IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v387y2008i1p217-242.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Blocks adjustment—reduction of bias and variance of detrended fluctuation analysis using Monte Carlo simulation

Author

Listed:
  • Michalski, Sebastian

Abstract

The length of minimal and maximal blocks equally distant on log–log scale versus fluctuation function considerably influences bias and variance of DFA. Through a number of extensive Monte Carlo simulations and different fractional Brownian motion/fractional Gaussian noise generators, we found the pair of minimal and maximal blocks that minimizes the sum of mean-squared error of estimated Hurst exponents for the series of length N=2p,p=7,…,15. Sensitivity of DFA to sort-range correlations was examined using ARFIMA(p,d,q) generator. Due to the bias of the estimator for anti-persistent processes, we narrowed down the range of Hurst exponent to 12⩽H<1.

Suggested Citation

  • Michalski, Sebastian, 2008. "Blocks adjustment—reduction of bias and variance of detrended fluctuation analysis using Monte Carlo simulation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(1), pages 217-242.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:387:y:2008:i:1:p:217-242
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2007.08.018
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437107008771
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2007.08.018?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nagarajan, Radhakrishnan & Kavasseri, Rajesh G., 2005. "Minimizing the effect of trends on detrended fluctuation analysis of long-range correlated noise," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 354(C), pages 182-198.
    2. Nagarajan, Radhakrishnan, 2006. "Effect of coarse-graining on detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 363(2), pages 226-236.
    3. Kantelhardt, Jan W. & Zschiegner, Stephan A. & Koscielny-Bunde, Eva & Havlin, Shlomo & Bunde, Armin & Stanley, H.Eugene, 2002. "Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis of nonstationary time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 316(1), pages 87-114.
    4. Coeurjolly, Jean-Francois, 2000. "Simulation and identification of the fractional Brownian motion: a bibliographical and comparative study," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 5(i07).
    5. Cannon, Michael J. & Percival, Donald B. & Caccia, David C. & Raymond, Gary M. & Bassingthwaighte, James B., 1997. "Evaluating scaled windowed variance methods for estimating the Hurst coefficient of time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 241(3), pages 606-626.
    6. Raymond, Gary M. & Bassingthwaighte, James B., 1999. "Deriving dispersional and scaled windowed variance analyses using the correlation function of discrete fractional Gaussian noise," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 265(1), pages 85-96.
    7. Mielniczuk, J. & Wojdyllo, P., 2007. "Estimation of Hurst exponent revisited," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(9), pages 4510-4525, May.
    8. C. W. J. Granger & Roselyne Joyeux, 1980. "An Introduction To Long‐Memory Time Series Models And Fractional Differencing," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 1(1), pages 15-29, January.
    9. Kantelhardt, Jan W & Koscielny-Bunde, Eva & Rego, Henio H.A & Havlin, Shlomo & Bunde, Armin, 2001. "Detecting long-range correlations with detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 295(3), pages 441-454.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gulich, Damián & Zunino, Luciano, 2014. "A criterion for the determination of optimal scaling ranges in DFA and MF-DFA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 397(C), pages 17-30.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lavička, Hynek & Kracík, Jiří, 2020. "Fluctuation analysis of electric power loads in Europe: Correlation multifractality vs. Distribution function multifractality," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
    2. Zhao, Xiaojun & Shang, Pengjian & Zhao, Chuang & Wang, Jing & Tao, Rui, 2012. "Minimizing the trend effect on detrended cross-correlation analysis with empirical mode decomposition," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 166-173.
    3. Almurad, Zainy M.H. & Delignières, Didier, 2016. "Evenly spacing in Detrended Fluctuation Analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 451(C), pages 63-69.
    4. Sebastian Michalski, 2006. "Blocks adjustment – reduction of bias and variance of detrended fluctuation analysis using Monte Carlo simulation," Working Papers 15, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics.
    5. Leonarduzzi, R. & Wendt, H. & Abry, P. & Jaffard, S. & Melot, C. & Roux, S.G. & Torres, M.E., 2016. "p-exponent and p-leaders, Part II: Multifractal analysis. Relations to detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 448(C), pages 319-339.
    6. Schumann, Aicko Y. & Kantelhardt, Jan W., 2011. "Multifractal moving average analysis and test of multifractal model with tuned correlations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(14), pages 2637-2654.
    7. Mulligan, Robert F., 2014. "Multifractality of sectoral price indices: Hurst signature analysis of Cantillon effects in disequilibrium factor markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 403(C), pages 252-264.
    8. Thompson, James R. & Wilson, James R., 2016. "Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis: Practical applications to financial time series," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 63-88.
    9. Serinaldi, Francesco, 2010. "Use and misuse of some Hurst parameter estimators applied to stationary and non-stationary financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(14), pages 2770-2781.
    10. Pakrashi, Vikram & Kelly, Joe & Harkin, Julie & Farrell, Aidan, 2013. "Hurst exponent footprints from activities on a large structural system," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(8), pages 1803-1817.
    11. Vitanov, Nikolay K. & Sakai, Kenshi & Dimitrova, Zlatinka I., 2008. "SSA, PCA, TDPSC, ACFA: Useful combination of methods for analysis of short and nonstationary time series," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 187-202.
    12. Zhong, Meirui & Zhang, Rui & Ren, Xiaohang, 2023. "The time-varying effects of liquidity and market efficiency of the European Union carbon market: Evidence from the TVP-SVAR-SV approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    13. El Alaoui, Marwane & Benbachir, Saâd, 2013. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis in the MENA area," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(23), pages 5985-5993.
    14. Laura Raisa Miloş & Cornel Haţiegan & Marius Cristian Miloş & Flavia Mirela Barna & Claudiu Boțoc, 2020. "Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MF-DFA) of Stock Market Indexes. Empirical Evidence from Seven Central and Eastern European Markets," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-15, January.
    15. Nagarajan, Radhakrishnan & Kavasseri, Rajesh G., 2005. "Minimizing the effect of trends on detrended fluctuation analysis of long-range correlated noise," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 354(C), pages 182-198.
    16. Fernandez Viviana, 2011. "Alternative Estimators of Long-Range Dependence," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(2), pages 1-37, March.
    17. Dutta, Srimonti & Ghosh, Dipak & Samanta, Shukla, 2014. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis of gold price and SENSEX," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 413(C), pages 195-204.
    18. Wei, Kun & Zhang, Youxin & Luo, Yi, 2018. "Variance-mediated multifractal analysis of group participation in chasing a single dangerous prey," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 1275-1287.
    19. He, Shanshan & Wang, Yudong, 2017. "Revisiting the multifractality in stock returns and its modeling implications," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 467(C), pages 11-20.
    20. Kunal Saha & Vinodh Madhavan & Chandrashekhar G. R. & David McMillan, 2020. "Pitfalls in long memory research," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1733280-173, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:387:y:2008:i:1:p:217-242. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.