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Price clustering and sentiment in bitcoin

Author

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  • Baig, Ahmed
  • Blau, Benjamin M.
  • Sabah, Nasim

Abstract

While prior research provides evidence of price clustering in bitcoin, this study seeks to explain the unusual level of bitcoin price clustering using various measures of bitcoin-level and market-wide sentiment. Our results suggest that sentiment has a strong positive association with price clustering. In economic terms, a one standard deviation increase in sentiment – measured by Google Trends – explains about 2.5% to 5% of the unusual level of price clustering in Bitcoin. We also find that our results are robust when we use other measures of investor sentiment.

Suggested Citation

  • Baig, Ahmed & Blau, Benjamin M. & Sabah, Nasim, 2019. "Price clustering and sentiment in bitcoin," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 111-116.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:29:y:2019:i:c:p:111-116
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2019.03.013
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. ?ikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "Impacts of Stock Indices, Oil, and Twitter Sentiment on Major Cryptocurrencies during the COVID-19 First Wave," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 8(2), pages 133-146.
    2. Martina Halouskov'a & Daniel Stav{s}ek & Mat'uv{s} Horv'ath, 2022. "The role of investor attention in global asset price variation during the invasion of Ukraine," Papers 2205.05985, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
    3. Muhammad Athar Nadeem & Zhiying Liu & Abdul Hameed Pitafi & Amna Younis & Yi Xu, 2021. "Investigating the Adoption Factors of Cryptocurrencies—A Case of Bitcoin: Empirical Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(1), pages 21582440219, March.
    4. Halousková, Martina & Stašek, Daniel & Horváth, Matúš, 2022. "The role of investor attention in global asset price variation during the invasion of Ukraine," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    5. Bourghelle, David & Jawadi, Fredj & Rozin, Philippe, 2022. "Do collective emotions drive bitcoin volatility? A triple regime-switching vector approach," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 294-306.
    6. Telli, Şahin & Zhao, Xufeng, 2023. "Clustering in Bitcoin balance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    7. Donglian Ma & Pengxiang Zhai, 2021. "The Accuracy of the Tick Rule in the Bitcoin Market," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(2), pages 21582440211, May.
    8. Sabah, Nasim, 2020. "Cryptocurrency accepting venues, investor attention, and volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    9. Hashem A. AlNemer & Besma Hkiri & Muhammed Asif Khan, 2021. "Time-Varying Nexus between Investor Sentiment and Cryptocurrency Market: New Insights from a Wavelet Coherence Framework," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-19, June.
    10. Lin, Zih-Ying, 2021. "Investor attention and cryptocurrency performance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    11. Vladim'ir Hol'y & Petra Tomanov'a, 2021. "Modeling Price Clustering in High-Frequency Prices," Papers 2102.12112, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    12. Prateek Sharma & Samit Paul, 2021. "Game of names: Blockchain premium in corporate names," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(5), pages 1059-1078, July.
    13. Hajek, Petr & Hikkerova, Lubica & Sahut, Jean-Michel, 2023. "How well do investor sentiment and ensemble learning predict Bitcoin prices?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    14. Júlio Lobão & Luís Pacheco & Luís Alves, 2019. "Price Clustering in Bank Stocks During the Global Financial Crisis," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 66(4), pages 465-486, December.
    15. Dias, Ishanka K. & Fernando, J.M. Ruwani & Fernando, P. Narada D., 2022. "Does investor sentiment predict bitcoin return and volatility? A quantile regression approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    16. Carol Alexander & Jun Deng & Jianfen Feng & Huning Wan, 2021. "Net Buying Pressure and the Information in Bitcoin Option Trades," Papers 2109.02776, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2022.
    17. Baig, Ahmed S. & Butt, Hassan Anjum & Haroon, Omair & Rizvi, Syed Aun R., 2021. "Deaths, panic, lockdowns and US equity markets: The case of COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    18. Mohamed Khalil Benzekri & Hatice Şehime Özütler, 2021. "On the Predictability of Bitcoin Price Movements: A Short-term Price Prediction with ARIMA," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 8(2), pages 293-309, July.
    19. David Bourghelle & Fredj Jawadi & Philippe Rozin, 2022. "Do collective emotions drive bitcoin volatility? A triple regime-switching vector approach [Est-ce que les émotions collectives ont une influence directrice sur la volatilité?]," Post-Print hal-04412029, HAL.
    20. Gradojevic, Nikola & Kukolj, Dragan & Adcock, Robert & Djakovic, Vladimir, 2023. "Forecasting Bitcoin with technical analysis: A not-so-random forest?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 1-17.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bitcoin; Cryptocurrency; Price clustering; Round prices; Sentiment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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