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Short term solar radiation forecasting: Island versus continental sites

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  • Boland, John
  • David, Mathieu
  • Lauret, Philippe

Abstract

Due its intermittency, the large-scale integration of solar energy into electricity grids is an issue and more specifically in an insular context. Thus, forecasting the output of solar energy is a key feature to efficiently manage the supply-demand balance.

Suggested Citation

  • Boland, John & David, Mathieu & Lauret, Philippe, 2016. "Short term solar radiation forecasting: Island versus continental sites," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 186-192.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:113:y:2016:i:c:p:186-192
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2016.06.139
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    1. Badescu, Viorel & Gueymard, Christian A. & Cheval, Sorin & Oprea, Cristian & Baciu, Madalina & Dumitrescu, Alexandru & Iacobescu, Flavius & Milos, Ioan & Rada, Costel, 2013. "Accuracy analysis for fifty-four clear-sky solar radiation models using routine hourly global irradiance measurements in Romania," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 85-103.
    2. Boland, John, 2015. "Spatial-temporal forecasting of solar radiation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 607-616.
    3. Voyant, Cyril & Muselli, Marc & Paoli, Christophe & Nivet, Marie-Laure, 2012. "Numerical weather prediction (NWP) and hybrid ARMA/ANN model to predict global radiation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 341-355.
    4. Diagne, Maimouna & David, Mathieu & Lauret, Philippe & Boland, John & Schmutz, Nicolas, 2013. "Review of solar irradiance forecasting methods and a proposition for small-scale insular grids," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 65-76.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Fei & Lu, Xiaoxing & Mei, Shengwei & Su, Ying & Zhen, Zhao & Zou, Zubing & Zhang, Xuemin & Yin, Rui & Duić, Neven & Shafie-khah, Miadreza & Catalão, João P.S., 2022. "A satellite image data based ultra-short-term solar PV power forecasting method considering cloud information from neighboring plant," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
    2. Eduardo Rangel-Heras & César Angeles-Camacho & Erasmo Cadenas-Calderón & Rafael Campos-Amezcua, 2022. "Short-Term Forecasting of Energy Production for a Photovoltaic System Using a NARX-CVM Hybrid Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-23, April.
    3. John Boland & Sleiman Farah, 2021. "Probabilistic Forecasting of Wind and Solar Farm Output," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-15, August.
    4. Luo, Xing & Zhang, Dongxiao & Zhu, Xu, 2022. "Combining transfer learning and constrained long short-term memory for power generation forecasting of newly-constructed photovoltaic plants," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 1062-1077.
    5. Paulescu, Marius & Paulescu, Eugenia, 2019. "Short-term forecasting of solar irradiance," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 985-994.
    6. Kaur, Amanpreet & Nonnenmacher, Lukas & Coimbra, Carlos F.M., 2016. "Net load forecasting for high renewable energy penetration grids," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 1073-1084.
    7. Shravanth Vasisht, M. & Vashista, G.A. & Srinivasan, J. & Ramasesha, Sheela K., 2017. "Rail coaches with rooftop solar photovoltaic systems: A feasibility study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 684-691.
    8. Ahmad, Tanveer & Zhang, Dongdong & Huang, Chao, 2021. "Methodological framework for short-and medium-term energy, solar and wind power forecasting with stochastic-based machine learning approach to monetary and energy policy applications," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    9. Fouilloy, Alexis & Voyant, Cyril & Notton, Gilles & Motte, Fabrice & Paoli, Christophe & Nivet, Marie-Laure & Guillot, Emmanuel & Duchaud, Jean-Laurent, 2018. "Solar irradiation prediction with machine learning: Forecasting models selection method depending on weather variability," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PA), pages 620-629.
    10. Eduardo Rangel & Erasmo Cadenas & Rafael Campos-Amezcua & Jorge L. Tena, 2020. "Enhanced Prediction of Solar Radiation Using NARX Models with Corrected Input Vectors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-22, May.
    11. Luo, Xing & Zhang, Dongxiao & Zhu, Xu, 2021. "Deep learning based forecasting of photovoltaic power generation by incorporating domain knowledge," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    12. John Boland, 2020. "Characterising Seasonality of Solar Radiation and Solar Farm Output," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-15, January.

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