IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v348y2017icp110-124.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

FloMan-MF: Floodplain Management for the Moor Frog − a simulation model for amphibian conservation in dynamic wetlands

Author

Listed:
  • Dick, D.D.C.
  • Ayllón, D.

Abstract

We present a modeling approach to assess the impact of different conservation management options on the population dynamics of the moor frog (Rana arvalis, Amphibia, Anura) in dynamic river floodplains. The model is targeted at supporting amphibian conservation actions within floodplain management efforts for human flood protection. FloMan-MF is an individual-based, spatially explicit simulation model that combines three aspects: the hydrological dynamics of the landscape influenced by floods, frog reproductive behavior modeled through migration and selection of suitable reproduction sites (ponds), and population structure and trajectory over time. We validated each of the three systems and applied the baseline scenario to a two-year case study conducted in the Middle Elbe River floodplain (Germany). The FloMan-MF model aims to identify suitable compositions of floodplain ponds and habitat characteristics to optimize the reproductive habitat for moor frogs in a degraded floodplain. Therefore, to show potential applications of the model, we simulated floodplain habitat degradation and five different management scenarios. The population responded differently to each of the simulated management actions, ranging from rapid extinction to recovery with low numbers of individuals. The partly unexpected results reveal complex interactions in species-habitat interactions over time. According to our results, the establishment of dynamic temporary ponds seems to be a basic condition for population persistence of this species and can be realized within floodplain management activities. Extending the rationale and basic design of FloMan-MF to other amphibian species living in floodplains is straightforward.

Suggested Citation

  • Dick, D.D.C. & Ayllón, D., 2017. "FloMan-MF: Floodplain Management for the Moor Frog − a simulation model for amphibian conservation in dynamic wetlands," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 348(C), pages 110-124.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:348:y:2017:i:c:p:110-124
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.01.011
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380016306147
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.01.011?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Augusiak, Jacqueline & Van den Brink, Paul J. & Grimm, Volker, 2014. "Merging validation and evaluation of ecological models to ‘evaludation’: A review of terminology and a practical approach," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 280(C), pages 117-128.
    2. Jager, Henriette I., 2014. "Thinking outside the channel: Timing pulse flows to benefit salmon via indirect pathways," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 273(C), pages 117-127.
    3. Jan C. Thiele & Winfried Kurth & Volker Grimm, 2014. "Facilitating Parameter Estimation and Sensitivity Analysis of Agent-Based Models: A Cookbook Using NetLogo and 'R'," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 17(3), pages 1-11.
    4. Grimm, Volker & Berger, Uta & DeAngelis, Donald L. & Polhill, J. Gary & Giske, Jarl & Railsback, Steven F., 2010. "The ODD protocol: A review and first update," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(23), pages 2760-2768.
    5. Marshall Burke & John Dykema & David B. Lobell & Edward Miguel & Shanker Satyanath, 2015. "Incorporating Climate Uncertainty into Estimates of Climate Change Impacts," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(2), pages 461-471, May.
    6. Winkler, Eckart & Peintinger, Markus, 2014. "Impact of changing flood regime on a lakeshore plant community: Long-term observations and individual-based simulation," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 273(C), pages 151-164.
    7. Ayllón, Daniel & Railsback, Steven F. & Vincenzi, Simone & Groeneveld, Jürgen & Almodóvar, Ana & Grimm, Volker, 2016. "InSTREAM-Gen: Modelling eco-evolutionary dynamics of trout populations under anthropogenic environmental change," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 326(C), pages 36-53.
    8. Grimm, Volker & Augusiak, Jacqueline & Focks, Andreas & Frank, Béatrice M. & Gabsi, Faten & Johnston, Alice S.A. & Liu, Chun & Martin, Benjamin T. & Meli, Mattia & Radchuk, Viktoriia & Thorbek, Pernil, 2014. "Towards better modelling and decision support: Documenting model development, testing, and analysis using TRACE," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 280(C), pages 129-139.
    9. Brouwer, Roy & van Ek, Remco, 2004. "Integrated ecological, economic and social impact assessment of alternative flood control policies in the Netherlands," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(1-2), pages 1-21, September.
    10. Grizzetti, B. & Lanzanova, D. & Liquete, C. & Reynaud, A. & Cardoso, A.C., 2016. "Assessing water ecosystem services for water resource management," Environmental Science & Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 194-203.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lorscheid, Iris & Meyer, Matthias, 2016. "Divide and conquer: Configuring submodels for valid and efficient analyses of complex simulation models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 326(C), pages 152-161.
    2. Grimm, Volker & Berger, Uta, 2016. "Structural realism, emergence, and predictions in next-generation ecological modelling: Synthesis from a special issue," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 326(C), pages 177-187.
    3. Ayllón, Daniel & Railsback, Steven F. & Vincenzi, Simone & Groeneveld, Jürgen & Almodóvar, Ana & Grimm, Volker, 2016. "InSTREAM-Gen: Modelling eco-evolutionary dynamics of trout populations under anthropogenic environmental change," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 326(C), pages 36-53.
    4. Troost, Christian & Huber, Robert & Bell, Andrew R. & van Delden, Hedwig & Filatova, Tatiana & Le, Quang Bao & Lippe, Melvin & Niamir, Leila & Polhill, J. Gareth & Sun, Zhanli & Berger, Thomas, 2023. "How to keep it adequate: A protocol for ensuring validity in agent-based simulation," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 159, pages 1-21.
    5. Lapp, Maya & Long, Colby, 2022. "A new approach to agent-based models of Community Resource Management based on the analysis of cheating, monitoring, and sanctioning," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 468(C).
    6. Planque, Benjamin & Aarflot, Johanna M. & Buttay, Lucie & Carroll, JoLynn & Fransner, Filippa & Hansen, Cecilie & Husson, Bérengère & Langangen, Øystein & Lindstrøm, Ulf & Pedersen, Torstein & Primice, 2022. "A standard protocol for describing the evaluation of ecological models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 471(C).
    7. Grimm, Volker & Berger, Uta, 2016. "Robustness analysis: Deconstructing computational models for ecological theory and applications," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 326(C), pages 162-167.
    8. Watson, Joseph W & Boyd, Robin & Dutta, Ritabrata & Vasdekis, Georgios & Walker, Nicola D. & Roy, Shovonlal & Everitt, Richard & Hyder, Kieran & Sibly, Richard M, 2022. "Incorporating environmental variability in a spatially-explicit individual-based model of European sea bass✰," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 466(C).
    9. Boult, Victoria L. & Quaife, Tristan & Fishlock, Vicki & Moss, Cynthia J. & Lee, Phyllis C. & Sibly, Richard M., 2018. "Individual-based modelling of elephant population dynamics using remote sensing to estimate food availability," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 387(C), pages 187-195.
    10. Fitts, Lucia A. & Fraser, Jacob S. & Miranda, Brian R. & Domke, Grant M. & Russell, Matthew B. & Sturtevant, Brian R., 2023. "An iterative site-scale approach to calibrate and corroborate successional processes within a forest landscape model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 477(C).
    11. Boyd, Robin & Roy, Shovonlal & Sibly, Richard & Thorpe, Robert & Hyder, Kieran, 2018. "A general approach to incorporating spatial and temporal variation in individual-based models of fish populations with application to Atlantic mackerel," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 382(C), pages 9-17.
    12. Crouse, Kristin N. & Desai, Nisarg P. & Cassidy, Kira A. & Stahler, Erin E. & Lehman, Clarence L. & Wilson, Michael L., 2022. "Larger territories reduce mortality risk for chimpanzees, wolves, and agents: Multiple lines of evidence in a model validation framework," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 471(C).
    13. Jager, Henriette I. & DeAngelis, Donald L., 2018. "The confluences of ideas leading to, and the flow of ideas emerging from, individual-based modeling of riverine fishes," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 384(C), pages 341-352.
    14. An, Li & Grimm, Volker & Sullivan, Abigail & Turner II, B.L. & Malleson, Nicolas & Heppenstall, Alison & Vincenot, Christian & Robinson, Derek & Ye, Xinyue & Liu, Jianguo & Lindkvist, Emilie & Tang, W, 2021. "Challenges, tasks, and opportunities in modeling agent-based complex systems," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 457(C).
    15. King, Elizabeth G. & Franz, Trenton E., 2016. "Combining ecohydrologic and transition probability-based modeling to simulate vegetation dynamics in a semi-arid rangeland," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 329(C), pages 41-63.
    16. Courbaud, B. & Lafond, V. & Lagarrigues, G. & Vieilledent, G. & Cordonnier, T. & Jabot, F. & de Coligny, F., 2015. "Applying ecological model evaludation: Lessons learned with the forest dynamics model Samsara2," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 314(C), pages 1-14.
    17. Stenglein, Jennifer L. & Gilbert, Jonathan H. & Wydeven, Adrian P. & Van Deelen, Timothy R., 2015. "An individual-based model for southern Lake Superior wolves: A tool to explore the effect of human-caused mortality on a landscape of risk," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 302(C), pages 13-24.
    18. Drechsler, Martin & Wätzold, Frank & Grimm, Volker, 2022. "The hitchhiker's guide to generic ecological-economic modelling of land-use-based biodiversity conservation policies," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 465(C).
    19. Cartwright, Samantha J. & Bowgen, Katharine M. & Collop, Catherine & Hyder, Kieran & Nabe-Nielsen, Jacob & Stafford, Richard & Stillman, Richard A. & Thorpe, Robert B. & Sibly, Richard M., 2016. "Communicating complex ecological models to non-scientist end users," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 338(C), pages 51-59.
    20. Schmolke, Amelie & Bartell, Steven M. & Roy, Colleen & Green, Nicholas & Galic, Nika & Brain, Richard, 2019. "Species-specific population dynamics and their link to an aquatic food web: A hybrid modeling approach," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 405(C), pages 1-14.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:348:y:2017:i:c:p:110-124. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.