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News sentiment and the investor fear gauge

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  • Smales, Lee A.

Abstract

This note examines the relationship between aggregate news sentiment and changes in the implied volatility index (VIX). A significant negative contemporaneous relationship between changes in VIX and news sentiment is discovered. The relationship is asymmetric whereby changes in VIX are larger following the release of negative news items.

Suggested Citation

  • Smales, Lee A., 2014. "News sentiment and the investor fear gauge," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 122-130.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:11:y:2014:i:2:p:122-130
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2013.07.003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Paul C. Tetlock & Maytal Saar-Tsechansky & Sofus Macskassy, 2008. "More Than Words: Quantifying Language to Measure Firms' Fundamentals," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 63(3), pages 1437-1467, June.
    2. Jeff Fleming & Barbara Ostdiek & Robert E. Whaley, 1995. "Predicting stock market volatility: A new measure," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(3), pages 265-302, May.
    3. Woodruff, Catherine S & Senchack, A J, Jr, 1988. " Intradaily Price-Volume Adjustments of NYSE Stocks to Unexpected Earnings," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 43(2), pages 467-491, June.
    4. Engle, Robert F & Ng, Victor K, 1993. " Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(5), pages 1749-1778, December.
    5. Groß-Klußmann, Axel & Hautsch, Nikolaus, 2011. "When machines read the news: Using automated text analytics to quantify high frequency news-implied market reactions," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 321-340, March.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Smales, Lee A., 2016. "News sentiment and bank credit risk," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PA), pages 37-61.
    2. D Aromi & A Clements, 2018. "Media attention and crude oil volatility: Is there any 'new' news in the newspaper?," NCER Working Paper Series 118, National Centre for Econometric Research.
    3. repec:bla:irvfin:v:16:y:2016:i:4:p:659-675 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. repec:eee:riibaf:v:44:y:2018:i:c:p:459-470 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Apergis, Nicholas, 2015. "Newswire messages and sovereign credit ratings: Evidence from European countries under austerity reform programmes," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 54-62.
    6. Adam Clements & Yin Liao, "undated". "News and network structures in equity market volatility," NCER Working Paper Series 110, National Centre for Econometric Research.
    7. Song, Wonho & Ryu, Doojin & Webb, Robert I., 2016. "Overseas market shocks and VKOSPI dynamics: A Markov-switching approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 275-282.
    8. Karavias, Yiannis & Spilioti, Stella & Tzavalis, Elias, 2016. "A comparison of investors’ sentiments and risk premium effects on valuing shares," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 1-6.
    9. Adam Clements & Joanne Fuller & Vasilios Papalexiou, 2015. "Public news flow in intraday component models for trading activity and volatility," NCER Working Paper Series 106, National Centre for Econometric Research.
    10. Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Bilgin, Mehmet Huseyin, 2016. "Commodity markets volatility transmission: Roles of risk perceptions and uncertainty in financial markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 35-45.
    11. Smales, L.A., 2016. "Risk-on/Risk-off: Financial market response to investor fear," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 125-134.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    News sentiment; VIX; Implied volatility; Stock market; Investor behaviour;

    JEL classification:

    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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