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Mutual fund trades and the value of contradictory private information

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  • Cullen, Grant
  • Gasbarro, Dominic
  • Monroe, Gary S.

Abstract

We investigate the performance of mutual funds that trade using private information. These funds are uniquely identified from a set of 2730 funds with 44,315 fund-periods between 1994 and 2005. We compare the alignment of fund trades with brokers' recommendations, which we regard as "public information" in the universe of informed and uninformed mutual funds. Funds that systematically trade counter to the public information form a homogenous subset of the privately informed funds. By using private information that contradicts the public information, these funds exhibit a superior average performance. After we control for serial correlation in fund returns, we assess this advantage as being an economically significant 1.7% per annum. We also show empirically that smaller funds are better able to capture the benefit of private information.

Suggested Citation

  • Cullen, Grant & Gasbarro, Dominic & Monroe, Gary S., 2010. "Mutual fund trades and the value of contradictory private information," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 378-387, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:34:y:2010:i:2:p:378-387
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    Cited by:

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    2. Yingyi Hu, 2019. "Short-horizon market efficiency, order imbalance, and speculative trading: evidence from the Chinese stock market," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 281(1), pages 253-274, October.
    3. Dzhambova, Krastina & Tao, Ran & Yuan, Yuan, 2022. "Price leadership and asynchronous movements of multi-market listed stocks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    4. Martin Rohleder & Dominik Schulte & Janik Syryca & Marco Wilkens, 2018. "Mutual Fund Stock†Picking Skill: New Evidence from Valuation†versus Liquidity†Motivated Trading," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 47(2), pages 309-347, June.
    5. Wang, Yaping & Paek, Miyoun & Ko, Kwangsoo, 2019. "The performance of Chinese equity funds: An extension of DGTW model," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 1-1.
    6. Agyei-Ampomah, Sam & Clare, Andrew & Mason, Andrew & Thomas, Stephen, 2015. "On luck versus skill when performance benchmarks are style-consistent," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 127-145.
    7. Yanan Li & Wenjun Wang, 2022. "Company visits and mutual fund performance: new evidence on managerial skills," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(6), pages 504-521, October.
    8. Cullen, Grant & Gasbarro, Dominic & Monroe, Gary S. & Zumwalt, J. Kenton, 2012. "Changes to mutual fund risk: Intentional or mean reverting?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 112-120.

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