IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ejores/v226y2013i1p77-84.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Nonparametric predictive reliability of series of voting systems

Author

Listed:
  • Aboalkhair, Ahmad M.
  • Coolen, Frank P.A.
  • MacPhee, Iain M.

Abstract

Nonparametric Predictive Inference (NPI) for system reliability reflects the dependence of reliabilities of similar components due to limited knowledge from testing. NPI has recently been presented for reliability of a single voting system consisting of multiple types of components. The components are all assumed to play the same role within the system, but with regard to their reliability components of different types are assumed to be independent. The information from tests is available per type of component. This paper presents NPI for systems with subsystems in a series structure, where all subsystems are voting systems and components of the same type can be in different subsystems. As NPI uses only few modelling assumptions, system reliability is quantified by lower and upper probabilities, reflecting the limited information in the test data. The results are illustrated by examples, which also illustrate important aspects of redundancy and diversity for system reliability.

Suggested Citation

  • Aboalkhair, Ahmad M. & Coolen, Frank P.A. & MacPhee, Iain M., 2013. "Nonparametric predictive reliability of series of voting systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 226(1), pages 77-84.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:226:y:2013:i:1:p:77-84
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2012.11.001
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377221712008156
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ejor.2012.11.001?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. da Costa Bueno, Vanderlei & Martins do Carmo, Iran, 2007. "Active redundancy allocation for a k-out-of-n:F system of dependent components," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 176(2), pages 1041-1051, January.
    2. Eryilmaz, Serkan, 2012. "On the mean residual life of a k-out-of-n:G system with a single cold standby component," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 222(2), pages 273-277.
    3. Utkin, Lev V., 2004. "Interval reliability of typical systems with partially known probabilities," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 153(3), pages 790-802, March.
    4. Houlding, B. & Coolen, F.P.A., 2012. "Nonparametric predictive utility inference," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 222-230.
    5. Francisco J. Samaniego, 2007. "System Signatures and their Applications in Engineering Reliability," International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, Springer, number 978-0-387-71797-5, December.
    6. Ruiz-Castro, Juan Eloy & Li, Quan-Lin, 2011. "Algorithm for a general discrete k-out-of-n: G system subject to several types of failure with an indefinite number of repairpersons," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 211(1), pages 97-111, May.
    7. Abellán, Joaquín & Baker, Rebecca M. & Coolen, Frank P.A., 2011. "Maximising entropy on the nonparametric predictive inference model for multinomial data," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 112-122, July.
    8. Wang, Yong & Li, Lin & Huang, Shuhong & Chang, Qing, 2012. "Reliability and covariance estimation of weighted k-out-of-n multi-state systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 138-147.
    9. P Coolen-Schrijner & S C Shaw & F P A Coolen, 2009. "Opportunity-based age replacement with a one-cycle criterion," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 60(10), pages 1428-1438, October.
    10. Coolen, F. P. A. & Coolen-Schrijner, P., 2003. "A nonparametric predictive method for queues," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 145(2), pages 425-442, March.
    11. Long, Q. & Xie, M. & Ng, S.H. & Levitin, Gregory, 2008. "Reliability analysis and optimization of weighted voting systems with continuous states input," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 191(1), pages 240-252, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Frank PA Coolen & Tahani Coolen-Maturi & Abdullah H Al-nefaiee, 2014. "Nonparametric predictive inference for system reliability using the survival signature," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 228(5), pages 437-448, October.
    2. Ben Abdallah, N. & Destercke, S. & Sallak, M., 2017. "Easy and optimal queries to reduce set uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 256(2), pages 592-604.
    3. Eryilmaz, Serkan, 2015. "Capacity loss and residual capacity in weighted k-out-of-n:G systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 140-144.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Frank PA Coolen & Tahani Coolen-Maturi & Abdullah H Al-nefaiee, 2014. "Nonparametric predictive inference for system reliability using the survival signature," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 228(5), pages 437-448, October.
    2. Roy Cerqueti, 2022. "A new concept of reliability system and applications in finance," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 312(1), pages 45-64, May.
    3. Jørgen Vitting Andersen & Roy Cerqueti & Giulia Rotundo, 2017. "Rational expectations and stochastic systems," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 17060, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Oct 2019.
    4. Coolen, Frank P.A. & Coolen-Maturi, Tahani, 2015. "Predictive inference for system reliability after common-cause component failures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 27-33.
    5. Houlding, B. & Coolen, F.P.A., 2012. "Nonparametric predictive utility inference," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 222-230.
    6. Jorgen Vitting Andersen & Roy Cerqueti & Jessica Riccioni, 2021. "Rational expectations as a tool for predicting failure of weighted k-out-of-n reliability systems," Papers 2112.10672, arXiv.org.
    7. Jørgen Vitting Andersen & Roy Cerqueti & Jessica Riccioni, 2023. "Rational expectations as a tool for predicting failure of weighted k-out-of-n reliability systems," Post-Print hal-03634370, HAL.
    8. Jorgen-Vitting Andersen & Roy Cerqueti & Jessica Riccioni, 2023. "Rational expectations as a tool for predicting failure of weighted k-out-of-n reliability systems," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 326(1), pages 295-316, July.
    9. Achintya Roy & Nitin Gupta, 2020. "Reliability of a coherent system equipped with two cold standby components," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 83(6), pages 677-697, August.
    10. Zhang, Nan & Fouladirad, Mitra & Barros, Anne, 2019. "Reliability-based measures and prognostic analysis of a K-out-of-N system in a random environment," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 272(3), pages 1120-1131.
    11. Xiaojun Liang & Yinghui Tang, 2019. "The improvement upon the reliability of the k-out-of-n:F system with the repair rates differentiation policy," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 479-500, June.
    12. Jørgen Vitting Andersen & Roy Cerqueti & Jessica Riccioni, 2023. "Rational expectations as a tool for predicting failure of weighted k-out-of-n reliability systems," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-03634370, HAL.
    13. Frank PA Coolen, 2013. "Maximum group sizes for simultaneous testing in high potential risk scenarios," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 227(6), pages 569-575, December.
    14. Gaofeng Da & Lvyu Xia & Taizhong Hu, 2014. "On Computing Signatures of k-out-of-n Systems Consisting of Modules," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 223-233, March.
    15. Zarezadeh, S. & Mohammadi, L. & Balakrishnan, N., 2018. "On the joint signature of several coherent systems with some shared components," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 264(3), pages 1092-1100.
    16. Hindolo George-Williams & Geng Feng & Frank PA Coolen & Michael Beer & Edoardo Patelli, 2019. "Extending the survival signature paradigm to complex systems with non-repairable dependent failures," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 233(4), pages 505-519, August.
    17. Gupta, Nitin & Misra, Neeraj & Kumar, Somesh, 2015. "Stochastic comparisons of residual lifetimes and inactivity times of coherent systems with dependent identically distributed components," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 240(2), pages 425-430.
    18. Zhengcheng Zhang & N. Balakrishnan, 2016. "Representations of the inactivity time for coherent systems with heterogeneous components and some ordered properties," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 79(1), pages 113-126, January.
    19. Marichal, Jean-Luc & Mathonet, Pierre & Spizzichino, Fabio, 2015. "On modular decompositions of system signatures," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 19-32.
    20. Zarezadeh, S. & Asadi, M. & Balakrishnan, N., 2014. "Dynamic network reliability modeling under nonhomogeneous Poisson processes," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 232(3), pages 561-571.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:226:y:2013:i:1:p:77-84. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eor .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.