IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/insuma/v96y2021icp199-207.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Stochastic orders and multivariate measures of risk contagion

Author

Listed:
  • Ortega-Jiménez, P.
  • Sordo, M.A.
  • Suárez-Llorens, A.

Abstract

Co-risk measures and risk contributions measures are used in portfolio risk analysis to assess and quantify the risk of contagion, given that one or more assets in the portfolio are in distress. In this paper, given two random vectors X and Y that represent two portfolios of n assets (n≥2) and exhibit some kind of positive dependence, we give sufficient conditions based on stochastic orders to compare the risk of contagion of the portfolios. The measures of risk contagion that we consider are the conditional value at risk (CoVaR), the conditional expected shortfall (CoES) and the recently introduced marginal mean excess (MME).

Suggested Citation

  • Ortega-Jiménez, P. & Sordo, M.A. & Suárez-Llorens, A., 2021. "Stochastic orders and multivariate measures of risk contagion," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 199-207.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:96:y:2021:i:c:p:199-207
    DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2020.11.008
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016766872030158X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2020.11.008?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Miguel Sordo & Héctor Ramos, 2007. "Characterization of stochastic orders by L-functionals," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 249-263, April.
    2. Dhaene, Jan & Laeven, Roger J.A. & Zhang, Yiying, 2022. "Systemic risk: Conditional distortion risk measures," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 126-145.
    3. Barlow, Richard E. & Proschan, Frank, 1975. "Importance of system components and fault tree events," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 153-173, April.
    4. Genest, Christian & Rémillard, Bruno & Beaudoin, David, 2009. "Goodness-of-fit tests for copulas: A review and a power study," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 199-213, April.
    5. Belzunce, F., 1999. "On a characterization of right spread order by the increasing convex order," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 103-110, November.
    6. Hashorva, Enkelejd, 2019. "Approximation of some multivariate risk measures for Gaussian risks," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 330-340.
    7. Tobias Adrian & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2016. "CoVaR," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(7), pages 1705-1741, July.
      • Tobias Adrian & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2008. "CoVaR," Staff Reports 348, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
      • Tobias Adrian & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2011. "CoVaR," NBER Working Papers 17454, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Owen, Joel & Rabinovitch, Ramon, 1983. "On the Class of Elliptical Distributions and Their Applications to the Theory of Portfolio Choice," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 38(3), pages 745-752, June.
    9. Emmanouil N. Karimalis & Nikos K. Nomikos, 2018. "Measuring systemic risk in the European banking sector: a copula CoVaR approach," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(11), pages 944-975, July.
    10. Das, Bikramjit & Fasen-Hartmann, Vicky, 2018. "Risk contagion under regular variation and asymptotic tail independence," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 194-215.
    11. Rui Fang & Xiaohu Li, 2018. "Some Results on Measures of Interaction between Paired Risks," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-15, August.
    12. Müller, Alfred & Scarsini, Marco, 2005. "Archimedean copulæ and positive dependence," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 434-445, April.
    13. Hu, Taizhong & Khaledi, Baha-Eldin & Shaked, Moshe, 2003. "Multivariate hazard rate orders," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(1), pages 173-189, January.
    14. Ling, Chengxiu, 2019. "Asymptotics of multivariate conditional risk measures for Gaussian risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 205-215.
    15. Girardi, Giulio & Tolga Ergün, A., 2013. "Systemic risk measurement: Multivariate GARCH estimation of CoVaR," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 3169-3180.
    16. Block, Henry W. & Savits, Thomas H. & Shaked, Moshe, 1985. "A concept of negative dependence using stochastic ordering," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 81-86, April.
    17. Longobardi, Maria & Pellerey, Franco, 2019. "On the role of dependence in residual lifetimes," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 56-64.
    18. José Pablo Arias‐Nicolás & Félix Belzunce & Olga Núñez‐Barrera & Alfonso Suárez‐Llorens, 2009. "A multivariate IFR notion based on the multivariate dispersive ordering," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(3), pages 339-358, May.
    19. Bernardi, M. & Durante, F. & Jaworski, P., 2017. "CoVaR of families of copulas," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 8-17.
    20. Sordo, M.A. & Bello, A.J. & Suárez-Llorens, A., 2018. "Stochastic orders and co-risk measures under positive dependence," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 105-113.
    21. Cai, Jun & Wei, Wei, 2012. "On the invariant properties of notions of positive dependence and copulas under increasing transformations," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 43-49.
    22. Philippe Artzner & Freddy Delbaen & Jean‐Marc Eber & David Heath, 1999. "Coherent Measures of Risk," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(3), pages 203-228, July.
    23. Mauro Bernardi & Leopoldo Catania, 2019. "Switching generalized autoregressive score copula models with application to systemic risk," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(1), pages 43-65, January.
    24. Ji-Eun Choi & Dong Wan Shin, 2019. "Three regime bivariate normal distribution: a new estimation method for co-value-at-risk, CoVaR," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(18), pages 1817-1833, December.
    25. Sordo, Miguel A. & Suárez-Llorens, Alfonso & Bello, Alfonso J., 2015. "Comparison of conditional distributions in portfolios of dependent risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 62-69.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Li, Jinzhu, 2022. "Asymptotic results on marginal expected shortfalls for dependent risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 146-168.
    2. Patricia Ortega-Jiménez & Miguel A. Sordo & Alfonso Suárez-Llorens, 2021. "Stochastic Comparisons of Some Distances between Random Variables," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-14, April.
    3. Yiting Fan & Rui Fang, 2022. "Some Results on Measures of Interaction among Risks," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(19), pages 1-19, October.
    4. Antonia Castaño-Martínez & Gema Pigueiras & Miguel A. Sordo, 2021. "On the Increasing Convex Order of Relative Spacings of Order Statistics," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-12, March.
    5. Baishuai Zuo & Chuancun Yin & Jing Yao, 2023. "Multivariate range Value-at-Risk and covariance risk measures for elliptical and log-elliptical distributions," Papers 2305.09097, arXiv.org.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dhaene, Jan & Laeven, Roger J.A. & Zhang, Yiying, 2022. "Systemic risk: Conditional distortion risk measures," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 126-145.
    2. Yiting Fan & Rui Fang, 2022. "Some Results on Measures of Interaction among Risks," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(19), pages 1-19, October.
    3. Sordo, M.A. & Bello, A.J. & Suárez-Llorens, A., 2018. "Stochastic orders and co-risk measures under positive dependence," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 105-113.
    4. repec:bpj:demode:v:6:y:2018:i:1:p:156-177:n:10 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Bernardi, Mauro & Maruotti, Antonello & Petrella, Lea, 2017. "Multiple risk measures for multivariate dynamic heavy–tailed models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 1-32.
    6. Rui Fang & Xiaohu Li, 2018. "Some Results on Measures of Interaction between Paired Risks," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-15, August.
    7. Xun, Li & Jiang, Renqiao & Guo, Jianhua, 2021. "The conditional Haezendonck–Goovaerts risk measure," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    8. Sordo, Miguel A., 2016. "A multivariate extension of the increasing convex order to compare risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 224-230.
    9. Yuhao Liu & Petar M. Djurić & Young Shin Kim & Svetlozar T. Rachev & James Glimm, 2021. "Systemic Risk Modeling with Lévy Copulas," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-20, June.
    10. Van Cauwenberge, Annelies & Vancauteren, Mark & Braekers, Roel & Vandemaele, Sigrid, 2019. "International trade, foreign direct investments, and firms’ systemic risk : Evidence from the Netherlands," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 361-386.
    11. Fuchs Sebastian & Trutschnig Wolfgang, 2020. "On quantile based co-risk measures and their estimation," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 396-416, January.
    12. Souhir, Ben Amor & Heni, Boubaker & Lotfi, Belkacem, 2019. "Price risk and hedging strategies in Nord Pool electricity market evidence with sector indexes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 635-655.
    13. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Trabelsi, Nader & Alqahtani, Faisal & Raheem, Ibrahim D., 2020. "Systemic risk spillovers between crude oil and stock index returns of G7 economies: Conditional value-at-risk and marginal expected shortfall approaches," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    14. Eric C. K. Cheung & Oscar Peralta & Jae-Kyung Woo, 2021. "Multivariate matrix-exponential affine mixtures and their applications in risk theory," Papers 2201.11122, arXiv.org.
    15. Fuchs Sebastian & Trutschnig Wolfgang, 2020. "On quantile based co-risk measures and their estimation," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 396-416, January.
    16. Martin Waltz & Abhay Kumar Singh & Ostap Okhrin, 2022. "Vulnerability-CoVaR: investigating the crypto-market," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(9), pages 1731-1745, September.
    17. Aleksy Leeuwenkamp & Wentao Hu, 2023. "New general dependence measures: construction, estimation and application to high-frequency stock returns," Papers 2309.00025, arXiv.org.
    18. Mauro Bernardi & Leopoldo Catania, 2015. "Switching-GAS Copula Models With Application to Systemic Risk," Papers 1504.03733, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2016.
    19. Takaaki Koike & Marius Hofert, 2020. "Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods for Estimating Systemic Risk Allocations," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-33, January.
    20. Li, Jinzhu, 2022. "Asymptotic results on marginal expected shortfalls for dependent risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 146-168.
    21. Rahman, Md Lutfur & Troster, Victor & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Yahya, Muhammad, 2022. "Systemic risk contribution of banks and non-bank financial institutions across frequencies: The Australian experience," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    risk measure; Contagion risk; Stochastic orders; CoVaR; CoES;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:96:y:2021:i:c:p:199-207. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505554 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.