IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ejores/v323y2025i3p938-951.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Opinion convergence and management: Opinion dynamics in interactive group decision-making

Author

Listed:
  • Xu, Yuan
  • Liu, Shifeng
  • Cheng, T.C.E.
  • Feng, Xue
  • Wang, Jun
  • Shang, Xiaopu

Abstract

Decision-making processes are significantly influenced by internal social network interactions and external information inputs. While previous research has highlighted the role of social networks in opinion evolution, the dynamics of information dissemination and its interaction with these networks are less understood. To bridge this gap, we introduce the Social-Information-Opinion Dynamic Supernetwork (SIO-DS) model, which integrates critical factors such as the impact of external information and opinion propagation, alongside the influence of internal social network structures and individual willingness to adjust opinions. This model takes into account the varied levels of confidence and individualized dynamic influence among decision makers, recognizing both their asymmetry and diversity. It performs opinion dynamics using bounded confidence models and parameters that govern information dissemination. We found that scale-free networks, which feature influential leaders, are more effective at reaching consensus compared to small-world networks, which are hindered by limited inter-group connections. The speed of information dissemination is critical; moderate speeds help in maintaining a stable consensus by balancing social influence, while very fast or slow speeds risk exacerbating polarization based on how social influence is managed. The SIO-DS model has broad implications for enhancing decision-making in corporate management by optimizing network structures, in public policy by managing public opinion, and in crisis management by developing effective communication strategies. Ultimately, this model not only deepens our understanding of opinion dynamics but also provides practical tools for improving decision-making quality and efficiency in various contexts.

Suggested Citation

  • Xu, Yuan & Liu, Shifeng & Cheng, T.C.E. & Feng, Xue & Wang, Jun & Shang, Xiaopu, 2025. "Opinion convergence and management: Opinion dynamics in interactive group decision-making," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 323(3), pages 938-951.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:323:y:2025:i:3:p:938-951
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2024.12.046
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377221724009883
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ejor.2024.12.046?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barabási, Albert-László & Albert, Réka & Jeong, Hawoong, 2000. "Scale-free characteristics of random networks: the topology of the world-wide web," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 281(1), pages 69-77.
    2. Michel Grabisch & Antoine Mandel & Agnieszka Rusinowska, 2023. "On the Design of Public Debate in Social Networks," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 71(2), pages 626-648, March.
    3. Gong, Zaiwu & Zhang, Huanhuan & Forrest, Jeffrey & Li, Lianshui & Xu, Xiaoxia, 2015. "Two consensus models based on the minimum cost and maximum return regarding either all individuals or one individual," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 240(1), pages 183-192.
    4. Kuang-Hua Hu & Fu-Hsiang Chen & Ming-Fu Hsu & Gwo-Hshiung Tzeng, 2023. "Governance of artificial intelligence applications in a business audit via a fusion fuzzy multiple rule-based decision-making model," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-31, December.
    5. Li, Yanhong & Kou, Gang & Li, Guangxu & Peng, Yi, 2022. "Consensus reaching process in large-scale group decision making based on bounded confidence and social network," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 303(2), pages 790-802.
    6. Charles S. Taber & Milton Lodge, 2006. "Motivated Skepticism in the Evaluation of Political Beliefs," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 50(3), pages 755-769, July.
    7. Chao, Xiangrui & Kou, Gang & Peng, Yi & Viedma, Enrique Herrera, 2021. "Large-scale group decision-making with non-cooperative behaviors and heterogeneous preferences: An application in financial inclusion," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 288(1), pages 271-293.
    8. Tang, Ming & Liao, Huchang & Xu, Jiuping & Streimikiene, Dalia & Zheng, Xiaosong, 2020. "Adaptive consensus reaching process with hybrid strategies for large-scale group decision making," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 282(3), pages 957-971.
    9. Labella, Álvaro & Liu, Hongbin & Rodríguez, Rosa M. & Martínez, Luis, 2020. "A Cost Consensus Metric for Consensus Reaching Processes based on a comprehensive minimum cost model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 281(2), pages 316-331.
    10. Zhang, Bowen & Dong, Yucheng & Zhang, Hengjie & Pedrycz, Witold, 2020. "Consensus mechanism with maximum-return modifications and minimum-cost feedback: A perspective of game theory," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 287(2), pages 546-559.
    11. Guo-Rui Yang & Xueqing Wang & Ru-Xi Ding & Jingjun (David) Xu & Meng-Nan Li, 2021. "Managing public opinion in consensus-reaching processes for large-scale group decision-making problems," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 73(11), pages 2480-2499, December.
    12. Du, Junliang & Liu, Sifeng & Liu, Yong, 2022. "A limited cost consensus approach with fairness concern and its application," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 298(1), pages 261-275.
    13. Guo, Weiwei & Gong, Zaiwu & Zhang, Wei-Guo & Xu, Yanxin, 2023. "Minimum cost consensus modeling under dynamic feedback regulation mechanism considering consensus principle and tolerance level," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 306(3), pages 1279-1295.
    14. Ahmet Kaya & Dragan Pamucar & Hasan Emin Gürler & Mehmet Ozcalici, 2024. "Determining the financial performance of the firms in the Borsa Istanbul sustainability index: integrating multi criteria decision making methods with simulation," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-44, December.
    15. Rainer Hegselmann & Ulrich Krause, 2002. "Opinion Dynamics and Bounded Confidence Models, Analysis and Simulation," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 5(3), pages 1-2.
    16. Zhang, Huanhuan & Kou, Gang & Peng, Yi, 2019. "Soft consensus cost models for group decision making and economic interpretations," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 277(3), pages 964-980.
    17. Liu, Bingsheng & Zhou, Qi & Ding, Ru-Xi & Palomares, Iván & Herrera, Francisco, 2019. "Large-scale group decision making model based on social network analysis: Trust relationship-based conflict detection and elimination," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 275(2), pages 737-754.
    18. Guillaume Deffuant & David Neau & Frederic Amblard & Gérard Weisbuch, 2000. "Mixing beliefs among interacting agents," Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(01n04), pages 87-98.
    19. Gong, Zaiwu & Guo, Weiwei & Słowiński, Roman, 2021. "Transaction and interaction behavior-based consensus model and its application to optimal carbon emission reduction," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    20. Quanbo Zha & Gang Kou & Hengjie Zhang & Haiming Liang & Xia Chen & Cong-Cong Li & Yucheng Dong, 2020. "Opinion dynamics in finance and business: a literature review and research opportunities," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-22, December.
    21. Guodong Shi & Alexandre Proutiere & Mikael Johansson & John S. Baras & Karl H. Johansson, 2016. "The Evolution of Beliefs over Signed Social Networks," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 64(3), pages 585-604, June.
    22. Mateus F. B. Granha & Andr'e L. M. Vilela & Chao Wang & Kenric P. Nelson & H. Eugene Stanley, 2022. "Opinion Dynamics in Financial Markets via Random Networks," Papers 2201.07214, arXiv.org.
    23. Tang, Ming & Liao, Huchang & Mi, Xiaomei & Lev, Benjamin & Pedrycz, Witold, 2021. "A hierarchical consensus reaching process for group decision making with noncooperative behaviors," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 293(2), pages 632-642.
    24. Dong, Yucheng & Xu, Yinfeng & Li, Hongyi & Feng, Bo, 2010. "The OWA-based consensus operator under linguistic representation models using position indexes," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 203(2), pages 455-463, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Meng, Fan-Yong & Zhao, Deng-Yu & Gong, Zai-Wu & Chu, Jun-Fei & Pedrycz, Witold & Yuan, Zhe, 2024. "Consensus adjustment for multi-attribute group decision making based on cross-allocation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 318(1), pages 200-216.
    2. Meng, Fan-Yong & Gong, Zai-Wu & Pedrycz, Witold & Chu, Jun-Fei, 2023. "Selfish-dilemma consensus analysis for group decision making in the perspective of cooperative game theory," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 308(1), pages 290-305.
    3. Guo, Weiwei & Gong, Zaiwu & Zhang, Wei-Guo & Xu, Yanxin, 2023. "Minimum cost consensus modeling under dynamic feedback regulation mechanism considering consensus principle and tolerance level," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 306(3), pages 1279-1295.
    4. Gong, Zaiwu & Guo, Weiwei & Słowiński, Roman, 2021. "Transaction and interaction behavior-based consensus model and its application to optimal carbon emission reduction," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    5. Shen, Yufeng & Ma, Xueling & Kou, Gang & Rodríguez, Rosa M. & Zhan, Jianming, 2025. "Consensus methods with Nash and Kalai–Smorodinsky bargaining game for large-scale group decision-making," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 321(3), pages 865-883.
    6. Cheng, Dong & Yuan, Yuxiang & Wu, Yong & Hao, Tiantian & Cheng, Faxin, 2022. "Maximum satisfaction consensus with budget constraints considering individual tolerance and compromise limit behaviors," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 297(1), pages 221-238.
    7. Li, Huanhuan & Ji, Ying & Ding, Jieyu & Qu, Shaojian & Zhang, Huijie & Li, Yuanming & Liu, Yubing, 2024. "Robust two-stage optimization consensus models with uncertain costs," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 317(3), pages 977-1002.
    8. Wei, Jinpeng & Xu, Xuanhua & Qu, Shaojian & Wang, Qiuhan, 2025. "Consensus modeling for maximum expert with quadratic cost under various uncertain contexts: A data-driven robust approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 323(1), pages 192-207.
    9. Tang, Ming & Liao, Huchang, 2024. "Group efficiency and individual fairness tradeoff in making wise decisions," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    10. Li, Yanhong & Kou, Gang & Li, Guangxu & Peng, Yi, 2022. "Consensus reaching process in large-scale group decision making based on bounded confidence and social network," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 303(2), pages 790-802.
    11. Dong Cheng & Yong Wu & Yuxiang Yuan & Faxin Cheng & Dianwei Chen, 2024. "Modeling the Maximum Perceived Utility Consensus Based on Prospect Theory," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 33(5), pages 951-975, October.
    12. Tang, Jie & Li, Zi-Jun & Meng, Fan-Yong & Gong, Zai-Wu & Pedrycz, Witold, 2025. "Biform game consensus analysis of group decision making with unconnected social network," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 324(1), pages 259-275.
    13. Dombi, József & Jónás, Tamás, 2024. "Consensus measures based on a fuzzy concept," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 315(2), pages 642-653.
    14. Wang, Peng & Liu, Peide & Li, Yueyuan & Teng, Fei & Pedrycz, Witold, 2024. "Trust exploration- and leadership incubation- based opinion dynamics model for social network group decision-making: A quantum theory perspective," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 317(1), pages 156-170.
    15. Xiangrui Chao & Yucheng Dong & Gang Kou & Yi Peng, 2022. "How to determine the consensus threshold in group decision making: a method based on efficiency benchmark using benefit and cost insight," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 316(1), pages 143-177, September.
    16. Weiqiao Liu & Jianjun Zhu & Peide Liu & Peng Wang & Wen Song, 2023. "A Linguistic Cloud-Based Consensus Framework with Three Behavior Classifications Under Trust-Interest Relations," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 32(6), pages 1497-1533, December.
    17. Xuyuan Zhang & Hailin Liang & Shaojian Qu, 2024. "Robust Consensus Modeling: Concerning Consensus Fairness and Efficiency with Uncertain Costs," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-31, April.
    18. Ying Ji & Huanhuan Li & Huijie Zhang, 2022. "Risk-Averse Two-Stage Stochastic Minimum Cost Consensus Models with Asymmetric Adjustment Cost," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 261-291, April.
    19. Yanli Meng & Li Wang & Francisco Chiclana & Haijun Yang & Sha Wang, 2025. "A dynamic cost compensation mechanism driven by moderator preferences for group consensus in lending platforms," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 347(3), pages 1425-1454, April.
    20. Jie Tang & Fanyong Meng, 2024. "An Adaptive Core-Nash Bargaining Game Consensus Mechanism for Group Decision Making," Group Decision and Negotiation, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 805-837, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:323:y:2025:i:3:p:938-951. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eor .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.