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River flow estimation using adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system

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  • Firat, Mahmut
  • Güngör, Mahmud

Abstract

Accurate estimation of River flow changes is a quite important problem for a wise and sustainable use. Such a problem is crucial to the works and decisions related to the water resources and management. In this study, an adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) approach was used to construct a River flow forecasting system. In particular, the applicability of ANFIS as an estimation model for River flow was investigated. To illustrate the applicability and capability of the ANFIS, the River Great Menderes, located the west of Turkey and the most important water resource of Great Menderes Catchment's, was chosen as a case study area. The advantage of this method is that it uses the input–output data sets. Totally 5844 daily data sets collected in 1985–2000 years were used to estimate the River flow. The models having various input structures were constructed and the best structure was investigated. In addition four various training/testing data sets were constructed by cross validation methods and the best data set was investigated. The performance of the ANFIS models in training and testing sets were compared with the observations and also evaluated. The results indicated that the ANFIS can be applied successfully and provide high accuracy and reliability for River flow estimation.

Suggested Citation

  • Firat, Mahmut & Güngör, Mahmud, 2007. "River flow estimation using adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 75(3), pages 87-96.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:75:y:2007:i:3:p:87-96
    DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2006.09.003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. da Silva, Ivan N. & de Arruda, Lucia V.R. & do Amaral, Wagner C., 1999. "A novel approach to robust parameter estimation using neurofuzzy systems," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 48(3), pages 251-268.
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    1. Jha, Sunil Kr. & Bilalovic, Jasmin & Jha, Anju & Patel, Nilesh & Zhang, Han, 2017. "Renewable energy: Present research and future scope of Artificial Intelligence," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 297-317.
    2. Sinan Jasim Hadi & Mustafa Tombul, 2018. "Forecasting Daily Streamflow for Basins with Different Physical Characteristics through Data-Driven Methods," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(10), pages 3405-3422, August.
    3. Kisi, Özgür, 2008. "Constructing neural network sediment estimation models using a data-driven algorithm," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(1), pages 94-103.
    4. Benya Suntaranont & Somrawee Aramkul & Manop Kaewmoracharoen & Paskorn Champrasert, 2020. "Water Irrigation Decision Support System for Practical Weir Adjustment Using Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Techniques," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-18, February.
    5. Bagher Shirmohammadi & Hamidreza Moradi & Vahid Moosavi & Majid Semiromi & Ali Zeinali, 2013. "Forecasting of meteorological drought using Wavelet-ANFIS hybrid model for different time steps (case study: southeastern part of east Azerbaijan province, Iran)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(1), pages 389-402, October.
    6. Zendehboudi, Sohrab & Rezaei, Nima & Lohi, Ali, 2018. "Applications of hybrid models in chemical, petroleum, and energy systems: A systematic review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 2539-2566.
    7. Hadi Sanikhani & Ozgur Kisi, 2012. "River Flow Estimation and Forecasting by Using Two Different Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Approaches," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(6), pages 1715-1729, April.
    8. Renata Graf & Viktor Vyshnevskyi, 2022. "Forecasting Monthly River Flows in Ukraine under Different Climatic Conditions," Resources, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-24, November.

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