, Davor & Lam Ng, Alfonso & Eugene Stanley, H. & Ivanov, Plamen Ch., 2008. "Modeling long-range cross-correlations in two-component ARFIMA and FIARCH processes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(15), pages 3954-3959.
    6. Costa, M. & Peng, C.-K. & L. Goldberger, Ary & Hausdorff, Jeffrey M., 2003. "Multiscale entropy analysis of human gait dynamics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 330(1), pages 53-60.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Cihangir Koycegiz & Meral Buyukyildiz, 2023. "Investigation of spatiotemporal variability of some precipitation indices in Seyhan Basin, Turkey: monotonic and sub-trend analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(2), pages 2211-2244, March.
    2. Mohammad Arashi & Mohammad Mahdi Rounaghi, 2022. "Analysis of market efficiency and fractal feature of NASDAQ stock exchange: Time series modeling and forecasting of stock index using ARMA-GARCH model," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-12, December.
    3. Delgado-Bonal, Alfonso & López, Álvaro García, 2021. "Quantifying the randomness of the forex market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 569(C).
    4. Gonçalves, Alan D.S. & Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & Nascimento, Abraão D.C., 2022. "Dynamics diagnosis of the COVID-19 deaths using the Pearson diagram," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    5. Zavala-Díaz, J.C. & Pérez-Ortega, J. & Hernández-Aguilar, J.A. & Almanza-Ortega, N.N. & Martínez-Rebollar, A., 2020. "Short-term prediction of the closing price of financial series using a ϵ-machine model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yin, Yi & Shang, Pengjian & Feng, Guochen, 2016. "Modified multiscale cross-sample entropy for complex time series," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 289(C), pages 98-110.
    2. Yin, Yi & Wang, Xi & Li, Qiang & Shang, Pengjian, 2020. "Generalized multivariate multiscale sample entropy for detecting the complexity in complex systems," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
    3. Zeng, Yayun & Wang, Jun & Xu, Kaixuan, 2017. "Complexity and multifractal behaviors of multiscale-continuum percolation financial system for Chinese stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 364-376.
    4. Lin, Aijing & Shang, Pengjian & Zhong, Bo, 2014. "Hidden cross-correlation patterns in stock markets based on permutation cross-sample entropy and PCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 416(C), pages 259-272.
    5. Albarracín E., Eva Susana & Gamboa, Juan C. Rodríguez & Marques, Elaine C.M. & Stosic, Tatijana, 2019. "Complexity analysis of Brazilian agriculture and energy market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 933-941.
    6. Zhang, Ningning & Lin, Aijing & Ma, Hui & Shang, Pengjian & Yang, Pengbo, 2018. "Weighted multivariate composite multiscale sample entropy analysis for the complexity of nonlinear times series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 508(C), pages 595-607.
    7. Zhang, Yali & Shang, Pengjian & He, Jiayi & Xiong, Hui, 2020. "Cumulative Tsallis entropy based on multi-scale permuted distribution of financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 548(C).
    8. Park, Sangjin & Jang, Kwahngsoo & Yang, Jae-Suk, 2021. "Information flow between bitcoin and other financial assets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 566(C).
    9. Yin, Yi & Shang, Pengjian & Ahn, Andrew C. & Peng, Chung-Kang, 2019. "Multiscale joint permutation entropy for complex time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 515(C), pages 388-402.
    10. He, Jiayi & Shang, Pengjian & Xiong, Hui, 2018. "Multidimensional scaling analysis of financial time series based on modified cross-sample entropy methods," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 500(C), pages 210-221.
    11. Liu, Yunxiao & Lin, Youfang & Wang, Jing & Shang, Pengjian, 2018. "Refined generalized multiscale entropy analysis for physiological signals," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 975-985.
    12. Shi, Wenbin & Shang, Pengjian & Xia, Jianan & Yeh, Chien-Hung, 2016. "The coupling analysis between stock market indices based on permutation measures," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 447(C), pages 222-231.
    13. Brechtl, Jamieson & Xie, Xie & Liaw, Peter K. & Zinkle, Steven J., 2018. "Complexity modeling and analysis of chaos and other fluctuating phenomena," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 166-175.
    14. Teng, Yue & Shang, Pengjian, 2017. "Transfer entropy coefficient: Quantifying level of information flow between financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 469(C), pages 60-70.
    15. Dimpfl, Thomas & Peter, Franziska J., 2014. "The impact of the financial crisis on transatlantic information flows: An intraday analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 1-13.
    16. Peng Yue & Qing Cai & Wanfeng Yan & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2020. "Information flow networks of Chinese stock market sectors," Papers 2004.08759, arXiv.org.
    17. El Alaoui, Marwane & Benbachir, Saâd, 2013. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis in the MENA area," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(23), pages 5985-5993.
    18. Natiq, Hayder & Banerjee, Santo & He, Shaobo & Said, M.R.M. & Kilicman, Adem, 2018. "Designing an M-dimensional nonlinear model for producing hyperchaos," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 506-515.
    19. Lim, Kyuseong & Kim, Sehyun & Kim, Soo Yong, 2017. "Information transfer across intra/inter-structure of CDS and stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 486(C), pages 118-126.
    20. Kang, Sang Hoon & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2008. "Long memory features in the high frequency data of the Korean stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(21), pages 5189-5196.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:490:y:2018:i:c:p:1543-1550. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.